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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 23, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Mavericks42%111118
21Trail Blazers58%114121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
35
33
27
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
5-8
63%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.8
35
30
23
11
6
0
1
0
1
2
9
7-9
78%
5-14
4-8
36%
49%
2-7
29%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
35
31
8
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
2-7
29%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
34
31
14
10
1
0
1
0
1
3
7
2-3
67%
6-8
4-7
75%
64%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.3
33
23
11
6
3
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-2
0%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
20
21
9
1
8
0
0
0
1
0
1
5-7
71%
2-8
4-7
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.4
19
9
14
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
4-4
100%
5-8
1-2
63%
63%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.8
18
15
2
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.6
18
22
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
1-1
100%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.9
18
11
5
7
0
0
0
2
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
59%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.5
10
0
1-2
46%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.5
4
0
0-1
61%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
3
0
0-0
48%
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.4
39
33
33
2
7
0
1
1
2
0
2
9-9
100%
9-17
5-11
53%
51%
2-7
29%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
36
25
9
9
0
2
1
0
0
0
9
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
1-5
20%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.3
34
31
22
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
9-12
6-12
75%
51%
1-8
13%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
29
25
10
12
6
0
1
2
2
3
9
0-2
0%
5-8
5-10
63%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
26
22
13
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
57%
1-2
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
24
24
2
5
4
0
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-9
3-6
11%
51%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.8
23
17
13
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
56%
1-4
25%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
22
15
12
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
4-8
50%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 21.1
18
21
5
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
1-2
50%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.2
14
14
2
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 24.8
6
0
1-1
55%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
4
0
1-1
49%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
46%
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 19.9
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 19.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.