Final Win Prob. pScore
749%107
103
1651%108
99
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
110.89397.3
MIA logo Heat
110.09086.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.103
99
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
99
Q4 - Stoppage (Other)102
99
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
99
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)101
99
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)101
99
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Paul Millsap)101
99
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)101
99
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)101
99
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)101
99
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Mason Plumlee, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Paul Millsap)101
99
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)101
99
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)99
99
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Paul Millsap)99
99
Q4 - Nuggets 60 second timeout99
99
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Josh Richardson assists)99
99
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)99
97
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Mason Plumlee, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Paul Millsap)99
97
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout99
97
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley turnover (lost ball)99
97
Q4 - Jump ball. Justise Winslow vs. Malik Beasley (Dion Waiters gains possession)99
97
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley defensive rebound99
97
Q4 - HeatJamal Murray blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving layup99
97
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (traveling)99
97
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)99
97
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound99
97
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot99
97
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound99
97
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point finger roll layup99
97
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dion Waiters assists)99
97
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig makes two point putback layup99
95
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound97
95
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses regular free throw 1 of 197
95
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)97
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)97
95
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)97
95
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound95
95
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot95
95
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound95
95
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot95
95
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 295
95
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 294
95
Q4 - Stoppage (Court cleanup)93
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)93
95
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)93
95
Q4 - NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound93
95
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot93
95
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
95
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot93
95
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound91
95
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 291
95
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 291
95
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)91
95
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)91
95
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Dwyane Wade assists)91
95
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout91
93
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)91
93
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)89
93
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Paul Millsap)89
93
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)89
93
Q4 - NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound89
93
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point floating jump shot89
93
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound89
93
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot89
93
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot89
93
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup87
93
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound87
91
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot87
91
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Paul Millsap steals)87
91
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound87
91
Q4 - NuggetsJosh Richardson blocks Jamal Murray's two point jump shot87
91
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris, Paul Millsap)87
91
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)87
91
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)87
91
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
89
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot87
89
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Trey Lyles, Nikola Jokic, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris)87
89
Q4 - Nuggets 60 second timeout87
89
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup87
89
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Trey Lyles, Nikola Jokic, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris)87
87
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Trey Lyles, Nikola Jokic, Juancho Hernangomez, Malik Beasley, Monte Morris)87
87
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley turnover (traveling)87
87
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot87
87
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound87
84
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot87
84
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)87
84
Q4 - NuggetsTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)87
81
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)84
81
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)84
79
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout84
79
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)84
79
Q4 - NuggetsTrey Lyles defensive rebound81
79
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point turnaround jump shot81
79
Q4 - NuggetsTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)81
79
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
79
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound78
79
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot78
79
Q4 - NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez turnover (back court violation)78
79
Q4 - NuggetsTrey Lyles defensive rebound78
79
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot78
79
Q4 - NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
79
Q4 - NuggetsTrey Lyles defensive rebound78
79
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot78
79
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson offensive rebound78
79
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot78
79
Q4 - NuggetsTrey Lyles turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)78
79
Q4 - NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound78
79
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot78
79
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)78
79
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
79
Q4 - NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point floating jump shot78
79
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup78
79
Q4 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)78
77
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound76
77
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 276
77
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Trey Lyles, Nikola Jokic, Juancho Hernangomez, Malik Beasley, Monte Morris)76
77
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 276
77
Q4 - NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
76
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Trey Lyles, Juancho Hernangomez, Mason Plumlee, Malik Beasley, Monte Morris)76
76
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.76
76
Q3 - NuggetsTrey Lyles makes two point jump shot (Torrey Craig assists)76
76
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound74
76
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot74
76
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Johnson steals)74
76
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound74
76
Q3 - NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot74
76
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)74
76
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound74
73
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 274
73
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Dwyane Wade)74
73
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 274
73
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)73
73
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
73
Q3 - NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound73
73
Q3 - NuggetsHassan Whiteside blocks Mason Plumlee's two point jump shot73
73
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound73
73
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 273
73
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 273
73
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)73
72
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Dwyane Wade)73
72
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Trey Lyles, Juancho Hernangomez, Mason Plumlee, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris)73
72
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)73
72
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)73
72
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound70
72
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot70
72
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound70
72
Q3 - NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point jump shot70
72
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
72
Q3 - NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound70
72
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point step back jump shot70
72
Q3 - NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)70
72
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)70
72
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Juancho Hernangomez, Mason Plumlee, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris)70
69
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout70
69
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Torrey Craig assists)70
69
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 267
69
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)67
68
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Juancho Hernangomez, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris, Paul Millsap)67
68
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 267
68
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)67
68
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot67
68
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)65
68
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)65
66
Q3 - HeatHeat defensive rebound65
66
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point layup65
66
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound65
66
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot65
66
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 265
66
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)64
66
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris, Paul Millsap)64
66
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 264
66
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)64
66
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound64
66
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot64
66
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point finger roll layup64
66
Q3 - NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)64
64
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (bad pass) (Rodney McGruder steals)64
64
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound64
64
Q3 - HeatPaul Millsap blocks Rodney McGruder's two point driving layup64
64
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes technical free throw 1 of 164
64
Q3 - NuggetsNuggets technical foul (Defensive three second)64
63
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)64
63
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)62
63
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound62
61
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot62
61
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)62
61
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound60
61
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point floating jump shot60
61
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)60
59
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound58
59
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot58
59
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)58
59
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point finger roll layup58
59
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound56
59
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot56
59
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Torrey Craig assists)56
59
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound53
59
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point fadeaway jump shot53
59
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)53
59
Q3 - Nuggets 60 second timeout53
59
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point alley-oop layup (Josh Richardson assists)53
59
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound53
57
Q3 - NuggetsHassan Whiteside blocks Nikola Jokic's two point floating jump shot53
57
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)53
57
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound53
54
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point step back jump shot53
54
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot53
54
Q3 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)53
52
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound51
52
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point driving layup51
52
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 251
52
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 250
52
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)49
52
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound49
52
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot49
52
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)49
52
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Paul Millsap)49
52
Q2 - End of 1st Half.49
52
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound49
52
Q2 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot49
52
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)49
52
Q2 - NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)49
50
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)46
50
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound46
48
Q2 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot46
48
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
48
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 246
48
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)46
47
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris, Paul Millsap)46
47
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 246
47
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)46
46
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point layup (Paul Millsap assists)46
46
Q2 - NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound44
46
Q2 - NuggetsJustise Winslow blocks Jamal Murray's two point layup44
46
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)44
46
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)44
46
Q2 - NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound44
46
Q2 - NuggetsKelly Olynyk blocks Torrey Craig's two point driving layup44
46
Q2 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound44
46
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot44
46
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot44
46
Q2 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound42
46
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot42
46
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound42
46
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot42
46
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)42
46
Q2 - NuggetsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)42
43
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 239
43
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 239
42
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)39
42
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound39
42
Q2 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot39
42
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup39
42
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)39
40
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)39
40
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 139
40
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)39
39
Q2 - Nuggets 60 second timeout39
39
Q2 - NuggetsMalik Beasley shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)39
39
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point dunk (Dion Waiters assists)39
39
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound39
37
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot39
37
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point finger roll layup39
37
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)39
35
Q2 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound39
35
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot39
35
Q2 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point hook shot (Malik Beasley assists)39
35
Q2 - Stoppage (Blood rule)37
35
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow)37
35
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Paul Millsap)37
35
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)37
35
Q2 - NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound37
35
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot37
35
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Malik Beasley assists)37
35
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Tyler Johnson assists)35
35
Q2 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)35
33
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)33
33
Q2 - NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)33
30
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound33
30
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot33
30
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound33
30
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot33
30
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow)33
30
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris, Paul Millsap)33
30
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)33
30
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)33
30
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound33
28
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot33
28
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point hook shot33
28
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)31
28
Q2 - Nuggets 60 second timeout31
28
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup31
28
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound31
26
Q2 - NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot31
26
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 231
26
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 231
25
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Trey Lyles, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris)31
25
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)31
25
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (offensive foul)31
25
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)31
25
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point reverse layup (Tyler Johnson assists)31
25
Q2 - NuggetsTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (Brandon Goodwin assists)31
23
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound28
23
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot28
23
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
23
Q2 - NuggetsDwyane Wade blocks Monte Morris's two point floating jump shot28
23
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)28
23
Q2 - NuggetsBrandon Goodwin turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)28
21
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup28
21
Q2 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point jump shot28
19
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 226
19
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 226
18
Q2 - NuggetsBrandon Goodwin shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)26
18
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point alley-oop dunk (Monte Morris assists)26
18
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.24
18
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound24
18
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot24
18
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)24
18
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)22
18
Q1 - NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound22
18
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot22
18
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 222
18
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Dwyane Wade)22
17
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 222
17
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)22
16
Q1 - NuggetsTrey Lyles makes two point jump shot22
16
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 220
16
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 220
15
Q1 - Nuggets lineup change (Brandon Goodwin, Jamal Murray, Trey Lyles, Mason Plumlee, Monte Morris)20
14
Q1 - Nuggets 60 second timeout20
14
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)20
14
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound20
14
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving layup20
14
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound20
14
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot20
14
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Johnson steals)20
14
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point step back jump shot20
14
Q1 - NuggetsTrey Lyles makes two point reverse layup (Mason Plumlee assists)20
12
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Tyler Johnson assists)18
12
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound18
10
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot18
10
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound18
10
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot18
10
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point dunk (Torrey Craig assists)18
10
Q1 - NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound16
10
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 216
10
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)16
10
Q1 - Nuggets lineup change (Trey Lyles, Mason Plumlee, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris)16
10
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 216
10
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)16
10
Q1 - NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound16
10
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot16
10
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 216
10
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 215
10
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)14
10
Q1 - NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound14
10
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot14
10
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 214
10
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 213
10
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)12
10
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound12
10
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot12
10
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)12
10
Q1 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound12
10
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 112
10
Q1 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Mason Plumlee, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Monte Morris)12
10
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)12
10
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)12
10
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup12
10
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound12
8
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot12
8
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound12
8
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot12
8
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound12
8
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot12
8
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound12
8
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot12
8
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)12
8
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)12
8
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound12
8
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot12
8
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 212
8
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)12
7
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 212
7
Q1 - NuggetsTorrey Craig shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)12
7
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)12
7
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound12
7
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound12
7
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup12
7
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot12
7
Q1 - Jamal Murray kicked ball violation12
7
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound12
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot12
7
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)12
7
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout12
7
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)12
7
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound10
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point jump shot10
7
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)10
7
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot8
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot8
7
Q1 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot8
7
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)8
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)6
7
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound6
4
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point jump shot6
4
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound6
4
Q1 - NuggetsHassan Whiteside blocks Paul Millsap's two point layup6
4
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound6
4
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot6
4
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)6
4
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point turnaround hook shot (Justise Winslow assists)4
4
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound4
2
Q1 - NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot4
2
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (offensive foul)4
2
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow offensive foul (Charge) (Torrey Craig draws the foul)4
2
Q1 - Hassan Whiteside defensive goaltending violation4
2
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point hook shot (Paul Millsap assists)4
2
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot2
2
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point floating jump shot2
2
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound2
2
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround jump shot2
2
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound2
2
Q1 - NuggetsRodney McGruder blocks Jamal Murray's two point floating jump shot2
2
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback dunk2
2
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound2
0
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot2
0
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point layup (Paul Millsap assists)2
0
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
0
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)0
0
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point step back jump shot0
0
Q1 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
0
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
0
Q1 - Nikola Jokic vs. Hassan Whiteside (Justise Winslow gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)0
0
Q1 - Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Torrey Craig, Paul Millsap)0
0
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.6%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
23
83%
MIA
25
29
86%
Midrange
DEN
13
37
35%
MIA
5
23
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
MIA
8
12.0
31
26%
39%
Free Throws
DEN
12
17
71%
MIA
15
25
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2966%14.5 / 22
J. Murray1845%9.0 / 20
T. Lyles15107%7.5 / 7
P. Millsap1250%6.0 / 12
T. Craig1169%5.5 / 8
M. Beasley950%4.5 / 9
M. Plumlee563%2.5 / 4
M. Morris429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters1568%7.5 / 11
K. Olynyk1359%6.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1393%6.5 / 7
J. Richardson1246%6.0 / 13
H. Whiteside1250%6.0 / 12
J. Winslow1250%6.0 / 12
D. Wade1050%5.0 / 10
R. McGruder550%2.5 / 5
T. Johnson433%2.0 / 6
J. Johnson338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+20
-16
97
MIA
84
+9
-6
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.6%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
107.5
DEN 110.8 +0.8
MIA 110.0
Pace
98.0
98.1
DEN 97.3 +11.0
MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
DEN 14.8 −1.9
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.5%
DEN 52.3% +1.7%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
13.1%
14.3%
DEN 14.5%
MIA 6.0% −8.5%
ORB %
26.6%
24.8%
DEN 35.6% +14.7%
MIA 20.9%
FTrt
23.2
24.7
DEN 19.5
MIA 30.1 +10.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
61.2%
DEN 78.0% +14.8%
MIA 63.2%
STL %
7.9%
7.8%
DEN 2.2%
MIA 10.0% +7.8%
BLK %
8.2%
10.2%
DEN 3.8%
MIA 13.3% +9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
52.9%
DEN 53.6% +2.6%
MIA 51.0%
Rim FG%
59.6%
60.8%
DEN 82.6%
MIA 86.2% +3.6%
Mid FG%
43.3%
36.8%
DEN 35.1% +13.4%
MIA 21.7%
3P %
35.1%
34.9%
DEN 33.3% +7.5%
MIA 25.8%
FT %
75.5%
69.5%
DEN 70.6% +10.6%
MIA 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
37.3%
DEN 26.4%
MIA 34.9% +8.5%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
25.9%
DEN 42.5%
MIA 27.7% −14.8%
3P Att. %
34.8%
36.8%
DEN 31.0%
MIA 37.3% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10399
Rebounds5038
Assists3224
Steals29
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)6 (0)
Fouls2018
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)29 (1)
Field Goals41-8738-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2325-29
Midrange FG13-375-23
2-Point FG32-6030-52
3-Point FG9-278-31
Free Throws12-1715-25
Fast Break Pts78
2nd Chance Pts2311
Points in Paint5256
Pts off Turnovers914
Bench Points2455
Biggest Lead96

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
39.6
29
66%
11
10
1
0
3
3
3
8
6-6
100%
10-19
53%
1-2
50%
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
38.6
11
69%
16
4
0
0
1
2
6
10
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
36.3
9
50%
1
2
0
0
3
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
31.6
18
45%
4
6
0
1
1
4
2
2
3-4
75%
6-15
40%
1-4
25%
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
30.3
12
50%
9
4
1
1
1
0
4
5
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 24
24.6
4
29%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
15.2
15
107%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
#24 · PF · 7'0" 254 · 29
10.9
5
63%
3
3
0
0
2
5
0
3
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
4.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip/Core Muscle Surgery
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring Tightness
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
50
32
2
2
16
20
16
34
12-17
71%
32-60
53%
9-27
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.