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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2019
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pelicans48%115121
23Nets52%116126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 25.8
42.1
26.2
34
58%
26
4
1
1
3
1
5
21
8-10
80%
10-19
7-12
53%
55%
2-6
33%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.6
37.1
37.1
20
59%
4
4
1
2
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
5-11
7-12
45%
54%
3-5
60%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 29.9
36.4
30.5
16
67%
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
34.1
35.8
21
62%
4
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
5-9
56%
8-12
9-15
67%
56%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.9
33.6
20.1
25
75%
2
7
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
8-11
3-6
73%
51%
2-4
50%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.8
28.7
24.0
3
38%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 28.2
8.6
21.3
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.8
8.4
8.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.8
6.6
24.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 20.7
4.5
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.1
11.3
0
2-5
53%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 22.3
7.8
0
1-2
55%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.5
3.3
0
0-0
48%
Trevon Bluiett
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.2
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
34.8
20.2
22
50%
5
13
2
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
48%
2-8
25%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 20.7
31.4
20.0
10
64%
11
0
1
0
2
0
3
8
4-4
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
61%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 27.3
29.5
26.4
21
66%
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
6-12
2-4
50%
56%
3-4
75%
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 20.9
26.1
23.5
10
71%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
2-3
67%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 33.5
23.7
26.1
8
80%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
2-3
67%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 32.4
29.1
28.4
19
63%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
4-7
57%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.7
24.7
25.8
18
61%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
6-6
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
24.1
16.4
12
55%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
2-4
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.6
16.6
13.7
6
77%
12
1
2
0
1
0
3
9
0-2
0%
3-3
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 23.2
13.5
0
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 29.1
10.7
0
2-4
54%
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 24.4
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 25.2
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 24.0
Dzanan Musa
G · 6'9" 195 · 19.7
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.