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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 30, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Thunder53%112103
17Mavericks47%111105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.4
37.9
34.3
8
68%
9
2
2
1
0
0
2
7
0-2
0%
4-4
7-12
100%
60%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
37.6
36.6
9
20%
9
8
6
2
0
5
0
9
1-2
50%
4-14
7-15
29%
49%
0-8
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.7
36.5
22.3
36
61%
5
0
2
1
0
3
3
2
9-12
75%
9-13
4-8
69%
49%
3-11
27%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
34.7
34.3
10
56%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
59%
0-1
0%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 25.3
15.7
17.7
3
30%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 25.3
33.0
32.1
19
48%
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
6-12
5-11
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.8
13.3
10.1
10
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 34.5
11.4
7.1
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.7
10.1
12.5
2
100%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 20.4
9.9
12.4
3
61%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 20.6
13.4
0
1-1
54%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.6
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Alex Abrines
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.4
Donte Grantham
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.8
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 24.9
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
35.4
32.4
16
56%
6
0
2
1
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
48%
1-5
20%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.8
33.8
31.1
25
60%
3
7
1
1
0
6
0
3
3-4
75%
5-8
4-9
63%
48%
4-11
36%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
33.5
31.3
12
69%
17
1
2
1
2
3
3
14
4-6
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
64%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.9
28.4
22.0
3
30%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
59%
1-5
20%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
27.3
28.3
14
64%
4
1
0
1
0
5
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
2-5
40%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
22.3
19.6
10
79%
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
3-3
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
20.7
21.2
6
38%
1
10
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.4
14.6
14.1
6
34%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-7
2-3
29%
63%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.8
13.8
15.4
7
88%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.5
10.3
9.4
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.3
11.1
0
1-3
48%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.5
1.6
0
0-0
61%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.1
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.