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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat39%100100
14Grizzlies61%10497
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
36.6
26.7
18
49%
5
7
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
24.3
31.9
4
23%
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
3-7
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
23.1
28.0
8
48%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
1-5
20%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
22.0
19.0
12
67%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
2-5
40%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
22.0
11.7
6
50%
7
2
0
0
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.6
31.3
15.7
17
60%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-5
60%
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
4-7
57%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
26.0
27.0
4
100%
9
5
0
1
2
2
3
6
0-0
-
2-2
4-7
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
26.0
25.5
18
80%
5
5
1
1
1
2
1
4
4-5
80%
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
4-7
57%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.8
23.4
21.5
13
65%
8
1
0
1
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.0
5.4
16.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.9
24.0
1
4-8
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.5
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.3
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.2
37.4
31.5
22
62%
3
8
2
1
3
0
1
2
6-6
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
2-4
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.9
35.9
29.5
14
41%
7
5
0
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
5-11
4-7
45%
48%
1-5
20%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 32.6
35.6
28.1
15
73%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
3-7
43%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.2
22.2
24.4
15
67%
4
0
2
1
1
2
1
3
3-5
60%
6-7
4-7
86%
56%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
15.5
26.5
8
84%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 28.6
25.5
19.7
7
42%
3
4
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-3
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
1-3
33%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 28.5
23.6
23.6
7
39%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
1-3
33%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 29.9
15.7
13.1
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-4
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 33.8
12.8
13.7
5
64%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 24.2
10.9
12.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
4.8
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
1.9
0
0-0
52%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.9
1.5
0
0-0
53%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.2
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
DJ Stephens
G-F · 6'5" 188 · 28.0
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.