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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 22, 2018
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets56%115111
21Clippers44%113132
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.8
31
36
18
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
51%
1-6
17%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
30
28
8
9
4
2
1
0
3
2
7
2-4
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
57%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
26
27
6
5
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
23
30
8
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-3
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
21
34
19
6
3
0
1
1
4
2
4
3-3
100%
5-13
7-13
38%
56%
2-2
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
28
21
11
4
1
5
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
5-11
2-4
45%
52%
0-3
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
25
28
15
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-6
4-7
83%
51%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
18
20
13
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-3
67%
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.6
13
8
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
10
1
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
9
1
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
6
0
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
0%
1-1
100%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.5
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.0
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.7
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 20.4
33
24
14
2
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
27
34
21
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
52%
3-5
60%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
25
32
21
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
3-5
60%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.1
22
28
9
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
20
13
4
11
1
0
0
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 30.4
23
14
9
5
4
2
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
1-3
33%
Tyrone Wallace
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.5
20
11
8
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
19
25
20
10
0
0
1
1
0
3
7
2-3
67%
9-11
6-9
82%
62%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
19
26
12
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
2-4
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 32.2
17
17
6
0
7
0
1
0
5
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 30.4
9
7
6
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
7
3
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Milos Teodosic
G · 6'5" 196 · 31.8
5
0
0-0
48%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.6
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.8
Angel Delgado
C · 6'10" 245 · 24.1
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.