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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 30, 2018
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons49%106107
25Magic51%107109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.8
33.8
32.5
15
59%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
51%
1-2
50%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.4
29.7
19.1
10
56%
2
1
1
1
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.7
28.3
26.8
11
37%
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
1-6
17%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.8
27.7
29.8
15
48%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
51%
3-8
38%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.4
25.0
29.9
14
54%
15
0
0
1
0
2
7
8
0-0
-
7-12
6-11
58%
54%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.9
23.0
14.2
8
59%
6
4
2
1
2
0
2
4
4-4
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
22.8
15.0
16
73%
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
48%
2-5
40%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.3
19.7
19.6
4
67%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.6
17.0
17.7
8
49%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-5
60%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.1
13.1
20.9
6
38%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
12.0
0
1-2
48%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.6
8.4
0
1-2
54%
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.6
2.8
0
0-0
45%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.0
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.5
Keenan Evans
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
Zach Lofton
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 31.1
37.6
27.7
26
84%
2
8
2
1
0
1
1
1
10-10
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
34.5
34.4
22
61%
10
4
0
1
1
2
2
8
5-7
71%
7-11
4-8
64%
51%
1-4
25%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.2
34.3
31.9
22
69%
11
4
1
1
2
3
2
9
2-2
100%
10-13
7-13
77%
54%
0-2
0%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 21.2
32.6
25.5
4
41%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.2
29.6
30.6
13
65%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
52%
1-2
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 27.9
27.4
24.9
9
35%
9
0
0
1
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
1-5
20%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 24.0
15.8
12.3
2
26%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 20.6
13.7
12.4
4
29%
6
0
2
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 29.3
8.9
18.8
7
47%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.2
5.5
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
3.9
0
0-1
52%
Isaiah Briscoe
G · 6'3" 220 · 22.7
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 24.6
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Melvin Frazier Jr.
F · 6'6" 198 · 22.3
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 32.5
Amile Jefferson
F · 6'9" 224 · 25.6
Troy Caupain
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.