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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 8, 2019
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets49%107103
17Heat51%10899
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
40
31
29
11
10
1
1
0
3
3
8
6-6
100%
10-19
7-12
53%
55%
1-2
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
39
26
11
16
4
0
1
0
1
6
10
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
3-7
43%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
36
25
9
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
51%
1-6
17%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.9
32
31
18
4
6
0
1
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
6-15
5-10
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
30
23
12
9
4
1
1
1
1
4
5
2-3
67%
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
0-2
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
25
20
4
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
15
14
15
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
3-5
60%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
11
20
5
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-4
25%
2-3
3-5
67%
56%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
9
21
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.5
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.0
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.8
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
34
32
12
4
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
3-3
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
24
24
12
11
0
0
1
3
0
4
7
2-5
40%
5-10
5-9
50%
55%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
23
29
12
4
4
2
1
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-3
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
16
21
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
16
19
3
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
1-3
33%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
30
19
13
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
59%
1-6
17%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 37.0
29
21
10
3
6
2
1
1
2
1
2
3-6
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
25
10
15
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
3-7
43%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
24
23
13
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
6-7
3-6
86%
54%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.7
19
22
4
3
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-4
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.9
25
1
3-5
54%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
4
0
0-0
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.6
1
0
0-0
47%
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.4
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.7
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.