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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 17, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies18%10093
1Warriors82%113110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.9
26
32
15
6
6
1
1
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 28.7
26
24
8
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 32.6
25
29
13
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
47%
2-5
40%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
24
22
14
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
53%
0-2
0%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.3
22
26
3
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
54%
0-1
0%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.3
25
15
5
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
1-4
25%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 28.5
23
24
3
4
1
2
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
21
8
20
6
2
0
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
6-6
1-2
100%
53%
2-4
50%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 29.9
19
13
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 33.8
15
11
2
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.9
6
1
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 24.2
3
11
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
DJ Stephens
G-F · 6'5" 188 · 28.0
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
35
34
20
7
1
2
2
0
3
0
7
5-5
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
55%
3-9
33%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
34
29
8
7
5
2
1
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
54%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.2
33
34
23
3
5
0
1
2
2
0
3
8-8
100%
6-12
7-13
50%
57%
1-3
33%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
32
35
16
5
3
3
1
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
5-7
6-12
71%
52%
1-4
25%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
18
25
7
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
59%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 31.8
26
24
16
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
54%
4-7
57%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34.9
16
15
10
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
58%
3-3
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.3
15
16
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.9
12
12
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
0-1
0%
2-6
1-2
33%
58%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
9
17
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 25.7
7
11
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.5
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-1
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.3
Marcus Derrickson
F · 6'7" 249 · 22.9
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.