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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 27, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
776ers38%107114
3Jazz62%11197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 29.3
35.9
32.6
19
64%
1
1
3
2
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
1-2
50%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
32.5
32.6
23
61%
15
6
0
1
5
4
2
13
3-4
75%
7-11
7-14
64%
52%
2-6
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 34.5
31.7
30.3
24
93%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
6-9
67%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.4
31.2
32.7
13
47%
14
12
3
1
1
7
6
8
1-2
50%
6-13
6-11
46%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.6
19.3
30.5
2
17%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-4
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
22.8
23.5
10
71%
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
52%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
21.1
17.6
8
68%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-5
40%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 21.4
15.7
14.2
4
52%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Jonah Bolden
F · 6'10" 220 · 23.0
13.2
7.3
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.8
12.6
15.1
7
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 31.7
2.0
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 24.3
2.0
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
Zhaire Smith
G · 6'4" 199 · 19.6
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.3
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 26.5
36.4
31.6
17
68%
15
5
2
1
0
3
5
10
7-8
88%
5-9
6-10
56%
63%
0-0
-
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
33.4
31.5
23
57%
4
3
3
2
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
7-10
6-11
70%
50%
3-10
30%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
29.9
30.6
5
23%
5
4
0
2
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
0-6
4-8
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 31.2
29.4
30.9
9
35%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
3-9
2-4
33%
53%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 27.5
18.9
22.2
4
42%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
1-1
4-7
100%
59%
0-2
0%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.5
21.5
16.5
20
62%
4
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
5-5
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
51%
3-5
60%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 37.8
20.5
19.8
11
47%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
2-7
29%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.5
18.1
25.3
4
41%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 34.7
17.9
9.2
2
50%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 25.6
7.5
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
2.9
4.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 26.6
2.0
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 25.5
2.0
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 21.0
Tyler Cavanaugh
F · 6'9" 238 · 24.9
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.4
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.