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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2018
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Timberwolves48%11398
21Spurs52%114124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.0
31
31
13
7
1
6
2
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 23.8
29
32
15
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
9-10
90%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-3
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 23.1
29
32
13
6
4
1
1
0
1
0
6
4-5
80%
3-10
6-11
30%
57%
1-5
20%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
24
20
9
7
1
0
1
2
0
2
5
1-2
50%
4-4
3-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.2
16
30
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-8
6-12
13%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 20.3
26
21
8
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
4-5
80%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.6
26
17
10
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.7
20
26
7
5
4
1
1
0
3
1
4
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 28.9
19
14
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
12
6
7
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-1
0%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 28.4
4
2
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
2-2
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.7
3
0
0-1
47%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.5
C.J. Williams
F-G · 6'5" 230 · 28.9
Jared Terrell
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
32
30
12
5
8
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-4
50%
5-10
8-15
50%
50%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
30
24
22
4
7
0
0
1
1
0
4
5-5
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
3-5
60%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
25
25
7
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
48%
0-3
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.4
23
27
10
9
4
0
1
1
2
3
6
1-1
100%
3-9
7-13
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.3
19
25
14
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
2-2
100%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.2
27
20
12
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-9
3-5
67%
63%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.7
26
20
17
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
5-9
56%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.1
23
18
15
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
57%
5-7
71%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.4
23
20
6
3
5
3
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
5
6
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.7
4
13
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.7
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.5
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.