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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 1, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks15%105108
7Nuggets85%119115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Knox
F · 6'9" 212 · 19.4
39
37
18
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
5-9
4-10
56%
43%
2-7
29%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 26.8
38
29
16
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.4
34
28
5
14
3
0
1
1
1
6
8
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.8
32
27
15
3
9
2
1
1
4
2
1
0-2
0%
6-18
4-9
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 23.5
27
24
19
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
3-3
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
4-7
57%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
20
19
17
12
2
0
0
0
0
7
5
5-6
83%
6-11
4-7
55%
55%
0-0
-
Allonzo Trier
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.0
19
19
7
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 20.4
18
16
10
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
2-3
67%
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
13
22
1
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.2
10
0
1-2
46%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 26.1
8
0
1-3
45%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
8
0
0-1
40%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 23.8
5
0
1-1
47%
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 20.8
Isaiah Hicks
F · 6'9" 242 · 24.4
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 23.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
34
34
19
14
15
1
1
3
5
6
8
2-3
67%
7-14
7-12
50%
59%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.9
32
36
8
3
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
7-12
44%
52%
0-3
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
25
28
13
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
58%
2-5
40%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
24
26
8
7
2
2
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
4-6
80%
59%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
20
32
8
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
58%
2-4
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
30
27
23
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
5-9
56%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
23
26
5
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
22
20
16
9
2
2
1
0
0
2
7
4-10
40%
6-9
3-6
67%
53%
0-4
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
20
18
6
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
57%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
10
13
9
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
1-3
33%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
3
0
0-0
50%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
2
0
0-0
58%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.7
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.0
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.