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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 18, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Mavericks
118
5Nuggets
126
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.8
35
31
23
6
12
1
1
0
1
0
6
10-12
83%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
3-9
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
34
29
30
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
5-6
83%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
5-8
63%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
32
29
14
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-7
2-5
0%
45%
4-5
80%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
27
29
11
12
1
2
1
0
2
2
10
3-6
50%
4-6
4-6
67%
63%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.3
25
25
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.6
27
22
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-4
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
21
17
10
4
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.4
17
17
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
63%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.8
15
17
9
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.5
7
13
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.5
2
0
0-0
59%
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.1
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.9
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.8
39
35
22
7
15
1
1
1
5
1
6
1-2
50%
9-14
6-11
64%
51%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
35
34
32
16
4
3
1
1
5
6
10
4-4
100%
11-19
7-12
58%
57%
2-6
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
34
23
11
9
3
0
1
0
1
1
8
1-2
50%
5-8
4-6
63%
58%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
30
31
12
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
5-6
83%
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
20
33
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
26
17
12
1
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
2-4
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
25
31
16
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
2-3
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
21
20
16
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
3-4
75%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.5
9
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
50%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.5
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.7
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.9
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.