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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 20, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Mavericks48%115121
20Clippers52%116125
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
34.5
31.0
16
54%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
3-5
60%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
32.7
27.7
11
71%
22
4
1
1
0
0
7
15
3-4
75%
4-6
4-6
67%
64%
0-0
-
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.8
31.0
32.2
32
62%
4
5
4
1
0
4
4
0
9-13
69%
7-14
4-8
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
27.4
30.0
6
38%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.3
20.9
24.4
7
35%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
51%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
27.1
18.3
19
60%
3
8
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
49%
1-3
33%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.6
18.8
24.2
4
69%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.8
18.8
16.1
13
57%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.5
8.8
2.0
5
87%
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
0-0
100%
62%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.9
7.7
12.4
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
59%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.4
6.5
17.2
4
60%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
65%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.5
5.8
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.1
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
37.1
32.9
16
52%
9
5
1
1
0
1
1
8
8-8
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
54%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
33.9
31.3
32
84%
6
4
0
1
2
3
1
5
7-7
100%
8-10
3-7
80%
47%
3-6
50%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.1
27.7
29.5
2
25%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 20.4
19.2
28.7
4
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
12.3
14.7
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
28.4
23.8
18
67%
6
4
0
1
2
1
4
2
0-1
0%
9-13
5-9
69%
63%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
25.3
27.1
8
51%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 32.1
23.9
13.2
26
79%
1
8
2
0
0
4
0
1
7-10
70%
8-9
3-5
89%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 30.4
14.1
14.0
5
42%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Tyrone Wallace
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.5
10.9
12.0
6
68%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 30.3
7.4
6.6
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Milos Teodosic
G · 6'5" 196 · 31.8
6.9
0
0-1
49%
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.6
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.8
Angel Delgado
C · 6'10" 245 · 24.1
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.