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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 6, 2019
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat68%11482
28Hawks32%107106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
30
30
13
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-3
0%
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
1-5
20%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
29
34
11
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
22
21
3
3
5
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-3
33%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
21
26
2
4
0
1
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
6-11
50%
56%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
19
20
7
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
56%
1-3
33%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.9
29
22
14
3
0
3
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
5-6
3-5
83%
55%
0-3
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
27
21
12
6
2
2
1
2
1
4
2
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
55%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 37.0
23
20
11
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
4-7
57%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
22
17
9
6
1
0
1
0
3
1
5
1-3
33%
1-1
1-2
100%
60%
2-9
22%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.7
17
25
0
3
2
3
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
13
0
2-3
45%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
4
0
0-0
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.6
1
0
0-0
45%
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.4
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.7
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 20.4
36
34
10
8
7
3
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
2-9
2-5
22%
48%
2-7
29%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 20.3
30
29
19
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
4-6
67%
3-11
4-8
27%
46%
3-3
100%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 24.5
27
25
17
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
1-2
50%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
27
28
13
13
0
0
1
1
2
3
10
3-3
100%
5-6
6-10
83%
60%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 29.4
27
24
9
11
1
0
1
1
0
2
9
1-1
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
56%
0-2
0%
Daniel Hamilton
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.4
23
16
9
8
6
0
0
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 41.9
20
12
8
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
2-5
40%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 25.6
20
23
4
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
17
19
15
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 22.9
7
8
0
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.1
3
11
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Omari Spellman
F · 6'9" 253 · 21.5
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.3
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 29.5
Alex Poythress
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
Jaylen Adams
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.