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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 7, 2019
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Lakers31%107107
17Mavericks69%11497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
43.7
29.9
14
49%
12
6
5
1
0
2
1
11
3-3
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
37.4
13.8
13
29%
5
3
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
2-10
2-4
20%
54%
2-10
20%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 21.3
37.4
31.1
29
60%
3
6
2
1
0
2
1
2
5-7
71%
12-21
6-12
57%
48%
0-0
-
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.2
37.1
28.5
21
63%
7
5
2
1
0
2
3
4
1-4
25%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
4-8
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.0
23.4
18.4
8
54%
10
0
0
0
0
3
2
8
0-1
0%
4-7
4-7
57%
60%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
21.2
27.4
3
30%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 36.3
19.4
17.5
2
50%
4
2
2
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
61%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
9.4
12.3
13
79%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-5
60%
5-6
3-5
83%
51%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.6
4.3
11.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.8
3.6
15.6
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 28.3
3.1
23.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
49%
0-2
0%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 21.7
9.3
0
1-2
50%
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 19.2
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 32.9
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 24.9
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.9
34.9
26.8
27
52%
8
2
1
1
1
1
2
6
5-7
71%
8-17
4-8
47%
50%
2-6
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
34.5
28.8
11
38%
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
1-7
4-7
14%
49%
2-6
33%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
33.5
28.2
10
77%
19
0
2
1
3
5
3
16
6-8
75%
2-3
4-6
67%
66%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
31.6
26.0
5
31%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
26.5
24.7
11
62%
0
1
3
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
2-2
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
18.6
18.0
11
43%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
14.6
21.2
8
80%
8
0
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
14.6
17.5
8
68%
7
2
0
1
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-2
3-4
100%
65%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
13.4
10.8
2
33%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
13.1
10.9
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.9
4.9
15.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.4
14.1
1
2-4
49%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
10.1
0
1-1
51%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.6
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.