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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Spurs51%10586
19Grizzlies49%10496
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
33
31
14
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
3-8
38%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
31
33
9
5
4
1
1
0
4
2
3
1-3
33%
4-15
7-15
27%
49%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.5
30
29
13
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
5-6
83%
4-12
7-14
33%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
16
31
12
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-5
60%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.2
14
20
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
3-5
-
61%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.4
31
23
13
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.8
29
20
14
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.5
20
6
7
12
1
0
0
0
1
1
11
3-4
75%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.2
18
24
3
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
1-3
33%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.7
9
4
0
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.4
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.1
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.3
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.8
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.9
37
29
26
14
3
1
1
1
1
1
13
5-7
71%
6-11
4-7
55%
48%
3-5
60%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
33
31
9
3
2
1
2
3
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.2
32
31
15
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
6-13
4-9
46%
48%
0-6
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 32.7
27
31
2
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.3
18
26
12
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
57%
2-5
40%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 28.6
28
24
12
11
2
2
1
0
2
3
8
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
2-4
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 29.8
21
19
6
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
42%
0-3
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
17
10
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 28.7
16
7
10
3
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 33.9
11
9
0
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.3
15
1
1-2
46%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.9
3
0
0-1
56%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
2
0
0-0
51%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 25.0
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.