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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons43%109129
12Timberwolves57%112123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.8
43
28
33
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
51%
7-12
58%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.4
43
33
16
16
2
1
1
1
4
4
12
5-9
56%
4-6
7-14
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.8
42
33
34
8
4
0
1
1
2
1
7
3-6
50%
8-12
5-10
67%
51%
5-10
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.7
34
25
24
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
7-9
78%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
19
23
3
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.0
24
25
8
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
2-7
29%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.2
19
21
2
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.3
17
14
4
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.6
15
19
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.6
6
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.9
5
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.6
1
0
0-0
48%
Zach Lofton
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.1
Keenan Evans
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.9
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.5
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 23.1
41
29
16
8
2
1
1
3
2
1
7
4-6
67%
6-8
6-10
75%
58%
0-7
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.2
38
27
33
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
13-25
5-10
52%
49%
1-4
25%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 23.8
38
30
16
6
2
3
1
0
1
2
4
3-3
100%
5-15
4-9
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.0
37
30
22
6
2
1
2
1
1
0
6
3-5
60%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
5-11
45%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
22
20
6
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
56%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.7
32
25
15
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
51%
2-5
40%
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 20.3
31
16
7
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
5-6
83%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.6
15
20
0
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 28.9
11
16
8
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.5
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
10
0
1-1
44%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.7
4
0
0-1
47%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 28.4
3
0
0-0
50%
C.J. Williams
F-G · 6'5" 230 · 28.9
Jared Terrell
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 22.9
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.