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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 26, 2018
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets
103
17Spurs
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
36
26
27
13
1
0
1
0
0
2
11
5-6
83%
2-6
2-3
33%
55%
6-7
86%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
34
26
10
8
2
0
1
2
0
3
5
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
31
26
4
4
10
2
1
0
5
2
2
1-2
50%
0-4
6-10
0%
56%
1-1
100%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
29
28
7
6
3
2
1
1
2
2
4
1-5
20%
3-5
4-7
60%
57%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.8
27
33
9
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-11
5-10
27%
50%
1-8
13%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
30
25
22
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
51%
4-12
33%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
29
26
15
0
4
3
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-11
3-6
27%
51%
3-5
60%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
15
19
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
3
4
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
2
6
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.6
10
0
0-1
44%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.5
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.7
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
38
32
30
7
5
2
1
1
2
1
6
11-14
79%
8-15
8-16
53%
49%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.4
33
27
27
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
13-18
6-13
72%
50%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
30
27
15
4
4
2
0
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
28
25
7
1
4
1
1
2
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.4
25
26
6
8
3
0
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
0-3
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.1
25
21
6
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
2-3
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.8
22
21
12
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
4-9
44%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.4
20
21
2
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-5
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.2
19
20
6
11
2
0
0
0
0
3
8
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
62%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.8
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
12
0
1-2
47%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.7
7
0
0-1
51%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
4
0
0-0
48%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.3
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.5
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.