FinalWin Prob.pScore
555%108
106
1345%106
104
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
112.89499.1
MIA logo MIA
110.69491.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
100%
104
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound106
95.6%
104
4.4%
Q4 - 0:00.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point tip layup106
98.6%
104
1.4%
Q4 - 0:01.2HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound106
92.4%
104
7.6%
Q4 - 0:02.8HeatJustise Winslow misses three point fadeaway jump shot106
96.8%
104
3.2%
Q4 - 0:02.9HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound106
92.4%
104
7.6%
Q4 - 0:04.9HeatDwyane Wade misses three point stepback jump shot106
96.8%
104
3.2%
Q4 - 0:14.4RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)106
82.2%
104
17.8%
Q4 - 0:22.7RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Serge Ibaka assists)106
79.2%
104
20.8%
Q4 - 0:35.2HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup (Dwyane Wade assists)103
44.5%
104
55.5%
Q4 - 0:53.8RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point pullup jump shot103
60.1%
102
39.9%
Q4 - 1:04HeatDwyane Wade makes three point stepback jump shot101
46.4%
102
53.6%
Q4 - 1:19RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
71.1%
99
28.9%
Q4 - 1:19RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
69.8%
99
30.2%
Q4 - 1:19HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)99
68.1%
99
31.9%
Q4 - 1:25RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound99
60.8%
99
39.2%
Q4 - 1:29HeatJosh Richardson misses two point fadeaway jump shot99
56.4%
99
43.6%
Q4 - 1:52RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 199
47.1%
99
52.9%
Q4 - 1:52HeatTyler Johnson shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)98
44.4%
99
55.6%
Q4 - 1:54HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)96
26.1%
99
73.9%
Q4 - 2:13RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)96
17.0%
99
83.0%
Q4 - 2:27HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving bank jump shot93
9.0%
99
91.0%
Q4 - 2:40HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound93
11.2%
97
88.8%
Q4 - 2:43RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point pullup jump shot93
13.5%
97
86.5%
Q4 - 2:51RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound93
21.6%
97
78.4%
Q4 - 2:54HeatTyler Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 293
20.4%
97
79.6%
Q4 - 2:54HeatTyler Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 293
16.3%
97
83.7%
Q4 - 2:54RaptorsPascal Siakam shooting foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)93
12.2%
97
87.8%
Q4 - 2:54RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Johnson steals)93
7.5%
97
92.5%
Q4 - 2:58HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot93
21.7%
97
78.3%
Q4 - 3:12RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)93
26.6%
95
73.4%
Q4 - 3:28HeatJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)93
40.4%
95
59.6%
Q4 - 3:43HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound93
49.0%
93
51.0%
Q4 - 3:46RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point turnaround jump shot93
52.0%
93
48.0%
Q4 - 4:13HeatTyler Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)93
58.8%
93
41.2%
Q4 - 4:28RaptorsDanny Green personal foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)93
66.9%
91
33.1%
Q4 - 4:46RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)93
66.9%
91
33.1%
Q4 - 4:49RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound90
49.4%
91
50.6%
Q4 - 4:51RaptorsGreg Monroe misses two point driving layup90
42.3%
91
57.7%
Q4 - 4:52RaptorsGreg Monroe offensive rebound90
49.4%
91
50.6%
Q4 - 4:57RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot90
42.3%
91
57.7%
Q4 - 5:17RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound90
50.3%
91
49.7%
Q4 - 5:21HeatTyler Johnson misses two point jump shot90
47.6%
91
52.4%
Q4 - 5:35RaptorsDanny Green turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Johnson steals)90
41.5%
91
58.5%
Q4 - 5:41RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound90
50.3%
91
49.7%
Q4 - 5:46HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point pullup jump shot90
47.6%
91
52.4%
Q4 - 5:55HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound90
41.5%
91
58.5%
Q4 - 5:59RaptorsGreg Monroe misses two point driving layup90
44.1%
91
55.9%
Q4 - 6:12HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)90
51.1%
91
48.9%
Q4 - 6:23HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Loose ball) (Greg Monroe draws the foul)90
51.1%
91
48.9%
Q4 - 6:23RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound90
51.1%
91
48.9%
Q4 - 6:23RaptorsDelon Wright misses three point jump shot90
45.1%
91
54.9%
Q4 - 6:49HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)90
51.0%
91
49.0%
Q4 - 7:02RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)90
64.5%
88
35.5%
Q4 - 7:12RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound90
71.2%
88
28.8%
Q4 - 7:16HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot90
69.2%
88
30.8%
Q4 - 7:27RaptorsGreg Monroe makes regular free throw 2 of 290
64.5%
88
35.5%
Q4 - 7:27RaptorsGreg Monroe makes regular free throw 1 of 289
63.0%
88
37.0%
Q4 - 7:27HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Greg Monroe draws the foul)88
61.3%
88
38.7%
Q4 - 7:36RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound88
58.8%
88
41.2%
Q4 - 7:40HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot88
56.5%
88
43.5%
Q4 - 7:59RaptorsDelon Wright makes two point reverse layup (Norman Powell assists)88
51.1%
88
48.9%
Q4 - 8:12HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup86
45.5%
88
54.5%
Q4 - 8:14HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound86
51.7%
86
48.3%
Q4 - 8:17HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving floating bank jump shot86
56.1%
86
43.9%
Q4 - 8:32HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound86
51.7%
86
48.3%
Q4 - 8:35RaptorsPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 286
52.6%
86
47.4%
Q4 - 8:35RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 286
56.5%
86
43.5%
Q4 - 8:35HeatTyler Johnson shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)85
54.8%
86
45.2%
Q4 - 9:00RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound85
51.9%
86
48.1%
Q4 - 9:00HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 185
51.0%
86
49.0%
Q4 - 9:00RaptorsPascal Siakam shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)85
47.7%
86
52.3%
Q4 - 9:23RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point jump shot85
57.7%
84
42.3%
Q4 - 9:47HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)83
52.1%
84
47.9%
Q4 - 9:57HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound83
63.5%
81
36.5%
Q4 - 10:00RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot83
65.2%
81
34.8%
Q4 - 10:22HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)83
68.4%
81
31.6%
Q4 - 10:38RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (traveling)83
72.9%
79
27.1%
Q4 - 10:54Jump ball. OG Anunoby vs. Tyler Johnson (OG Anunoby gains possession)83
77.4%
79
22.6%
Q4 - 11:21RaptorsDelon Wright makes two point driving layup83
71.9%
79
28.1%
Q4 - 11:27HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (lost ball) (OG Anunoby steals)81
67.4%
79
32.6%
Q4 - 11:31HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound81
62.5%
79
37.5%
Q4 - 11:35RaptorsDwyane Wade blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving layup81
64.0%
79
36.0%
Q4 - 11:39RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound81
67.4%
79
32.6%
Q4 - 11:44HeatJosh Richardson misses three point stepback jump shot81
65.9%
79
34.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
62.5%
79
37.5%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds lost ball)81
67.0%
79
33.0%
Q3 - 0:03.6RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)81
62.6%
79
37.4%
Q3 - 0:24.8RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound78
52.4%
79
47.6%
Q3 - 0:28.3HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot78
50.9%
79
49.1%
Q3 - 0:49.2HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound78
47.4%
79
52.6%
Q3 - 0:53.6RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot78
48.9%
79
51.1%
Q3 - 1:16HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)78
53.0%
79
47.0%
Q3 - 1:26RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point putback layup78
62.4%
76
37.6%
Q3 - 1:26RaptorsKawhi Leonard offensive rebound76
57.8%
76
42.2%
Q3 - 1:28RaptorsJosh Richardson blocks Kawhi Leonard's two point layup76
54.4%
76
45.6%
Q3 - 1:29RaptorsKawhi Leonard offensive rebound76
57.8%
76
42.2%
Q3 - 1:33RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot76
54.4%
76
45.6%
Q3 - 1:39HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Kawhi Leonard steals)76
57.8%
76
42.2%
Q3 - 1:57RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Serge Ibaka assists)76
52.9%
76
47.1%
Q3 - 2:12RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound73
43.8%
76
56.2%
Q3 - 2:16HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot73
42.3%
76
57.7%
Q3 - 2:22HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound73
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q3 - 2:26RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot73
40.4%
76
59.6%
Q3 - 2:40RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound73
43.8%
76
56.2%
Q3 - 2:44HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot73
42.3%
76
57.7%
Q3 - 3:05RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 273
39.8%
76
60.2%
Q3 - 3:05RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 272
39.1%
76
60.9%
Q3 - 3:05HeatTyler Johnson shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)71
38.3%
76
61.7%
Q3 - 3:19HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Danny Green draws the foul)71
35.9%
76
64.1%
Q3 - 3:41HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)71
35.9%
76
64.1%
Q3 - 3:59RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot71
39.7%
74
60.3%
Q3 - 4:03RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound68
33.0%
74
67.0%
Q3 - 4:07HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot68
31.6%
74
68.4%
Q3 - 4:20RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 168
28.7%
74
71.3%
Q3 - 4:20HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)67
28.3%
74
71.7%
Q3 - 4:23RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound65
22.7%
74
77.3%
Q3 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot65
21.7%
74
78.3%
Q3 - 4:43RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup65
19.5%
74
80.5%
Q3 - 4:49RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound63
17.3%
74
82.7%
Q3 - 4:52HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot63
16.4%
74
83.6%
Q3 - 5:01RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q3 - 5:14RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 2 of 263
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 5:14RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 262
15.6%
74
84.4%
Q3 - 5:14HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)61
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q3 - 5:26HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)61
13.9%
74
86.1%
Q3 - 5:42RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point layup (Danny Green assists)61
18.1%
71
81.9%
Q3 - 6:01HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving floating jump shot59
17.1%
71
82.9%
Q3 - 6:20RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes three point jump shot59
19.2%
69
80.8%
Q3 - 6:29RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound56
14.9%
69
85.1%
Q3 - 6:34HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup56
14.3%
69
85.7%
Q3 - 6:53RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Serge Ibaka assists)56
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q3 - 7:09HeatRodney McGruder makes two point floating jump shot53
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 7:20HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound53
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 7:22RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses three point stepback jump shot53
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 7:27RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound53
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 7:30HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot53
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 7:53RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)53
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 8:16HeatJosh Richardson makes two point running layup50
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 8:21RaptorsKawhi Leonard turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)50
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 8:32HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving dunk50
12.7%
65
87.3%
Q3 - 8:44RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point tip layup50
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 8:45RaptorsKawhi Leonard offensive rebound48
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 8:48RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot48
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 9:02RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound48
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 9:05HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 248
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 9:05HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 248
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 9:05RaptorsSerge Ibaka shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)48
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 9:23RaptorsDanny Green makes two point tip layup48
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 9:23RaptorsDanny Green offensive rebound46
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 9:24RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point pullup jump shot46
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 9:32RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound46
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 9:35HeatRodney McGruder misses three point pullup jump shot46
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 9:50RaptorsDanny Green turnover (out of bounds lost ball)46
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 10:09HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 246
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 10:09HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 246
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 10:09RaptorsPascal Siakam shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)46
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 10:19RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)46
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 10:19RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive foul (Off the ball) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)46
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 10:29HeatRodney McGruder turnover (traveling)46
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 10:33RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)46
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 10:51RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound46
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 10:52HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot46
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 11:01HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound46
13.2%
61
86.8%
Q3 - 11:05RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot46
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 11:20HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)46
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 11:39RaptorsDanny Green makes two point jump shot (Serge Ibaka assists)46
18.6%
58
81.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q2 - 0:06.6RaptorsGreg Monroe defensive rebound44
17.6%
58
82.4%
Q2 - 0:09.4HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot44
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q2 - 0:34.3RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point driving layup44
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q2 - 0:46.2HeatJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot42
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q2 - 1:04RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 2 of 242
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q2 - 1:04RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 241
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q2 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)40
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q2 - 1:21HeatJames Johnson makes three point stepback jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)40
14.7%
56
85.3%
Q2 - 1:38RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 2 of 240
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q2 - 1:38RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 239
18.8%
53
81.2%
Q2 - 1:38HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)38
18.5%
53
81.5%
Q2 - 1:38RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound38
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 1:42HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot38
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q2 - 1:56HeatHeat defensive rebound38
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q2 - 1:57RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot38
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q2 - 2:10HeatJames Johnson makes two point running finger roll layup (Tyler Johnson assists)38
17.8%
53
82.2%
Q2 - 2:13HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound38
19.6%
51
80.4%
Q2 - 2:17RaptorsTyler Johnson blocks Fred VanVleet's two point running layup38
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q2 - 2:21HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Kawhi Leonard steals)38
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q2 - 2:32HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound38
19.6%
51
80.4%
Q2 - 2:35RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point hook shot38
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q2 - 2:49HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving dunk38
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q2 - 3:07HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound38
24.9%
49
75.1%
Q2 - 3:11RaptorsHassan Whiteside blocks Serge Ibaka's two point driving layup38
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 3:17RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound38
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 3:17RaptorsHassan Whiteside blocks Serge Ibaka's two point layup38
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 3:18RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive rebound38
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 3:21RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point driving reverse layup38
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 3:38HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 238
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 3:38HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 238
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q2 - 3:38RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)38
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 3:42HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound38
29.5%
47
70.5%
Q2 - 3:45RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses three point jump shot38
30.4%
47
69.6%
Q2 - 4:03HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)38
33.2%
47
66.8%
Q2 - 4:20HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound38
38.3%
44
61.7%
Q2 - 4:23RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot38
39.2%
44
60.8%
Q2 - 4:40HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)38
41.1%
44
58.9%
Q2 - 4:57HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound38
43.8%
42
56.2%
Q2 - 5:00RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses regular free throw 2 of 238
44.2%
42
55.8%
Q2 - 5:00RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes regular free throw 1 of 238
46.2%
42
53.8%
Q2 - 5:00HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Serge Ibaka draws the foul)37
45.7%
42
54.3%
Q2 - 5:14HeatJustise Winslow makes two point pullup bank jump shot37
44.5%
42
55.5%
Q2 - 5:30RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)37
46.8%
40
53.2%
Q2 - 5:35RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound34
41.8%
40
58.2%
Q2 - 5:37HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point hook shot34
40.8%
40
59.2%
Q2 - 5:39HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound34
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 5:41HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot34
40.8%
40
59.2%
Q2 - 5:55HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound34
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 5:59RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot34
39.6%
40
60.4%
Q2 - 6:03RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound34
42.3%
40
57.7%
Q2 - 6:09HeatPascal Siakam blocks Josh Richardson's three point jump shot34
41.3%
40
58.7%
Q2 - 6:16HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound34
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 6:20RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses three point jump shot34
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 6:29RaptorsDelon Wright defensive rebound34
42.3%
40
57.7%
Q2 - 6:32HeatSerge Ibaka blocks Josh Richardson's two point floating jump shot34
41.3%
40
58.7%
Q2 - 6:45RaptorsDelon Wright makes regular free throw 2 of 234
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 6:45RaptorsDelon Wright misses regular free throw 1 of 233
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 6:45HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)33
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q2 - 7:02HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)33
40.2%
40
59.8%
Q2 - 7:05HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound33
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 7:08RaptorsHassan Whiteside blocks Pascal Siakam's two point driving layup33
46.1%
37
53.9%
Q2 - 7:26HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (traveling)33
47.9%
37
52.1%
Q2 - 7:38RaptorsDanny Green turnover (out of bounds lost ball)33
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 7:51HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 133
47.9%
37
52.1%
Q2 - 7:51RaptorsOG Anunoby shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)33
48.7%
36
51.3%
Q2 - 7:59RaptorsSerge Ibaka personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)33
53.0%
34
47.0%
Q2 - 8:21RaptorsDelon Wright makes two point fadeaway jump shot33
52.9%
34
47.1%
Q2 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Serge Ibaka draws the foul)31
50.5%
34
49.5%
Q2 - 8:34RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound31
50.5%
34
49.5%
Q2 - 8:35HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup31
49.7%
34
50.3%
Q2 - 8:46RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)31
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 8:50RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound28
42.9%
34
57.1%
Q2 - 8:52RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot28
41.0%
34
59.0%
Q2 - 9:10HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving bank hook shot28
43.2%
34
56.8%
Q2 - 9:20RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)28
45.4%
32
54.6%
Q2 - 9:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
45.4%
32
54.6%
Q2 - 9:28RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot28
46.2%
32
53.8%
Q2 - 9:34HeatTyler Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Danny Green steals)28
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 9:59RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)28
45.4%
32
54.6%
Q2 - 10:02RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound25
40.9%
32
59.1%
Q2 - 10:06HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot25
40.1%
32
59.9%
Q2 - 10:26RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point driving layup25
38.3%
32
61.7%
Q2 - 10:42RaptorsDelon Wright defensive rebound23
36.3%
32
63.7%
Q2 - 10:44HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 2 of 223
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 10:44HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 223
34.5%
32
65.5%
Q2 - 10:44RaptorsNorman Powell shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)23
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q2 - 10:56RaptorsDanny Green turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)23
36.0%
31
64.0%
Q2 - 11:01RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound23
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 11:04HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot23
38.2%
31
61.8%
Q2 - 11:17RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (out of bounds lost ball)23
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 11:23HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)23
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 11:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 11:33RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point tip dunk23
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 11:33RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound23
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 11:38RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot23
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q1 - 0:01.2HeatHeat offensive rebound23
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q1 - 0:01.2HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot23
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0RaptorsDanny Green personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)23
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q1 - 0:20.6HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound23
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q1 - 0:24.1RaptorsGreg Monroe misses two point hook shot23
37.6%
31
62.4%
Q1 - 0:32.5RaptorsDelon Wright defensive rebound23
38.9%
31
61.1%
Q1 - 0:37.4HeatDwyane Wade misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot23
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q1 - 0:54.8RaptorsGreg Monroe makes regular free throw 1 of 123
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q1 - 0:54.8HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Greg Monroe draws the foul)22
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q1 - 0:54.8RaptorsGreg Monroe offensive rebound20
32.5%
31
67.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0RaptorsDelon Wright misses two point driving layup20
31.3%
31
68.7%
Q1 - 1:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Johnson assists)20
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q1 - 1:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
35.2%
29
64.8%
Q1 - 1:19RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot20
35.7%
29
64.3%
Q1 - 1:40HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)20
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q1 - 1:45RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Johnson steals)20
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q1 - 1:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)20
41.3%
27
58.7%
Q1 - 2:09RaptorsGreg Monroe makes two point cutting layup (OG Anunoby assists)20
39.8%
27
60.2%
Q1 - 2:16RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound18
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q1 - 2:20HeatJustise Winslow misses two point stepback jump shot18
37.0%
27
63.0%
Q1 - 2:39RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot18
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q1 - 3:00HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point running layup (Dwyane Wade assists)16
33.4%
27
66.6%
Q1 - 3:05RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)16
35.8%
25
64.2%
Q1 - 3:09RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound16
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q1 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot16
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q1 - 3:23RaptorsGreg Monroe personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)16
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q1 - 3:23HeatHeat defensive rebound16
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q1 - 3:25RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot16
36.5%
25
63.5%
Q1 - 3:45HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds step)16
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q1 - 3:58RaptorsGreg Monroe makes two point layup (Norman Powell assists)16
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q1 - 4:11HeatTyler Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)14
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q1 - 4:27RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 2 of 214
36.3%
23
63.7%
Q1 - 4:27RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses regular free throw 1 of 213
36.1%
23
63.9%
Q1 - 4:27HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)13
37.8%
23
62.2%
Q1 - 4:29RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound13
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 4:34HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot13
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q1 - 4:50RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Kawhi Leonard assists)13
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q1 - 5:03HeatJames Johnson makes two point running finger roll layup (Justise Winslow assists)10
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 5:10RaptorsKawhi Leonard turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)10
33.8%
21
66.2%
Q1 - 5:15HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point driving dunk10
35.7%
21
64.3%
Q1 - 5:21HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound10
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 5:25RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot10
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 5:28RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound10
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 5:32HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving bank jump shot10
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 5:54RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point driving hook shot10
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 6:08RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound8
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 6:09RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses three point jump shot8
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 6:34HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)8
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 6:47HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound8
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 6:51RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point bank jump shot8
38.7%
17
61.3%
Q1 - 7:07HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)8
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 7:13HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound8
44.6%
14
55.4%
Q1 - 7:16RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot8
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 7:31HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)8
46.5%
14
53.5%
Q1 - 7:47RaptorsDanny Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kawhi Leonard assists)8
50.2%
11
49.8%
Q1 - 7:57RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound6
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 8:00HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot6
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 8:02HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound6
47.0%
11
53.0%
Q1 - 8:06HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot6
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 8:27RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point driving layup6
46.9%
11
53.1%
Q1 - 8:44HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Josh Richardson assists)4
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 8:50HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound4
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 8:54RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot4
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 9:06HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)4
49.0%
9
51.0%
Q1 - 9:26RaptorsSerge Ibaka turnover (offensive foul)4
50.4%
7
49.6%
Q1 - 9:26RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive foul (Off the ball) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)4
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 9:39HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)4
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 9:55RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving floating bank jump shot4
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 10:02RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound2
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 10:05HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving floating jump shot2
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 10:11HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound2
52.4%
4
47.6%
Q1 - 10:14RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot2
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 10:34HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving floating jump shot2
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 10:40HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound2
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 10:44RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot2
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 11:07HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup2
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 11:08HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound2
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 11:11HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot2
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 11:26RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)2
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 11:39RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound0
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 11:43HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point cutting layup0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 12:00Serge Ibaka vs. Hassan Whiteside (Rodney McGruder gains possession)0
56.2%
0
43.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.16 58.2%
MIA
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
12
19
63%
MIA
18
21
86%
Midrange
TOR
12
30
40%
MIA
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
MIA
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
Free Throws
TOR
19
23
83%
MIA
6
12
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3060%15.0 / 25
D. Green1890%9.0 / 10
F. VanVleet1662%8.0 / 13
P. Siakam1063%5.0 / 8
G. Monroe964%4.5 / 7
D. Wright758%3.5 / 6
S. Ibaka627%3.0 / 11
O. Anunoby550%2.5 / 5
N. Powell563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2166%10.5 / 16
J. Richardson1765%8.5 / 13
H. Whiteside1662%8.0 / 13
J. Johnson1267%6.0 / 9
T. Johnson1260%6.0 / 10
D. Wade1038%5.0 / 13
R. McGruder563%2.5 / 4
D. Jones5125%2.5 / 2
K. Olynyk440%2.0 / 5
B. Adebayo233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
78
+13
-16
91
MIA
82
+8
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.16 58.2%
MIA
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
107.5
TOR 112.8 +2.1
MIA 110.6
Pace
100.2
98.1
TOR 99.1 +7.3
MIA 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
TOR 14.5 +1.2
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
51.5%
TOR 55.1%
MIA 59.0% +3.9%
TO %
13.2%
14.3%
TOR 15.2%
MIA 12.0% +3.2%
ORB %
21.8%
24.8%
TOR 25.6% +10.2%
MIA 15.4%
FTrt
24.7
24.7
TOR 29.1 +14.6
MIA 14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
61.2%
TOR 51.4%
MIA 65.1% +13.7%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
TOR 8.5%
MIA 10.6% +2.1%
BLK %
9.1%
10.2%
TOR 3.7%
MIA 12.2% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
52.9%
TOR 58.2% +0.4%
MIA 57.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.8%
TOR 63.2%
MIA 85.7% +22.5%
Mid FG%
43.1%
36.8%
TOR 40.0% +0.6%
MIA 39.4%
3P %
36.6%
34.9%
TOR 43.3% +1.9%
MIA 41.4%
FT %
80.4%
69.5%
TOR 82.6% +32.6%
MIA 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
37.3%
TOR 24.1%
MIA 25.3% +1.3%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
25.9%
TOR 38.0% +1.8%
MIA 39.8%
3P Att. %
37.9%
36.8%
TOR 38.0% +3.0%
MIA 34.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes22.824.6
Points106104
Rebounds4335
Assists1928
Steals810
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1617
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)29 (2)
Field Goals37-7943-83
At-the-Rim FG12-1918-21
Midrange FG12-3013-33
2-Point FG24-4931-54
3-Point FG13-3012-29
Free Throws19-236-12
Fast Break Pts1713
2nd Chance Pts174
Points in Paint4056
Pts off Turnovers720
Bench Points2633
Biggest Lead417

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
38.1
16
62%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
35.2
30
60%
8
2
2
0
2
0
3
5
10-11
91%
7-15
47%
2-5
40%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
33.9
18
90%
6
2
1
0
4
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
33.5
10
63%
9
2
1
1
6
5
0
9
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
30.4
6
27%
3
4
0
1
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-8
13%
1-2
50%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 21
25.4
5
50%
8
2
2
0
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
16.1
5
63%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
16.1
7
58%
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#15 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
11.2
9
64%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'5" 189 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Dislocated Left Thumb
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back Pain
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
58%
43
19
8
2
16
16
10
33
19-23
83%
24-49
49%
13-30
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.