for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, January 2, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Mavericks
48%113
122
22
Hornets
52%114
84
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
122.010096.3
CHA logo CHA
84.0100104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.122
100%
84
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.5%
CHA
0.84 42.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
18
28
64%
CHA
18
29
62%
Midrange
DAL
8
22
36%
CHA
8
29
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
18
27.0
45
40%
60%
CHA
6
9.0
32
19%
28%
Free Throws
DAL
16
18
89%
CHA
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić1853%9.0 / 17
D. Smith1882%9.0 / 11
H. Barnes1753%8.5 / 16
D. Powell15107%7.5 / 7
W. Matthews1169%5.5 / 8
D. Jordan867%4.0 / 6
M. Kleber8133%4.0 / 3
D. Finney-Smith744%3.5 / 8
D. Nowitzki675%3.0 / 4
J. Barea550%2.5 / 5
D. Harris563%2.5 / 4
J. Brunson217%1.0 / 6
S. Mejri220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker1137%5.5 / 15
D. Graham1038%5.0 / 13
M. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
B. Biyombo1071%5.0 / 7
N. Batum867%4.0 / 6
M. Bridges840%4.0 / 10
W. Hernangomez643%3.0 / 7
M. Kidd-Gilchrist675%3.0 / 4
F. Kaminsky536%2.5 / 7
D. Bacon467%2.0 / 3
J. Macura425%2.0 / 8
T. Parker233%1.0 / 3
M. Monk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
90
+17
-10
107
CHA
86
+14
-14
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.5%
CHA
0.84 42.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
111.3
DAL 122.0
CHA 84.0 +38.0
Pace
99.1
98.7
DAL 96.3
CHA 104.0 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.6
DAL 15.0
CHA 13.8 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
51.4%
DAL 55.8% +16.9%
CHA 38.9%
TO %
13.6%
11.7%
DAL 10.4% +2.1%
CHA 12.5%
ORB %
22.6%
21.9%
DAL 26.1% +5.0%
CHA 21.1%
FTrt
29.1
25.7
DAL 18.9
CHA 21.1 +2.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
57.8%
DAL 70.5%
CHA 71.9% +1.4%
STL %
6.5%
7.2%
DAL 9.0% +5.0%
CHA 4.0%
BLK %
7.6%
8.9%
DAL 6.9% +0.9%
CHA 6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.2%
DAL 57.5% +15.5%
CHA 42.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
56.9%
DAL 64.3% +2.2%
CHA 62.1%
Mid FG%
39.0%
41.7%
DAL 36.4% +8.8%
CHA 27.6%
3P %
34.0%
35.1%
DAL 40.0% +21.2%
CHA 18.8%
FT %
74.2%
79.7%
DAL 88.9% +15.2%
CHA 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
36.6%
DAL 29.5%
CHA 32.2% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
25.7%
DAL 23.2% +9.1%
CHA 32.2%
3P Att. %
42.2%
37.8%
DAL 47.4% +11.8%
CHA 35.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALCHA
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points12284
Rebounds5746
Assists3123
Steals94
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)14 (0)
Fouls1420
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)45 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals44-9532-90
At-the-Rim FG18-2818-29
Midrange FG8-228-29
2-Point FG26-5026-58
3-Point FG18-456-32
Free Throws16-1814-19
Fast Break Pts106
2nd Chance Pts1211
Points in Paint4844
Pts off Turnovers84
Bench Points5039
Biggest Lead474

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
17 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 27
29.3
17
53%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
Luka Doncic
#77 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 20
26.3
18
53%
10
4
0
0
2
0
1
9
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
3-7
43%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 32
25.4
11
69%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
24.3
8
67%
13
1
0
1
0
3
4
9
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 21
22.3
18
82%
0
7
3
0
2
1
0
0
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
23.8
15
107%
8
2
2
1
1
1
3
5
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
21.7
7
44%
7
3
1
0
3
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
13.7
5
50%
2
6
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
12.9
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
12.0
8
133%
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
12.0
2
17%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
9.7
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
6.7
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | assignment
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
57%
57
31
9
4
10
14
12
45
16-18
89%
26-50
52%
18-45
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.