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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 3, 2019
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Nuggets61%118117
22Kings39%114113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.9
37.4
33.6
36
63%
7
6
1
1
0
4
3
4
6-10
60%
6-12
6-12
50%
50%
6-12
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
31.6
33.8
26
66%
13
6
1
1
1
5
3
10
3-4
75%
7-10
7-12
70%
57%
3-8
38%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
29.8
24.8
12
68%
10
4
1
1
1
1
5
5
2-4
50%
5-7
4-6
71%
57%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
28.4
25.9
2
20%
4
4
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
15.5
26.2
5
102%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
31.1
19.7
14
57%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
2-5
3-5
40%
54%
2-5
40%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
25.0
28.0
7
39%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
22.2
21.1
10
64%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
10.6
24.2
3
25%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
8.3
11.9
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-2
0%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.0
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.8
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.5
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.0
34.5
33.0
29
76%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
7-10
4-9
70%
49%
5-9
56%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.7
31.6
27.0
17
61%
6
3
0
1
1
2
4
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
3-8
38%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
29.9
29.7
13
55%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
5-10
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.0
28.7
32.4
16
74%
2
8
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
6-8
6-12
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 28.5
21.5
24.6
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-5
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
29.4
29.7
14
71%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.8
20.5
22.1
3
30%
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.7
19.3
10.8
11
71%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
19.1
8.2
6
36%
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-1
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
5.3
8.0
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.9
7.5
0
1-1
46%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 22.8
4.5
0
1-1
48%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 24.8
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 19.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.5
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.8
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.