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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 29, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics57%104112
16Grizzlies43%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.8
34.9
33.5
26
67%
4
13
1
1
0
4
1
3
8-8
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.3
33.1
27.9
22
75%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
4-9
44%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 20.8
29.5
29.3
7
58%
8
5
4
1
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
28.2
29.2
8
54%
1
1
4
2
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
23.3
23.3
18
72%
6
3
0
1
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
54%
5-7
71%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.8
26.6
25.1
14
61%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
1-4
25%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.2
19.3
21.9
6
87%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-1
0%
3-3
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
18.7
18.7
7
50%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.0
16.1
4.8
3
50%
4
0
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-3
33%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 26.7
5.7
18.9
1
27%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
57%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
4.8
7.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
2.6
0
0-0
45%
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 24.5
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.1
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
38.3
29.9
10
83%
5
2
4
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.9
37.0
33.1
15
63%
3
10
2
1
1
6
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.2
36.2
33.0
26
51%
5
6
3
1
1
1
3
2
7-8
88%
8-13
5-10
62%
48%
1-9
11%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 32.6
28.0
31.5
2
20%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.3
21.6
26.8
15
78%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-6
67%
4-4
4-8
100%
54%
1-3
33%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
24.7
13.0
19
72%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
5-5
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
47%
4-5
80%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 28.5
23.0
21.9
6
51%
9
0
0
1
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 28.7
14.3
19.0
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 33.8
11.0
11.3
4
42%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 24.2
6.0
13.0
6
61%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.3
7.0
0
1-1
45%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
4.5
0
1-1
54%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 29.9
3.9
0
1-1
50%
DJ Stephens
G-F · 6'5" 188 · 28.0
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.9
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.