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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 15, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Rockets63%108105
15Grizzlies37%10497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
40.5
33.6
32
81%
12
10
2
2
0
5
0
12
11-13
85%
6-7
5-9
86%
52%
3-7
43%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 33.6
39.4
32.5
14
64%
7
0
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
4-9
44%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 33.6
36.2
33.5
10
46%
1
10
2
2
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
51%
2-7
29%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
34.7
31.3
26
76%
10
0
0
1
2
2
3
7
6-7
86%
10-14
7-11
71%
63%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.0
31.2
32.6
4
18%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-8
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 32.9
21.6
17.3
17
116%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
4-4
100%
Danuel House Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
19.2
21.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.3
13.3
14.9
2
20%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 27.0
3.9
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Gary Clark
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.1
4.8
0
0-0
50%
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
2.5
0
0-1
51%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
2.5
0
0-0
51%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 27.2
2.3
0
0-1
43%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.5
Vincent Edwards
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
Zhou Qi
F-C · 7'1" 210 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.2
37.1
33.6
22
57%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
49%
1-6
17%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.9
32.3
31.9
17
66%
9
4
3
1
0
4
1
8
2-2
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.2
30.9
23.3
9
57%
7
3
1
1
3
1
1
6
0-2
0%
3-5
4-6
60%
56%
1-2
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 32.6
27.8
30.6
8
50%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 28.6
27.8
21.9
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 28.5
25.1
23.5
13
74%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.3
22.2
4.5
11
61%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
48%
1-5
20%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 29.9
13.2
14.0
7
88%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 24.2
8.2
11.9
3
39%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 33.8
7.8
13.2
1
27%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
7.7
8.8
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.9
1.5
0
0-0
56%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
DJ Stephens
G-F · 6'5" 188 · 28.0
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.