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All Games Friday, January 4, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Mavericks
38%105
93
10
Celtics
62%110
114
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
93.0100102.6
BOS logo BOS
114.010097.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
114
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.94 47.0%
BOS
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
20
35
57%
BOS
15
27
56%
Midrange
DAL
3
9
33%
BOS
6
24
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
11
16.5
44
25%
38%
BOS
21
31.5
45
47%
70%
Free Throws
DAL
14
19
74%
BOS
9
11
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes2077%10.0 / 13
L. Dončić1956%9.5 / 17
D. Jordan1286%6.0 / 7
W. Matthews1169%5.5 / 8
D. Smith938%4.5 / 12
D. Harris956%4.5 / 8
J. Barea630%3.0 / 10
D. Powell650%3.0 / 6
D. Finney-Smith117%0.5 / 3
D. Nowitzki0-0.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown2181%10.5 / 13
J. Tatum1845%9.0 / 20
M. Smart1777%8.5 / 11
G. Hayward1650%8.0 / 16
A. Horford1056%5.0 / 9
T. Rozier840%4.0 / 10
D. Theis867%4.0 / 6
B. Wanamaker867%4.0 / 6
S. Ojeleye880%4.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
86
+13
-14
99
BOS
88
+16
-12
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.94 47.0%
BOS
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
111.8
DAL 93.0 +21.0
BOS 114.0
Pace
99.1
100.0
DAL 102.6 +5.0
BOS 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.2
DAL 14.0 +0.7
BOS 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
53.4%
DAL 44.9%
BOS 54.7% +9.8%
TO %
13.6%
12.4%
DAL 12.7%
BOS 11.4% +1.3%
ORB %
22.6%
21.7%
DAL 22.0%
BOS 26.9% +4.9%
FTrt
29.1
21.5
DAL 21.6 +10.1
BOS 11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
62.4%
DAL 47.1%
BOS 83.3% +36.2%
STL %
6.5%
8.5%
DAL 9.0%
BOS 12.0% +3.0%
BLK %
7.6%
9.7%
DAL 3.9%
BOS 9.1% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
55.3%
DAL 47.0%
BOS 54.8% +7.8%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.6%
DAL 57.1% +1.5%
BOS 55.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
43.1%
DAL 33.3% +8.3%
BOS 25.0%
3P %
34.0%
36.5%
DAL 25.0%
BOS 46.7% +21.7%
FT %
74.2%
80.2%
DAL 73.7%
BOS 81.8% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
32.1%
DAL 39.8% +11.6%
BOS 28.1%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
29.8%
DAL 10.2% +14.8%
BOS 25.0%
3P Att. %
42.2%
38.1%
DAL 50.0% +3.1%
BOS 46.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALBOS
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points93114
Rebounds4953
Assists1635
Steals912
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (1)
Fouls1316
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)39 (2)
Field Goals34-8842-96
At-the-Rim FG20-3515-27
Midrange FG3-96-24
2-Point FG23-4421-51
3-Point FG11-4421-45
Free Throws14-199-11
Fast Break Pts1416
2nd Chance Pts1411
Points in Paint4436
Pts off Turnovers913
Bench Points2240
Biggest Lead023

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
18 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 27
31.8
20
77%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
4-7
57%
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 21
30.9
9
38%
2
3
3
0
2
3
1
1
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-5
0%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
30.6
12
86%
15
2
1
2
0
1
5
10
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 32
30.1
11
69%
3
2
1
0
3
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
Luka Doncic
#77 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 20
28.9
19
56%
9
4
0
0
3
1
1
8
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
4-8
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
17.9
1
17%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
17.7
6
30%
4
2
0
0
3
2
0
4
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
17.4
6
50%
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
16.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-8
0%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
16.1
9
56%
1
1
2
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
49
16
9
2
14
13
11
38
14-19
74%
23-44
52%
11-44
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.