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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Wizards37%107109
12Heat63%111115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 33.5
42.2
37.1
21
51%
3
6
1
2
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
47%
5-12
42%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 25.5
40.0
36.3
33
55%
9
7
0
1
0
5
2
7
9-11
82%
6-14
7-13
43%
52%
4-11
36%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.4
35.3
32.0
10
46%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-3
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.2
33.4
32.8
8
44%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 21.4
23.3
32.0
10
71%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
59%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 25.6
21.3
18.6
14
48%
6
1
3
1
0
1
3
3
0-1
0%
7-9
2-4
78%
54%
0-5
0%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
16.9
15.5
4
50%
3
0
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 32.2
14.3
7.3
4
45%
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
13.3
15.2
5
42%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 19.4
6.9
0
1-2
46%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
4.6
0
0-0
42%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.8
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 27.8
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
37.1
33.0
18
51%
5
3
1
1
1
2
0
5
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
2-8
25%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
31.3
28.3
13
60%
3
10
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
29.5
24.1
21
69%
18
0
1
1
2
2
4
14
3-5
60%
9-13
6-10
69%
57%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
27.5
14.6
17
66%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
56%
3-6
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
19.2
21.5
5
42%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 37.0
25.2
14.7
14
51%
3
6
1
1
1
3
0
3
4-6
67%
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
0-3
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.7
24.0
25.8
8
33%
3
3
2
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-3
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.9
19.9
24.8
5
125%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
56%
1-1
100%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
18.5
22.6
11
63%
7
5
1
1
1
1
3
4
3-4
75%
4-7
3-5
57%
56%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
7.8
24.5
3
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
60%
1-2
50%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
15.5
1
2-4
46%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
3.7
0
0-0
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.6
0.9
0
0-0
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.4
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.