Final Win Prob. pScore
1368%114
82
2932%108
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
85.49692.8
ATL logo Hawks
109.397101.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.82
106
Q4 - 0:14.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
106
Q4 - 0:17.0HawksJustin Anderson misses three point jump shot82
106
Q4 - 0:27.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)82
106
Q4 - 0:42.0HawksJustin Anderson makes two point driving dunk (Daniel Hamilton assists)79
106
Q4 - 0:53.0HawksDaniel Hamilton defensive rebound79
104
Q4 - 0:55.0HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot79
104
Q4 - 0:55.0HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound79
104
Q4 - 0:59.0HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot79
104
Q4 - 1:17HawksDaniel Hamilton makes two point driving layup79
104
Q4 - 1:37HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)79
102
Q4 - 1:56HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound76
102
Q4 - 1:59HawksOmari Spellman misses two point layup76
102
Q4 - 2:14HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)76
102
Q4 - 2:23HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound74
102
Q4 - 2:26HawksTyler Dorsey misses two point jump shot74
102
Q4 - 2:39Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Tyler Dorsey, Justin Anderson, Alex Len, Omari Spellman)74
102
Q4 - 2:39Heat 60 second timeout74
102
Q4 - 2:40HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)74
102
Q4 - 2:45HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound72
102
Q4 - 2:48HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot72
102
Q4 - 3:09HawksTrae Young makes two point driving layup72
102
Q4 - 3:16HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound72
100
Q4 - 3:18HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot72
100
Q4 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
100
Q4 - 3:37HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 2 of 272
100
Q4 - 3:37HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 272
100
Q4 - 3:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)72
99
Q4 - 3:40HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound72
99
Q4 - 3:43HeatRodney McGruder misses two point driving layup72
99
Q4 - 4:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
99
Q4 - 4:06HawksKevin Huerter makes two point layup72
99
Q4 - 4:07HawksKevin Huerter offensive rebound72
97
Q4 - 4:10HawksKevin Huerter misses two point floating jump shot72
97
Q4 - 4:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 272
97
Q4 - 4:19Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow)71
97
Q4 - 4:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 271
97
Q4 - 4:19HawksDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)71
97
Q4 - 4:36HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes two point driving layup71
97
Q4 - 4:42Jump ball. Dewayne Dedmon vs. Josh Richardson (DeAndre' Bembry gains possession)71
95
Q4 - 4:44Stoppage (Court cleanup)71
95
Q4 - 4:53Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, John Collins, Kevin Huerter, DeAndre' Bembry)71
95
Q4 - 4:53Hawks 60 second timeout71
95
Q4 - 4:57HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound71
95
Q4 - 5:00HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot71
95
Q4 - 5:04HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound71
95
Q4 - 5:09HawksTrae Young misses two point jump shot71
95
Q4 - 5:26HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup71
95
Q4 - 5:43HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes two point floating jump shot69
95
Q4 - 5:57HawksVince Carter defensive rebound69
93
Q4 - 6:00HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot69
93
Q4 - 6:07HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound69
93
Q4 - 6:12HawksBam Adebayo blocks Kevin Huerter's two point driving layup69
93
Q4 - 6:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)69
93
Q4 - 6:24HawksHawks defensive rebound69
93
Q4 - 6:25HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot69
93
Q4 - 6:50HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes two point driving layup (Kevin Huerter assists)69
93
Q4 - 7:08HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 269
91
Q4 - 7:08HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 268
91
Q4 - 7:08HawksVince Carter personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)68
91
Q4 - 7:16HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes regular free throw 1 of 168
91
Q4 - 7:16Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow)68
90
Q4 - 7:16HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (DeAndre' Bembry draws the foul)68
90
Q4 - 7:16HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes two point floating jump shot68
90
Q4 - 7:24HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound68
88
Q4 - 7:27HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot68
88
Q4 - 7:34HawksDeAndre' Bembry personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
88
Q4 - 7:45HawksKevin Huerter turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Johnson steals)68
88
Q4 - 8:02HawksTrae Young defensive rebound68
88
Q4 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot68
88
Q4 - 8:15Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter, DeAndre' Bembry)68
88
Q4 - 8:15HawksTrae Young personal foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)68
88
Q4 - 8:17HawksDaniel Hamilton turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)68
88
Q4 - 8:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)68
88
Q4 - 8:19HawksHawks offensive rebound68
88
Q4 - 8:19HawksTyler Johnson blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point layup68
88
Q4 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)68
88
Q4 - 9:10HawksVince Carter makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)66
88
Q4 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup66
85
Q4 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound64
85
Q4 - 9:39HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot64
85
Q4 - 9:50HawksDeAndre' Bembry turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Johnson steals)64
85
Q4 - 10:02Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, Vince Carter, DeAndre' Bembry)64
85
Q4 - 10:02Hawks 60 second timeout64
85
Q4 - 10:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup64
85
Q4 - 10:02HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound62
85
Q4 - 10:03HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point alley-oop layup62
85
Q4 - 10:17HawksTrae Young makes two point driving layup (DeAndre' Bembry assists)62
85
Q4 - 10:34HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point layup62
83
Q4 - 10:34HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound60
83
Q4 - 10:39HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot60
83
Q4 - 10:45HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)60
83
Q4 - 10:45HeatHeat offensive rebound60
83
Q4 - 10:45HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot60
83
Q4 - 11:05HawksJohn Collins makes two point dunk (Daniel Hamilton assists)60
83
Q4 - 11:21HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound60
81
Q4 - 11:23HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 160
81
Q4 - 11:23HawksAlex Len shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)60
81
Q4 - 11:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)60
81
Q4 - 11:35HawksJohn Collins makes two point layup58
81
Q4 - 11:35HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound58
79
Q4 - 11:40HawksTrae Young misses two point floating jump shot58
79
Q4 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Trae Young, John Collins, Alex Len, DeAndre' Bembry)58
79
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Johnson)58
79
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.58
79
Q3 - 0:00.0HawksJeremy Lin makes two point driving layup58
79
Q3 - 0:08.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 158
77
Q3 - 0:08.0HawksAlex Len shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)57
77
Q3 - 0:08.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup57
77
Q3 - 0:31.0HawksJeremy Lin makes two point jump shot55
77
Q3 - 0:34.0HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)55
75
Q3 - 0:52.0HawksJeremy Lin makes two point floating jump shot52
75
Q3 - 0:59.0HawksJeremy Lin defensive rebound52
73
Q3 - 1:06HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot52
73
Q3 - 1:17HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound52
73
Q3 - 1:20HawksVince Carter misses three point jump shot52
73
Q3 - 1:21HawksKevin Huerter offensive rebound52
73
Q3 - 1:25HawksBam Adebayo blocks Jeremy Lin's two point driving layup52
73
Q3 - 1:38HawksVince Carter defensive rebound52
73
Q3 - 1:41HeatTyler Johnson misses two point jump shot52
73
Q3 - 2:05HawksJeremy Lin makes two point layup (Daniel Hamilton assists)52
73
Q3 - 2:08HawksAlex Len defensive rebound52
71
Q3 - 2:12HeatDwyane Wade misses two point turnaround jump shot52
71
Q3 - 2:25HawksAlex Len makes two point turnaround jump shot (Daniel Hamilton assists)52
71
Q3 - 2:36HawksDaniel Hamilton offensive rebound52
69
Q3 - 2:41HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot52
69
Q3 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 252
69
Q3 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 251
69
Q3 - 2:52HawksAlex Len shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)50
69
Q3 - 2:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
69
Q3 - 2:59HeatHeat defensive rebound50
69
Q3 - 3:02HawksDaniel Hamilton misses three point jump shot50
69
Q3 - 3:11Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Johnson)50
69
Q3 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)50
69
Q3 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Daniel Hamilton draws the foul)50
69
Q3 - 3:29HawksJeremy Lin makes three point jump shot (Daniel Hamilton assists)50
69
Q3 - 3:30HawksDaniel Hamilton offensive rebound50
66
Q3 - 3:33HawksDaniel Hamilton misses two point driving layup50
66
Q3 - 3:38HawksDaniel Hamilton defensive rebound50
66
Q3 - 3:44HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot50
66
Q3 - 4:07HawksDaniel Hamilton makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)50
66
Q3 - 4:16HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound50
63
Q3 - 4:19HeatJustise Winslow misses two point step back jump shot50
63
Q3 - 4:42HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound50
63
Q3 - 4:45HawksAlex Len misses three point jump shot50
63
Q3 - 4:54HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound50
63
Q3 - 4:59HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot50
63
Q3 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound50
63
Q3 - 5:08HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 2 of 250
63
Q3 - 5:08HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 250
63
Q3 - 5:08HawksDaniel Hamilton shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)49
63
Q3 - 5:22Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Alex Len, Jeremy Lin, Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter)49
63
Q3 - 5:22Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow)49
63
Q3 - 5:22Heat 60 second timeout49
63
Q3 - 5:23HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Jeremy Lin assists)49
63
Q3 - 5:28HawksVince Carter defensive rebound49
60
Q3 - 5:32HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup49
60
Q3 - 5:48HawksDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 149
60
Q3 - 5:48Hawks lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jeremy Lin, Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter, DeAndre' Bembry)49
59
Q3 - 5:48Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow)49
59
Q3 - 5:48HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)49
59
Q3 - 5:48HawksDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving layup (Trae Young assists)49
59
Q3 - 6:12HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (James Johnson assists)49
57
Q3 - 6:29HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot47
57
Q3 - 6:50HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)47
54
Q3 - 7:05HawksDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (DeAndre' Bembry assists)45
54
Q3 - 7:20HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound45
52
Q3 - 7:22HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 145
52
Q3 - 7:22HawksDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)45
52
Q3 - 7:22HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)45
52
Q3 - 7:30HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound43
52
Q3 - 7:33HawksKevin Huerter misses three point step back jump shot43
52
Q3 - 7:36HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound43
52
Q3 - 7:40HeatDewayne Dedmon blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup43
52
Q3 - 7:58HawksDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Trae Young assists)43
52
Q3 - 8:12HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)43
50
Q3 - 8:14HawksDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound43
50
Q3 - 8:16HawksKevin Huerter misses two point layup43
50
Q3 - 8:42HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)43
50
Q3 - 9:00Heat 60 second timeout40
50
Q3 - 9:02HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)40
50
Q3 - 9:05HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound40
47
Q3 - 9:08HeatJohn Collins blocks Justise Winslow's two point driving layup40
47
Q3 - 9:22HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)40
47
Q3 - 9:42HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (offensive foul)40
44
Q3 - 9:42HeatHassan Whiteside offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)40
44
Q3 - 9:51HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes two point driving layup (Kevin Huerter assists)40
44
Q3 - 10:04HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)40
42
Q3 - 10:04HeatHeat offensive rebound40
42
Q3 - 10:05HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot40
42
Q3 - 10:11HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound40
42
Q3 - 10:14HeatHassan Whiteside misses three point jump shot40
42
Q3 - 10:33HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes two point reverse layup (Kevin Huerter assists)40
42
Q3 - 10:46HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 140
40
Q3 - 10:46HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)39
40
Q3 - 10:46HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup (Justise Winslow assists)39
40
Q3 - 10:51HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound37
40
Q3 - 10:55HawksRodney McGruder blocks Trae Young's two point driving layup37
40
Q3 - 11:04HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound37
40
Q3 - 11:07HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot37
40
Q3 - 11:20HawksKevin Huerter makes two point floating jump shot37
40
Q3 - 11:34HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound37
38
Q3 - 11:37HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot37
38
Q3 - 11:46Stoppage (Out of bounds)37
38
Q3 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, John Collins, Kevin Huerter, DeAndre' Bembry)37
38
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow)37
38
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.37
38
Q2 - 0:01.0HawksHawks offensive rebound37
38
Q2 - 0:01.0HawksTrae Young misses two point jump shot37
38
Q2 - 0:11.0HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound37
38
Q2 - 0:11.0HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 3 of 337
38
Q2 - 0:11.0Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson)37
38
Q2 - 0:11.0HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 2 of 337
38
Q2 - 0:11.0HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 337
38
Q2 - 0:11.0HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)36
38
Q2 - 0:30.0HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound36
38
Q2 - 0:32.0HawksTrae Young misses two point layup36
38
Q2 - 0:39.0HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound36
38
Q2 - 0:42.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot36
38
Q2 - 0:48.0HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound36
38
Q2 - 0:52.0HawksDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot36
38
Q2 - 1:09HawksTrae Young defensive rebound36
38
Q2 - 1:09HeatHassan Whiteside misses three point jump shot36
38
Q2 - 1:17HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound36
38
Q2 - 1:20HawksTrae Young misses two point floating jump shot36
38
Q2 - 1:24HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound36
38
Q2 - 1:24HeatJames Johnson misses two point layup36
38
Q2 - 1:24HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound36
38
Q2 - 1:30HeatJosh Richardson misses three point step back jump shot36
38
Q2 - 1:39HawksJohn Collins turnover (traveling)36
38
Q2 - 1:56HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 236
38
Q2 - 1:56HeatJosh Richardson misses regular free throw 1 of 235
38
Q2 - 1:56HawksTyler Dorsey personal foul (Loose ball) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)35
38
Q2 - 1:56HawksTyler Dorsey turnover (lost ball)35
38
Q2 - 2:15HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup (James Johnson assists)35
38
Q2 - 2:23HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 133
38
Q2 - 2:23Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Dorsey, John Collins, Kevin Huerter)33
37
Q2 - 2:23HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)33
37
Q2 - 2:23HawksJohn Collins makes two point layup (Tyler Dorsey assists)33
37
Q2 - 2:26HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Dorsey steals)33
35
Q2 - 2:48HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 233
35
Q2 - 2:48Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson)33
34
Q2 - 2:48HawksTrae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 233
34
Q2 - 2:48HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)33
34
Q2 - 2:51HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (bad pass) (Vince Carter steals)33
34
Q2 - 3:07HawksVince Carter makes three point jump shot (Tyler Dorsey assists)33
34
Q2 - 3:27HeatRodney McGruder makes two point layup (James Johnson assists)33
31
Q2 - 3:34HawksTyler Dorsey turnover (bad pass) (Hassan Whiteside steals)31
31
Q2 - 3:45HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (John Collins draws the foul)31
31
Q2 - 3:49HeatJosh Richardson turnover (lost ball) (Jeremy Lin steals)31
31
Q2 - 3:58Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Tyler Dorsey, John Collins, Jeremy Lin, Vince Carter)31
31
Q2 - 3:58Heat 60 second timeout31
31
Q2 - 4:04HawksVince Carter makes two point driving layup (Jeremy Lin assists)31
31
Q2 - 4:10HawksVince Carter defensive rebound31
29
Q2 - 4:14HeatJustise Winslow misses two point step back jump shot31
29
Q2 - 4:23Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow)31
29
Q2 - 4:23HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 131
29
Q2 - 4:23HawksDaniel Hamilton personal foul (Away from play) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)30
29
Q2 - 4:23Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow)30
29
Q2 - 4:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)30
29
Q2 - 4:29HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound30
29
Q2 - 4:33HawksDaniel Hamilton misses two point driving layup30
29
Q2 - 4:37HawksDaniel Hamilton defensive rebound30
29
Q2 - 4:40HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point step back jump shot30
29
Q2 - 4:44Jump ball. Hassan Whiteside vs. Jeremy Lin (Josh Richardson gains possession)30
29
Q2 - 4:49Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Tyler Dorsey, Alex Len, Jeremy Lin, Vince Carter)30
29
Q2 - 5:04HawksDaniel Hamilton makes two point driving layup (Jeremy Lin assists)30
29
Q2 - 5:16HawksVince Carter defensive rebound30
27
Q2 - 5:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot30
27
Q2 - 5:24HawksDaniel Hamilton turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)30
27
Q2 - 5:29HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Alex Len steals)30
27
Q2 - 5:42HawksVince Carter personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)30
27
Q2 - 5:51HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound30
27
Q2 - 5:54HawksAlex Len misses two point layup30
27
Q2 - 6:07HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Daniel Hamilton draws the foul)30
27
Q2 - 6:19Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow)30
27
Q2 - 6:19HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)30
27
Q2 - 6:21HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)30
27
Q2 - 6:34HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound28
27
Q2 - 6:37HawksKevin Huerter misses two point layup28
27
Q2 - 7:00HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)28
27
Q2 - 7:22HawksJeremy Lin makes two point jump shot25
27
Q2 - 7:31HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
25
Q2 - 7:37HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound25
25
Q2 - 7:41HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot25
25
Q2 - 7:44Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Alex Len, Jeremy Lin, Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter)25
25
Q2 - 7:44Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow)25
25
Q2 - 7:44Hawks 60 second timeout25
25
Q2 - 7:50HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)25
25
Q2 - 7:55HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound25
25
Q2 - 7:58HawksTrae Young misses two point layup25
25
Q2 - 8:02HawksDaniel Hamilton defensive rebound25
25
Q2 - 8:06HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot25
25
Q2 - 8:22HawksJohn Collins makes two point layup (Daniel Hamilton assists)25
25
Q2 - 8:26HawksAlex Len defensive rebound25
23
Q2 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup25
23
Q2 - 8:34HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)25
23
Q2 - 8:42HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound25
23
Q2 - 8:46HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot25
23
Q2 - 8:48Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Trae Young, John Collins, Alex Len, Kevin Huerter)25
23
Q2 - 8:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)25
23
Q2 - 8:48HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds step)25
23
Q2 - 8:50HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (lost ball) (Trae Young steals)25
23
Q2 - 8:50HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound25
23
Q2 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot25
23
Q2 - 9:03HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)25
23
Q2 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup25
23
Q2 - 9:27HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound23
23
Q2 - 9:32HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot23
23
Q2 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (John Collins draws the foul)23
23
Q2 - 9:48HawksHawks defensive rebound23
23
Q2 - 9:49HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot23
23
Q2 - 9:58HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound23
23
Q2 - 10:01HawksDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot23
23
Q2 - 10:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 223
23
Q2 - 10:12Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, John Collins, Kevin Huerter)22
23
Q2 - 10:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 222
23
Q2 - 10:12HawksDeAndre' Bembry shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)21
23
Q2 - 10:16HawksDeAndre' Bembry turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)21
23
Q2 - 10:32HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 221
23
Q2 - 10:32HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 220
23
Q2 - 10:32HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)19
23
Q2 - 10:43HawksKevin Huerter turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
23
Q2 - 10:50HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound19
23
Q2 - 10:55HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot19
23
Q2 - 11:01HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound19
23
Q2 - 11:04HawksTrae Young misses two point jump shot19
23
Q2 - 11:16HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)19
23
Q2 - 11:28HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)17
23
Q2 - 11:46HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound17
23
Q2 - 11:49HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 2 of 217
23
Q2 - 11:49HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 217
23
Q2 - 11:49HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)16
23
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.16
23
Q1 - 0:20.0HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound16
23
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot16
23
Q1 - 0:35.0HawksKevin Huerter turnover (out of bounds step)16
23
Q1 - 0:49.0HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound16
23
Q1 - 0:51.0HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 116
23
Q1 - 0:51.0Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, John Collins, Kevin Huerter, DeAndre' Bembry)16
23
Q1 - 0:51.0HawksDeAndre' Bembry shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)16
23
Q1 - 0:51.0HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)16
23
Q1 - 1:17HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Jeremy Lin assists)14
23
Q1 - 1:23HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound14
20
Q1 - 1:26HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot14
20
Q1 - 1:34HawksJeremy Lin turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Johnson steals)14
20
Q1 - 1:45HawksDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound14
20
Q1 - 1:49HeatTyler Johnson misses two point driving layup14
20
Q1 - 2:04HawksJeremy Lin makes two point jump shot14
20
Q1 - 2:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)14
18
Q1 - 2:23HawksJohn Collins turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)12
18
Q1 - 2:24HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound12
18
Q1 - 2:28HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot12
18
Q1 - 2:32HeatTyler Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)12
18
Q1 - 2:47Hawks lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, John Collins, Jeremy Lin, Kevin Huerter, DeAndre' Bembry)12
18
Q1 - 2:47Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Johnson)12
18
Q1 - 2:47Hawks 60 second timeout12
18
Q1 - 2:47HawksAlex Len turnover (3-second violation)12
18
Q1 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)12
18
Q1 - 3:15HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)10
18
Q1 - 3:18HeatHeat offensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 3:18HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot10
18
Q1 - 3:19HeatTyler Johnson offensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 3:23HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot10
18
Q1 - 3:27HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 3:29HawksVince Carter misses three point jump shot10
18
Q1 - 3:31HawksVince Carter offensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 3:31HawksAlex Len misses two point layup10
18
Q1 - 3:31HawksAlex Len offensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 3:35HawksJeremy Lin misses two point driving layup10
18
Q1 - 3:48HawksAlex Len defensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 3:50HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 2 of 210
18
Q1 - 3:50Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson)10
18
Q1 - 3:50HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 210
18
Q1 - 3:50HawksVince Carter shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)10
18
Q1 - 4:06HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 4:06HawksVince Carter misses three point jump shot10
18
Q1 - 4:08HawksAlex Len defensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 4:10HeatJustise Winslow misses two point layup10
18
Q1 - 4:11HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 4:15HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot10
18
Q1 - 4:20HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 4:24HawksKevin Huerter misses two point layup10
18
Q1 - 4:41HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)10
18
Q1 - 4:44HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound8
18
Q1 - 4:48HawksHassan Whiteside blocks Alex Len's two point layup8
18
Q1 - 4:51Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson)8
18
Q1 - 4:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)8
18
Q1 - 4:51HawksHawks offensive rebound8
18
Q1 - 4:51HawksDwyane Wade blocks Daniel Hamilton's two point driving layup8
18
Q1 - 5:07HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot8
18
Q1 - 5:18Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Alex Len, Jeremy Lin, Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter)6
18
Q1 - 5:18Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow)6
18
Q1 - 5:18HawksDeAndre' Bembry personal foul (Loose ball) (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)6
18
Q1 - 5:18HeatHeat defensive rebound6
18
Q1 - 5:19HawksDeAndre' Bembry misses two point layup6
18
Q1 - 5:24HawksDeAndre' Bembry defensive rebound6
18
Q1 - 5:26HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot6
18
Q1 - 5:46HawksAlex Len makes two point dunk (Jeremy Lin assists)6
18
Q1 - 5:57HawksVince Carter defensive rebound6
16
Q1 - 6:02HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot6
16
Q1 - 6:16HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes regular free throw 2 of 26
16
Q1 - 6:16Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Alex Len, Jeremy Lin, Vince Carter, DeAndre' Bembry)6
15
Q1 - 6:16HawksDeAndre' Bembry misses regular free throw 1 of 26
15
Q1 - 6:16HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (DeAndre' Bembry draws the foul)6
15
Q1 - 6:20HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound6
15
Q1 - 6:23HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot6
15
Q1 - 6:36HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 26
15
Q1 - 6:36HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 26
14
Q1 - 6:36HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)6
13
Q1 - 6:48HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup6
13
Q1 - 6:54HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound4
13
Q1 - 6:54HawksAlex Len misses two point layup4
13
Q1 - 6:55HawksAlex Len offensive rebound4
13
Q1 - 6:55HawksAlex Len misses two point layup4
13
Q1 - 6:54HawksAlex Len offensive rebound4
13
Q1 - 7:00HawksDaniel Hamilton misses two point floating jump shot4
13
Q1 - 7:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)4
13
Q1 - 7:25HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)4
13
Q1 - 7:39Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Trae Young, John Collins, Alex Len, DeAndre' Bembry)2
13
Q1 - 7:39Heat 60 second timeout2
13
Q1 - 7:40HawksDaniel Hamilton makes two point layup2
13
Q1 - 7:40HawksDaniel Hamilton offensive rebound2
11
Q1 - 7:43HawksDewayne Dedmon misses two point driving layup2
11
Q1 - 7:54HawksDaniel Hamilton defensive rebound2
11
Q1 - 7:58HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup2
11
Q1 - 8:15HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 2 of 22
11
Q1 - 8:15Hawks lineup change (Daniel Hamilton, Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, John Collins, DeAndre' Bembry)2
10
Q1 - 8:15HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 22
10
Q1 - 8:15HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)2
9
Q1 - 8:29HeatRodney McGruder turnover (offensive foul)2
9
Q1 - 8:29HeatRodney McGruder offensive foul (Trae Young draws the foul)2
9
Q1 - 8:29HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 8:32HawksDeAndre' Bembry misses two point driving layup2
9
Q1 - 8:38HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (DeAndre' Bembry draws the foul)2
9
Q1 - 8:42HawksDeAndre' Bembry defensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 8:44HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot2
9
Q1 - 8:53HawksJohn Collins makes two point layup2
9
Q1 - 8:53HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound2
7
Q1 - 8:58HawksDeAndre' Bembry misses two point driving layup2
7
Q1 - 9:07HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound2
7
Q1 - 9:09HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot2
7
Q1 - 9:22HawksDewayne Dedmon makes two point dunk2
7
Q1 - 9:22HawksDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound2
5
Q1 - 9:27HawksKevin Huerter misses two point layup2
5
Q1 - 9:30HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound2
5
Q1 - 9:33HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup2
5
Q1 - 9:42HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound2
5
Q1 - 9:45HawksDeAndre' Bembry misses three point jump shot2
5
Q1 - 9:59HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving layup (Rodney McGruder assists)2
5
Q1 - 10:06HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:10HeatJosh Richardson misses two point layup0
5
Q1 - 10:17HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:20HawksKevin Huerter misses two point step back jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
5
Q1 - 10:28HawksHawks offensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:28HawksHassan Whiteside blocks John Collins's two point turnaround jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:44HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (3-second violation)0
5
Q1 - 10:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
5
Q1 - 10:55HeatHeat offensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:57HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot0
5
Q1 - 11:18HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)0
5
Q1 - 11:22HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)0
2
Q1 - 11:46HawksTrae Young makes two point floating jump shot0
2
Q1 - 12:00Hassan Whiteside vs. Dewayne Dedmon (DeAndre' Bembry gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dewayne Dedmon, John Collins, Kevin Huerter, DeAndre' Bembry)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 41.0%
ATL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
33
64%
ATL
24
44
55%
Midrange
MIA
5
20
25%
ATL
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
34
15%
22%
ATL
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
15
27
56%
ATL
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Jones1464%7.0 / 11
J. Winslow1338%6.5 / 17
B. Adebayo1260%6.0 / 10
J. Richardson1146%5.5 / 12
D. Wade1150%5.5 / 11
K. Olynyk941%4.5 / 11
J. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
R. McGruder321%1.5 / 7
H. Whiteside225%1.0 / 4
T. Johnson0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young1956%9.5 / 17
D. Bembry1771%8.5 / 12
J. Lin1583%7.5 / 9
J. Collins1393%6.5 / 7
K. Huerter1031%5.0 / 16
D. Dedmon956%4.5 / 8
D. Hamilton950%4.5 / 9
V. Carter867%4.0 / 6
A. Len425%2.0 / 8
J. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
T. Dorsey0-0.0 / 1
O. Spellman0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+16
-13
99
ATL
80
+18
-17
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 41.0%
ATL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
108.1
MIA 85.4
ATL 109.3 +23.9
Pace
98.1
103.9
MIA 92.8
ATL 101.1 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.6
MIA 15.5
ATL 14.2 −1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.2%
MIA 38.5%
ATL 52.7% +14.2%
TO %
14.3%
15.8%
MIA 12.4% −2.5%
ATL 14.9%
ORB %
24.8%
24.8%
MIA 21.1%
ATL 32.6% +11.5%
FTrt
24.7
25.5
MIA 31.0 +16.7
ATL 14.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
62.4%
MIA 74.2% +16.1%
ATL 58.1%
STL %
7.8%
7.8%
MIA 11.5% +4.3%
ATL 7.2%
BLK %
10.2%
9.2%
MIA 10.4% +6.6%
ATL 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.6%
MIA 41.0%
ATL 54.1% +13.1%
Rim FG%
60.8%
59.0%
MIA 63.6% +9.1%
ATL 54.5%
Mid FG%
36.8%
37.9%
MIA 25.0%
ATL 39.1% +14.1%
3P %
34.9%
35.2%
MIA 14.7%
ATL 41.7% +27.0%
FT %
69.5%
75.2%
MIA 55.6%
ATL 76.9% +21.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
39.2%
MIA 37.9%
ATL 48.4% +10.4%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
20.4%
MIA 23.0% −2.3%
ATL 25.3%
3P Att. %
36.8%
40.3%
MIA 39.1% +12.7%
ATL 26.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes24.823.0
Points82106
Rebounds4159
Assists2325
Steals117
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)17 (0)
Fouls1722
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)45 (2)
Field Goals31-8743-91
At-the-Rim FG21-3324-44
Midrange FG5-209-23
2-Point FG26-5333-67
3-Point FG5-3410-24
Free Throws15-2710-13
Fast Break Pts1021
2nd Chance Pts1217
Points in Paint5064
Pts off Turnovers1316
Bench Points4638
Biggest Lead330

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
30.2
13
38%
5
3
1
0
2
2
1
4
0-3
0%
5-11
45%
1-5
20%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
28.8
11
46%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
22.5
3
21%
3
5
0
1
1
2
2
1
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
20.9
2
25%
4
0
1
2
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
18.8
7
50%
4
3
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
29.4
14
64%
3
0
3
0
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
5-6
83%
0-3
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
26.9
12
60%
6
2
2
2
1
3
4
2
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
22.9
11
50%
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
4
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
22.4
9
41%
6
1
0
0
3
1
1
5
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
2-9
22%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
17.2
0
0%
3
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-4
0%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
41%
41
23
11
7
13
17
12
29
15-27
56%
26-53
49%
5-34
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.