Final Win Prob. pScore
255%110
99
1745%108
101
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
107.69299.1
MIA logo Heat
109.89285.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.99
101
Q4 - RocketsRockets offensive rebound99
101
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot99
101
Q4 - Rockets 60 second timeout99
101
Q4 - RocketsGerald Green defensive rebound99
101
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot99
101
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound99
101
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot99
101
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)99
101
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon defensive rebound96
101
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot96
101
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound96
101
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot96
101
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 296
101
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 296
100
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)96
99
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 396
99
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 395
99
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 394
99
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)94
99
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 3 of 394
99
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 394
98
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 394
98
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker shooting foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)94
97
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (James Harden assists)94
97
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound92
97
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 292
97
Q4 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, Nene, James Harden, Gerald Green, PJ Tucker)92
97
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 292
97
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela personal foul (Take) (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)92
96
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound92
96
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses three point jump shot92
96
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)92
96
Q4 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Gerald Green, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)92
96
Q4 - Rockets 60 second timeout92
96
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)92
96
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound92
93
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot92
93
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound92
93
Q4 - RocketsTyler Johnson blocks James Harden's two point driving layup92
93
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point layup92
93
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound92
91
Q4 - RocketsDanuel House Jr. misses three point jump shot92
91
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound92
91
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela misses two point putback layup92
91
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound92
91
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon misses two point layup92
91
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound92
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point layup92
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound92
91
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot92
91
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout92
91
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 292
91
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 291
91
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)90
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (bad pass) (Danuel House Jr. steals)90
91
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses three point jump shot90
91
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point jump shot90
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup90
91
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 290
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 290
91
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)90
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses regular free throw 2 of 290
91
Q4 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Danuel House Jr., Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)90
91
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder)90
91
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 290
91
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (PJ Tucker draws the foul)89
91
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker offensive rebound89
91
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot89
91
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 289
91
Q4 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Brandon Knight, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)89
90
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 289
90
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
90
Q4 - HeatHeat offensive rebound89
90
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot89
90
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound89
90
Q4 - Heat Nene blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup89
90
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 289
90
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 288
90
Q4 - Rockets 60 second timeout87
90
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)87
90
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (lost ball) (James Harden steals)87
90
Q4 - Rockets Nene makes two point dunk (Eric Gordon assists)87
90
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound85
90
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 285
90
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 285
90
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon shooting foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)85
90
Q4 - Rockets Nene personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)85
90
Q4 - HeatHeat offensive rebound85
90
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot85
90
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)85
90
Q4 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, Nene, James Harden, Brandon Knight, PJ Tucker)85
90
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout85
90
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)85
90
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)82
90
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound82
90
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses three point jump shot82
90
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound82
90
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot82
90
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot82
90
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound79
90
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot79
90
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound79
90
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot79
90
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound79
90
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 279
90
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 279
90
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)79
90
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot79
90
Q4 - RocketsPJ Tucker makes two point step back jump shot (James Harden assists)79
88
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)77
88
Q4 - RocketsRockets defensive rebound77
88
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot77
88
Q4 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Brandon Knight, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)77
88
Q4 - RocketsClint Capela personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)77
88
Q4 - RocketsGerald Green turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)77
88
Q4 - Derrick Jones Jr. kicked ball violation77
88
Q4 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Gerald Green, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)77
88
Q4 - Rockets 60 second timeout77
88
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)77
88
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
85
Q4 - RocketsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Eric Gordon's two point jump shot77
85
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)77
85
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 277
82
Q4 - RocketsEric Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 276
82
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Eric Gordon draws the foul)76
82
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (James Harden draws the foul)76
82
Q4 - RocketsRockets defensive rebound76
82
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point step back jump shot76
82
Q4 - RocketsJames Harden personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)76
82
Q4 - RocketsGerald Green personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)76
82
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)76
82
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.76
82
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
82
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)76
82
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)76
82
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
82
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden misses three point step back jump shot76
82
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound76
82
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot76
82
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound76
82
Q3 - RocketsEric Gordon misses two point finger roll layup76
82
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)76
82
Q3 - RocketsGerald Green turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)76
80
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
80
Q3 - RocketsRockets offensive rebound76
80
Q3 - RocketsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks James Harden's two point driving layup76
80
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback dunk76
80
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound76
78
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot76
78
Q3 - RocketsDanuel House Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 276
78
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)75
78
Q3 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Gerald Green, Danuel House Jr., Clint Capela)75
78
Q3 - RocketsDanuel House Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 275
78
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Danuel House Jr. draws the foul)74
78
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving layup (Hassan Whiteside assists)74
78
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound74
76
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden misses three point step back jump shot74
76
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)74
76
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Rodney McGruder, Dwyane Wade)74
74
Q3 - Rockets lineup change ( Nene, James Harden, Gerald Green, Danuel House Jr., Brandon Knight)74
74
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)74
74
Q3 - HeatHeat defensive rebound74
74
Q3 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses three point jump shot74
74
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (James Johnson assists)74
74
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot74
72
Q3 - RocketsDanuel House Jr. defensive rebound71
72
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point step back jump shot71
72
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout71
72
Q3 - RocketsDanuel House Jr. makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)71
72
Q3 - Rockets Nene defensive rebound68
72
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot68
72
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound68
72
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden misses regular free throw 2 of 268
72
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 268
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)67
72
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound67
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point turnaround jump shot67
72
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)67
72
Q3 - HeatHeat defensive rebound67
72
Q3 - RocketsBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot67
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)67
72
Q3 - RocketsDanuel House Jr. makes two point driving layup (James Harden assists)67
70
Q3 - Rockets lineup change ( Nene, James Harden, Danuel House Jr., Brandon Knight, PJ Tucker)65
70
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson personal foul (Eric Gordon draws the foul)65
70
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (James Harden steals)65
70
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound65
70
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot65
70
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Dwyane Wade)65
70
Q3 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, Nene, James Harden, Danuel House Jr., PJ Tucker)65
70
Q3 - Rockets 60 second timeout65
70
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving layup65
70
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound65
68
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela misses two point putback layup65
68
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound65
68
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela misses two point putback layup65
68
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound65
68
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden misses two point layup65
68
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point turnaround hook shot65
68
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound65
66
Q3 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses two point layup65
66
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson turnover (lost ball) (PJ Tucker steals)65
66
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (Eric Gordon assists)65
66
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)63
66
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)63
64
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound63
64
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 263
64
Q3 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Danuel House Jr., Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)63
64
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 263
64
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)63
64
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound63
64
Q3 - RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot63
64
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving layup63
64
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound63
62
Q3 - RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot63
62
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound63
62
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround jump shot63
62
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden turnover (bad pass) (Hassan Whiteside steals)63
62
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound63
62
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot63
62
Q3 - RocketsGerald Green personal foul (James Johnson draws the foul)63
62
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound63
62
Q3 - RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot63
62
Q3 - RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound63
62
Q3 - RocketsTyler Johnson blocks Clint Capela's two point layup63
62
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point layup63
62
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound63
60
Q3 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses three point jump shot63
60
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot63
60
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 263
58
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 262
58
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)61
58
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound61
58
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot61
58
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound61
58
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden misses three point step back jump shot61
58
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (James Johnson assists)61
58
Q3 - RocketsJames Harden turnover (bad pass) (James Johnson steals)61
56
Q3 - RocketsEric Gordon defensive rebound61
56
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot61
56
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound61
56
Q3 - RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot61
56
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)61
56
Q3 - RocketsPJ Tucker makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)61
53
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder)58
53
Q3 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Gerald Green, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)58
53
Q2 - End of 1st Half.58
53
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden makes three point step back jump shot58
53
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound55
53
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 3 of 355
53
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 355
53
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 355
52
Q2 - RocketsPJ Tucker shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)55
51
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)55
51
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound55
51
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden misses regular free throw 2 of 255
51
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 255
51
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)54
51
Q2 - RocketsGerald Green defensive rebound54
51
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot54
51
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)54
51
Q2 - HeatHeat defensive rebound54
51
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden misses three point step back jump shot54
51
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup (Josh Richardson assists)54
51
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot54
49
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)51
49
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) ( Nene draws the foul)51
49
Q2 - RocketsRockets offensive rebound51
49
Q2 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses three point jump shot51
49
Q2 - RocketsGerald Green defensive rebound51
49
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup51
49
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound51
49
Q2 - RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot51
49
Q2 - RocketsPJ Tucker offensive rebound51
49
Q2 - RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot51
49
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 251
49
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 251
48
Q2 - Rockets 60 second timeout51
47
Q2 - RocketsEric Gordon personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)51
47
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)51
47
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound51
47
Q2 - HeatWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot51
47
Q2 - RocketsPJ Tucker makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)51
47
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 248
47
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 248
46
Q2 - RocketsEric Gordon personal foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)48
46
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Wayne Ellington)48
46
Q2 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, Nene, James Harden, Gerald Green, PJ Tucker)48
46
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound48
46
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point layup48
46
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound48
46
Q2 - RocketsBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot48
46
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)48
46
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound48
43
Q2 - HeatWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot48
43
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound48
43
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot48
43
Q2 - RocketsEric Gordon makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)48
43
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)45
43
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound45
43
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot45
43
Q2 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, Nene, James Harden, Brandon Knight, PJ Tucker)45
43
Q2 - RocketsBrandon Knight turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
43
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)45
43
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
40
Q2 - RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot45
40
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot45
40
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
38
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot45
38
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 245
38
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 245
37
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk, Wayne Ellington)45
37
Q2 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Brandon Knight, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)45
37
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout45
37
Q2 - RocketsPJ Tucker shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)45
37
Q2 - RocketsChris Paul turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)45
37
Q2 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound45
37
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point putback layup45
37
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point putback layup45
37
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point putback layup45
37
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot45
37
Q2 - RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 245
37
Q2 - RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 244
37
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)43
37
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)43
37
Q2 - RocketsJames Harden makes two point layup (Clint Capela assists)43
35
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)41
35
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
35
Q2 - RocketsChris Paul misses three point jump shot41
35
Q2 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Chris Paul, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)41
35
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
35
Q2 - RocketsRockets offensive rebound41
35
Q2 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses three point jump shot41
35
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)41
35
Q2 - RocketsEric Gordon makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)41
32
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving dunk38
32
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound38
30
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 238
30
Q2 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, Chris Paul, Brandon Knight, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)38
30
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 238
30
Q2 - RocketsBrandon Knight shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)38
29
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
29
Q2 - RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot38
29
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup38
29
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound38
27
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot38
27
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
27
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound38
27
Q2 - HeatClint Capela blocks Dwyane Wade's two point driving layup38
27
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound38
27
Q2 - RocketsBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot38
27
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 238
27
Q2 - Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Brandon Knight, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)38
26
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 238
26
Q2 - Rockets Nene shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)38
25
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound38
25
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot38
25
Q2 - RocketsChris Paul makes two point jump shot38
25
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)36
25
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound36
23
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot36
23
Q2 - RocketsBrandon Knight personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)36
23
Q2 - RocketsBrandon Knight makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)36
23
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup33
23
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound33
21
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point driving layup33
21
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound33
21
Q2 - RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot33
21
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.33
21
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound33
21
Q1 - RocketsBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot33
21
Q1 - RocketsGerald Green defensive rebound33
21
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot33
21
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
21
Q1 - Rockets Nene misses two point turnaround hook shot33
21
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)33
21
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)33
19
Q1 - RocketsChris Paul turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
19
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 233
19
Q1 - Rockets lineup change ( Nene, Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Danuel House Jr., Brandon Knight)33
18
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 233
18
Q1 - RocketsChris Paul shooting foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)33
17
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson offensive rebound33
17
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot33
17
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 333
17
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 332
17
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 331
17
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)30
17
Q1 - Rockets lineup change ( Nene, James Harden, Chris Paul, Danuel House Jr., Brandon Knight)30
17
Q1 - Rockets 60 second timeout30
17
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)30
17
Q1 - RocketsGerald Green defensive rebound30
17
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot30
17
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound30
17
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup30
17
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)30
17
Q1 - RocketsDanuel House Jr. makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)30
14
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden offensive rebound27
14
Q1 - RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot27
14
Q1 - Rockets lineup change ( Nene, James Harden, Gerald Green, Danuel House Jr., Brandon Knight)27
14
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
14
Q1 - Rockets Nene defensive rebound27
14
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point layup27
14
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound27
14
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot27
14
Q1 - Rockets Nene defensive rebound27
14
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point reverse layup27
14
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 227
14
Q1 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, Nene, James Harden, Gerald Green, Danuel House Jr.)26
14
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 226
14
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)25
14
Q1 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound25
14
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup25
14
Q1 - RocketsGerald Green makes two point jump shot25
14
Q1 - Jump ball. Clint Capela vs. Dwyane Wade (Eric Gordon gains possession)23
14
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)23
14
Q1 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Gerald Green, Danuel House Jr., Clint Capela)23
14
Q1 - RocketsRockets offensive rebound23
14
Q1 - RocketsPJ Tucker misses three point jump shot23
14
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup23
14
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
12
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup23
12
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
12
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup23
12
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
12
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup23
12
Q1 - RocketsGerald Green makes three point jump shot (Eric Gordon assists)23
12
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (traveling)20
12
Q1 - RocketsEric Gordon makes two point floating jump shot20
12
Q1 - RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot18
12
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup18
12
Q1 - RocketsGerald Green defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point jump shot18
12
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Dwyane Wade)18
12
Q1 - RocketsPJ Tucker personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)18
12
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden turnover (bad pass) (Hassan Whiteside steals)18
12
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Gerald Green steals)18
12
Q1 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Gerald Green, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)18
12
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout18
12
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
12
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound18
12
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot18
12
Q1 - RocketsEric Gordon makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)18
12
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot15
12
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound15
10
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup15
10
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)15
10
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)15
10
Q1 - RocketsClint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (James Harden assists)15
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 213
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 213
6
Q1 - RocketsChris Paul shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)13
6
Q1 - RocketsClint Capela makes two point dunk (Chris Paul assists)13
6
Q1 - RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound11
6
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot11
6
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound11
6
Q1 - RocketsChris Paul misses three point jump shot11
6
Q1 - RocketsRockets defensive rebound11
6
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot11
6
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound11
6
Q1 - RocketsEric Gordon misses three point jump shot11
6
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point dunk (Hassan Whiteside assists)11
6
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound11
4
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup11
4
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)11
4
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden makes three point step back jump shot11
2
Q1 - RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound8
2
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup8
2
Q1 - RocketsPJ Tucker makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)8
2
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 25
2
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 25
1
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)5
0
Q1 - RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot5
0
Q1 - RocketsEric Gordon defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
0
Q1 - RocketsEric Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 22
0
Q1 - RocketsEric Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 21
0
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Eric Gordon draws the foul)0
0
Q1 - RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - HeatEric Gordon blocks Josh Richardson's three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - Clint Capela vs. Hassan Whiteside (Josh Richardson gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Rodney McGruder)0
0
Q1 - Rockets lineup change (Eric Gordon, James Harden, Chris Paul, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)0
0
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.01 50.5%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
7
24
29%
MIA
18
33
55%
Midrange
HOU
4
4
100%
MIA
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
18
27.0
54
33%
50%
MIA
9
13.5
39
23%
35%
Free Throws
HOU
23
30
77%
MIA
20
34
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3558%17.5 / 30
E. Gordon2053%10.0 / 19
P. Tucker1450%7.0 / 14
D. House10100%5.0 / 5
C. Capela643%3.0 / 7
G. Green536%2.5 / 7
C. Paul450%2.0 / 4
B. Knight338%1.5 / 4
Nene250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2258%11.0 / 19
T. Johnson1979%9.5 / 12
D. Jones1558%7.5 / 13
J. Johnson1146%5.5 / 12
D. Wade1031%5.0 / 16
H. Whiteside945%4.5 / 10
K. Olynyk744%3.5 / 8
R. McGruder542%2.5 / 6
B. Adebayo325%1.5 / 6
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
84
+12
-8
96
MIA
83
+27
-9
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.01 50.5%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
107.5
HOU 107.6
MIA 109.8 +2.2
Pace
98.0
98.1
HOU 99.1 +13.2
MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
HOU 14.5 −2.2
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
51.5%
HOU 46.3% +2.8%
MIA 43.5%
TO %
12.8%
14.3%
HOU 7.8%
MIA 7.7% −0.1%
ORB %
22.8%
24.8%
HOU 16.3%
MIA 37.7% +21.4%
FTrt
27.9
24.7
HOU 36.6
MIA 36.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
61.2%
HOU 69.0% +7.9%
MIA 61.1%
STL %
8.6%
7.8%
HOU 6.5%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
8.7%
10.2%
HOU 5.6%
MIA 14.3% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
52.9%
HOU 50.5% +5.0%
MIA 45.5%
Rim FG%
60.6%
60.8%
HOU 29.2%
MIA 54.5% +25.3%
Mid FG%
41.8%
36.8%
HOU 100.0% +57.1%
MIA 42.9%
3P %
35.6%
34.9%
HOU 33.3% +10.2%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
79.1%
69.5%
HOU 76.7% +17.9%
MIA 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
37.3%
HOU 29.3%
MIA 35.5% +6.2%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
25.9%
HOU 4.9% −17.7%
MIA 22.6%
3P Att. %
51.9%
36.8%
HOU 65.9% +23.9%
MIA 41.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points99101
Rebounds4161
Assists2022
Steals66
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)9 (0)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)20 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)41 (3)
Field Goals29-8236-93
At-the-Rim FG7-2418-33
Midrange FG4-49-21
2-Point FG11-2827-54
3-Point FG18-549-39
Free Throws23-3020-34
Fast Break Pts97
2nd Chance Pts928
Points in Paint2052
Pts off Turnovers147
Bench Points2035
Biggest Lead1611

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
42.8
35
58%
6
12
2
0
3
4
1
5
15-18
83%
1-9
11%
6-14
43%
#10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 30
38.3
20
53%
3
3
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
5-13
38%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 34
37.8
14
50%
7
0
1
0
0
5
2
5
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
3-11
27%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 25
29.3
6
43%
14
1
1
1
0
2
5
9
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
12.1
4
50%
1
4
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
25.0
5
36%
6
0
1
0
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
18.7
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#4 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
18.4
10
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 27
17.7
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 35
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#8 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Leg
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
51%
41
20
6
3
8
23
8
33
23-30
77%
11-28
39%
18-54
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.