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All Games Monday, December 31, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Mavericks
32%107
102
8
Thunder
68%114
122
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
90.3113111.2
OKC logo OKC
108.9112113.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALOKC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
122
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.7%
OKC
1.01 50.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
24
50%
OKC
21
37
57%
Midrange
DAL
5
12
42%
OKC
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
14
21.0
38
37%
55%
OKC
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
Free Throws
DAL
26
34
76%
OKC
24
35
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes25125%12.5 / 10
L. Dončić1765%8.5 / 13
D. Smith1063%5.0 / 8
D. Finney-Smith1050%5.0 / 10
S. Mejri8200%4.0 / 2
W. Matthews735%3.5 / 10
J. Barea627%3.0 / 11
R. Broekhoff660%3.0 / 5
D. Harris542%2.5 / 6
D. Powell375%1.5 / 2
D. Jordan250%1.0 / 2
J. Brunson225%1.0 / 4
M. Kleber125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook3262%16.0 / 26
P. George2250%11.0 / 22
J. Grant1667%8.0 / 12
N. Noel15107%7.5 / 7
S. Adams1250%6.0 / 12
A. Nader10100%5.0 / 5
D. Schröder623%3.0 / 13
T. Ferguson536%2.5 / 7
P. Patterson338%1.5 / 4
H. Diallo117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
87
+8
-26
95
OKC
102
+19
-10
121
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.7%
OKC
1.01 50.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.3
DAL 90.3 +18.7
OKC 108.9
Pace
99.1
102.9
DAL 111.2
OKC 113.8 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
13.2
DAL 12.9
OKC 12.7 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
51.4%
DAL 51.4% +3.8%
OKC 47.6%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
DAL 24.6%
OKC 7.8% +16.8%
ORB %
22.6%
26.0%
DAL 12.5%
OKC 20.0% +7.5%
FTrt
29.1
26.6
DAL 45.9 +11.9
OKC 34.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
54.8%
DAL 67.7% +19.9%
OKC 47.8%
STL %
6.5%
9.0%
DAL 6.2%
OKC 11.6% +5.4%
BLK %
7.6%
9.1%
DAL 3.8%
OKC 8.3% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
53.5%
DAL 53.7% +3.3%
OKC 50.4%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.6%
DAL 50.0%
OKC 56.8% +6.8%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.6%
DAL 41.7%
OKC 45.2% +3.5%
3P %
34.0%
34.8%
DAL 36.8% +11.8%
OKC 25.0%
FT %
74.2%
71.3%
DAL 76.5% +7.9%
OKC 68.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
38.6%
DAL 32.4%
OKC 35.9% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
26.7%
DAL 16.2% +24.6%
OKC 40.8%
3P Att. %
42.2%
34.7%
DAL 51.4% +28.1%
OKC 23.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALOKC
Possessions113112
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points102122
Rebounds4946
Assists2122
Steals713
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)26 (3)10 (0)
Fouls2930
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)11 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals31-7446-103
At-the-Rim FG12-2421-37
Midrange FG5-1219-42
2-Point FG17-3640-79
3-Point FG14-386-24
Free Throws26-3424-35
Fast Break Pts1226
2nd Chance Pts523
Points in Paint2856
Pts off Turnovers536
Bench Points4135
Biggest Lead022

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
16 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 27
29.3
25
125%
5
1
1
0
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
7-9
78%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 32
24.1
7
35%
3
0
2
1
2
4
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-6
17%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
23.6
2
50%
10
1
0
0
6
4
1
9
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Luka Doncic
#77 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 20
22.5
17
65%
6
3
1
0
5
0
1
5
6-6
100%
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 21
20.9
10
63%
1
3
0
0
2
4
0
1
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
23.9
10
50%
8
1
1
0
0
2
3
5
4-5
80%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
20.9
6
27%
3
8
1
0
2
0
0
3
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
0-5
0%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
18.7
1
25%
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
15.8
5
42%
2
1
0
0
2
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
15.5
3
75%
3
0
0
2
3
6
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
9.7
2
25%
0
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
8.9
8
200%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
6.2
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Contract
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Injury Return Management
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Wa Contract
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
54%
49
21
7
3
26
29
5
44
26-34
76%
17-36
47%
14-38
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.