FinalWin Prob.pScore
2428%109
98
472%117
121
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
102.19687.2
MIL logo MIL
126.096106.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
121
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.97 48.5%
MIL
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
31
48%
MIL
25
30
83%
Midrange
DET
8
28
29%
MIL
12
22
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
MIL
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
DET
16
21
76%
MIL
17
26
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin2963%14.5 / 23
R. Jackson19106%9.5 / 9
A. Drummond1554%7.5 / 14
K. Thomas1381%6.5 / 8
L. Kennard844%4.0 / 9
R. Bullock643%3.0 / 7
J. Leuer6100%3.0 / 3
G. Robinson III250%1.0 / 2
B. Brown0-0.0 / 7
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 5
L. Galloway0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Lopez2596%12.5 / 13
K. Middleton2279%11.0 / 14
E. Bledsoe1860%9.0 / 15
G. Antetokounmpo1558%7.5 / 13
M. Brogdon1393%6.5 / 7
T. Snell9113%4.5 / 4
G. Hill867%4.0 / 6
S. Brown467%2.0 / 3
P. Connaughton467%2.0 / 3
T. Maker350%1.5 / 3
D. Wilson0-0.0 / 2
J. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
82
+19
-14
101
MIL
83
+7
-13
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.97 48.5%
MIL
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
113.9
DET 102.1
MIL 126.0 +24.0
Pace
97.3
103.2
DET 87.2
MIL 106.8 +19.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
13.9
DET 16.5
MIL 13.5 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
55.0%
DET 44.6%
MIL 65.8% +21.2%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
DET 12.1% +0.5%
MIL 12.6%
ORB %
24.9%
20.8%
DET 26.9% +12.2%
MIL 14.7%
FTrt
26.1
25.5
DET 22.8
MIL 32.9 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
60.1%
DET 65.7% +6.1%
MIL 59.6%
STL %
7.1%
7.2%
DET 7.3%
MIL 7.3%
BLK %
7.1%
10.4%
DET 3.8%
MIL 10.2% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
57.1%
DET 48.5%
MIL 67.2% +18.7%
Rim FG%
57.5%
64.1%
DET 48.4%
MIL 83.3% +34.9%
Mid FG%
38.4%
39.4%
DET 28.6%
MIL 54.5% +25.9%
3P %
34.8%
35.2%
DET 36.4%
MIL 37.0% +0.6%
FT %
74.7%
77.2%
DET 76.2% +10.8%
MIL 65.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
40.2%
DET 33.7%
MIL 38.0% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
17.8%
DET 30.4%
MIL 27.8% +2.6%
3P Att. %
39.4%
42.0%
DET 35.9% +1.7%
MIL 34.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points98121
Rebounds4343
Assists2328
Steals77
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2619
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)38 (2)
Field Goals35-9247-79
At-the-Rim FG15-3125-30
Midrange FG8-2812-22
2-Point FG23-5937-52
3-Point FG12-3310-27
Free Throws16-2117-26
Fast Break Pts620
2nd Chance Pts144
Points in Paint3466
Pts off Turnovers1719
Bench Points2928
Biggest Lead228

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
33.1
29
63%
9
4
1
1
6
5
4
5
7-7
100%
5-11
45%
4-9
44%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 25
30.3
15
54%
7
1
2
0
1
2
2
5
3-5
60%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22
28.9
0
0%
8
3
0
0
0
4
3
5
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-1
0%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28
26.7
6
43%
4
3
1
0
2
2
1
3
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
2-5
40%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
22.4
19
106%
0
3
0
0
3
2
0
0
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
2-3
67%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
25.2
6
100%
9
2
0
1
1
4
3
6
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
20.1
8
44%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
2-4
50%
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
19.5
13
81%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
16.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
10.3
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-4
0%
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
7.4
2
50%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right lower leg contusion
#7 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Adductor Tear
#12 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#18 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
49%
43
23
7
2
14
26
14
29
16-21
76%
23-59
39%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.