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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 7, 2019
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets24%10595
6Celtics76%115116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
32.9
23.3
10
42%
5
6
1
1
2
5
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
2-9
22%
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 20.9
28.2
19.6
24
74%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
5-8
63%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 20.7
24.0
24.4
6
51%
8
2
1
0
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
58%
0-0
-
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
23.4
31.4
5
42%
1
5
0
1
0
6
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 33.5
17.3
22.2
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 29.1
28.6
3.6
13
60%
12
1
1
0
1
1
5
7
2-2
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 25.2
26.3
12.0
9
41%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
42%
1-8
13%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.8
23.5
25.7
15
57%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
6-7
86%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
1-6
17%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.6
19.8
20.7
11
72%
9
0
2
1
0
1
2
7
5-6
83%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 23.2
16.0
7.0
2
33%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-2
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 32.4
28.3
1
2-4
45%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 27.3
24.5
0
2-4
53%
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 24.4
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 24.0
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
Dzanan Musa
G · 6'9" 195 · 19.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.8
27.8
31.1
17
53%
2
6
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
7-13
6-11
54%
55%
1-3
33%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
27.2
28.0
12
60%
4
7
2
2
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
4-8
50%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 20.8
26.9
30.6
16
58%
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
2-6
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.3
26.0
26.2
12
55%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
3-6
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
24.4
23.8
12
86%
9
5
1
1
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
6-6
3-6
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.8
26.0
27.7
12
53%
4
2
1
1
0
4
1
3
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
2-5
40%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.2
23.5
26.4
4
33%
5
4
0
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
55%
0-1
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
19.9
25.6
10
50%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
0-2
0%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 26.8
19.3
18.1
11
85%
8
2
0
1
0
0
3
5
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
60%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
5.6
13.2
4
100%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
4.4
10.4
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.2
4.4
7.9
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.1
4.4
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.1
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 24.5
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.