Final Win Prob. pScore
651%107
99
1549%106
115
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo Celtics
104.295106.2
MIA logo Heat
119.89686.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.99
115
Q4 - CelticsBrad Wanamaker turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)99
115
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk99
115
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound99
113
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot99
113
Q4 - CelticsGuerschon Yabusele makes three point jump shot (Semi Ojeleye assists)99
113
Q4 - CelticsSemi Ojeleye defensive rebound96
113
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot96
113
Q4 - CelticsBrad Wanamaker makes regular free throw 2 of 296
113
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder)95
113
Q4 - CelticsBrad Wanamaker makes regular free throw 1 of 295
113
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Brad Wanamaker draws the foul)94
113
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)94
113
Q4 - CelticsGuerschon Yabusele makes two point reverse layup (Brad Wanamaker assists)94
110
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (traveling)92
110
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound92
110
Q4 - CelticsBrad Wanamaker misses two point floating jump shot92
110
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)92
110
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)92
108
Q4 - Celtics lineup change (Daniel Theis, Semi Ojeleye, Brad Wanamaker, Guerschon Yabusele, Robert Williams III)92
108
Q4 - Stoppage (Blood rule)92
108
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)92
108
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)92
108
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound92
108
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point putback dunk92
108
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound92
108
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot92
108
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
108
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot92
108
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)92
108
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 192
105
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)91
105
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround jump shot91
105
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Bam Adebayo)89
105
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)89
105
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)89
105
Q4 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound89
105
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot89
105
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)89
105
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point layup (Marcus Smart assists)89
105
Q4 - CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound87
105
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot87
105
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 3 of 387
105
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 386
105
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 385
105
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)84
105
Q4 - Robert Williams III defensive goaltending violation84
105
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)84
105
Q4 - CelticsRobert Williams III personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)84
103
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound84
103
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point floating jump shot84
103
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Tyler Johnson assists)84
103
Q4 - CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)84
101
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)82
101
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound82
101
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point turnaround jump shot82
101
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)82
101
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)82
98
Q4 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Morris, Marcus Smart, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum, Robert Williams III)82
98
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout82
98
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)82
98
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier offensive rebound79
98
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot79
98
Q4 - CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound79
98
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot79
98
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound79
98
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot79
98
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)79
98
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound79
95
Q4 - CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Al Horford's two point driving hook shot79
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Loose ball) (Terry Rozier draws the foul)79
95
Q4 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound79
95
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point finger roll layup79
95
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)79
95
Q4 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown)76
95
Q4 - Celtics 60 second timeout76
95
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)76
95
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound76
92
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot76
92
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 276
92
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 276
91
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
90
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)76
90
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound76
90
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point step back jump shot76
90
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
90
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point jump shot76
90
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)76
90
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)76
87
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound76
87
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup76
87
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
87
Q4 - CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 176
87
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)76
87
Q4 - CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Gordon Hayward assists)76
87
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot74
87
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)74
85
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)74
85
Q4 - CelticsCeltics offensive rebound74
85
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford misses two point putback layup74
85
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound74
85
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point step back jump shot74
85
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround hook shot74
85
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Gordon Hayward assists)74
83
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)72
83
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.72
83
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound72
83
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot72
83
Q3 - CelticsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 272
83
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Semi Ojeleye, Al Horford, Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown)71
83
Q3 - CelticsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 271
83
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)70
83
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot70
83
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
81
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot70
81
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)70
81
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown)70
81
Q3 - Celtics 60 second timeout70
81
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound70
81
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot70
81
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound70
81
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot70
81
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)70
81
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)70
78
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)67
78
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
75
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot67
75
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound67
75
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot67
75
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point putback layup67
75
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris offensive rebound65
75
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point reverse layup65
75
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound65
75
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point turnaround jump shot65
75
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
75
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point layup65
75
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound65
75
Q3 - HeatMarcus Smart blocks Bam Adebayo's two point dunk65
75
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot65
75
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)62
75
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout62
72
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Marcus Morris assists)62
72
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound59
72
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot59
72
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 259
72
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)58
72
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 258
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)57
72
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound57
72
Q3 - HeatMarcus Morris blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup57
72
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
72
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot57
72
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)57
72
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)57
72
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Hassan Whiteside, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)54
72
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)54
72
Q3 - CelticsCeltics offensive rebound54
72
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point floating jump shot54
72
Q3 - CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound54
72
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot54
72
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point floating jump shot54
72
Q3 - CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound52
72
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot52
72
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout52
72
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 252
72
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 251
72
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)50
72
Q3 - CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound50
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point reverse layup50
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound50
72
Q3 - HeatKyrie Irving blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup50
72
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
72
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound50
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point floating jump shot50
72
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point layup (Robert Williams III assists)50
72
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound48
72
Q3 - HeatRobert Williams III blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving layup48
72
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 248
72
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 247
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)46
72
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Morris steals)46
72
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Hassan Whiteside steals)46
72
Q3 - Celtics 60 second timeout46
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (offensive foul)46
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)46
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound46
72
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot46
72
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 246
72
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Morris, Marcus Smart, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum, Robert Williams III)46
71
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 246
71
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)46
71
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound46
71
Q3 - HeatJayson Tatum blocks Rodney McGruder's two point reverse layup46
71
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound46
71
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point floating jump shot46
71
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound46
71
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot46
71
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (traveling)46
71
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 246
71
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 246
70
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)46
70
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound46
70
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford misses two point jump shot46
70
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup46
70
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
68
Q3 - Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)46
68
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
68
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound46
68
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot46
68
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound46
68
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot46
68
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)46
68
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 246
65
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 245
65
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)45
65
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)45
65
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)45
63
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)45
63
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)43
63
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound43
61
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot43
61
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)43
61
Q3 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound43
61
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot43
61
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Hassan Whiteside, James Johnson, Rodney McGruder)43
61
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Morris, Marcus Smart, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)43
61
Q2 - End of 1st Half.43
61
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)43
61
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (offensive foul)43
58
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving offensive foul (Charge) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)43
58
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot43
58
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound43
56
Q2 - CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot43
56
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)43
56
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Morris, Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)43
56
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)43
56
Q2 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound43
56
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot43
56
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound43
56
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot43
56
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk43
56
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)43
54
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)43
54
Q2 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point jump shot43
51
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)41
51
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound41
49
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot41
49
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)41
49
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point fadeaway jump shot41
46
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup (Justise Winslow assists)39
46
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point jump shot39
44
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)37
44
Q2 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound37
44
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot37
44
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound37
44
Q2 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot37
44
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)37
44
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Hassan Whiteside)37
44
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)37
44
Q2 - Celtics 60 second timeout37
44
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup (Justise Winslow assists)37
44
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)37
42
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)37
42
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point floating jump shot (Al Horford assists)37
40
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot35
40
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound35
38
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot35
38
Q2 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)35
38
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point finger roll layup (Justise Winslow assists)32
38
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)32
36
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound32
36
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point jump shot32
36
Q2 - CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)32
36
Q2 - CelticsCeltics offensive rebound32
36
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point layup32
36
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Terry Rozier)32
36
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Marcus Morris draws the foul)32
36
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 232
36
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)32
35
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 232
35
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)32
35
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound32
35
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point alley-oop layup32
35
Q2 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound32
35
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup32
35
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)32
35
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Morris, Daniel Theis, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Terry Rozier)32
35
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout32
35
Q2 - CelticsTerry Rozier makes two point layup32
35
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)30
35
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound30
35
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point putback layup30
35
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis offensive rebound30
35
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point putback layup30
35
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis offensive rebound30
35
Q2 - CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point jump shot30
35
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)30
35
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound30
33
Q2 - CelticsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Jaylen Brown's two point jump shot30
33
Q2 - CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound30
33
Q2 - CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point jump shot30
33
Q2 - CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound30
33
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot30
33
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point putback layup30
33
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Morris offensive rebound28
33
Q2 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point putback layup28
33
Q2 - CelticsTerry Rozier offensive rebound28
33
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot28
33
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Theis steals)28
33
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis makes two point putback layup28
33
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis offensive rebound26
33
Q2 - CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot26
33
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot26
33
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound26
31
Q2 - CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot26
31
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)26
31
Q2 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound26
31
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot26
31
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)26
31
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound26
31
Q2 - HeatJaylen Brown blocks Dion Waiters's two point driving layup26
31
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters offensive rebound26
31
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot26
31
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)26
31
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot24
31
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound24
28
Q2 - CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Marcus Morris's two point jump shot24
28
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
28
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Marcus Morris draws the foul)24
28
Q2 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound24
28
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point jump shot24
28
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)24
28
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Morris, Daniel Theis, Gordon Hayward, Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown)24
28
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.24
28
Q1 - CelticsCeltics offensive rebound24
28
Q1 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot24
28
Q1 - CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound24
28
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point jump shot24
28
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound24
28
Q1 - CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot24
28
Q1 - CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound24
28
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot24
28
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound24
28
Q1 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot24
28
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)24
28
Q1 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point jump shot24
25
Q1 - CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound22
25
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point jump shot22
25
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound22
25
Q1 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point jump shot22
25
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)22
25
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound22
23
Q1 - CelticsJames Johnson blocks Jaylen Brown's two point turnaround jump shot22
23
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)22
23
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)22
23
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound22
23
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup22
23
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound22
23
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point floating jump shot22
23
Q1 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)22
23
Q1 - Celtics lineup change (Daniel Theis, Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown)20
23
Q1 - Celtics 60 second timeout20
23
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)20
23
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound20
21
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot20
21
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound20
21
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point step back jump shot20
21
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound20
21
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point floating jump shot20
21
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (James Johnson assists)20
21
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point jump shot20
19
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup18
19
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound18
17
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup18
17
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound18
17
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot18
17
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Hassan Whiteside, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)18
17
Q1 - Celtics lineup change (Daniel Theis, Marcus Smart, Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum)18
17
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout18
17
Q1 - HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)18
17
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound18
17
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot18
17
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound18
17
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot18
17
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)18
17
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot18
17
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving dunk15
17
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound15
15
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot15
15
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)15
15
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound15
13
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point layup15
13
Q1 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound15
13
Q1 - HeatMarcus Morris blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot15
13
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)15
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound15
13
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot15
13
Q1 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound15
13
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot15
13
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound15
13
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot15
13
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound15
13
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point jump shot15
13
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point jump shot15
13
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)13
13
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point step back jump shot13
10
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)11
10
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)11
8
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound8
8
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot8
8
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound8
8
Q1 - CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot8
8
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)8
8
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot8
8
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point jump shot (Al Horford assists)8
5
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)6
5
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
2
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound6
2
Q1 - HeatAl Horford blocks James Johnson's two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)6
2
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)3
2
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point jump shot3
0
Q1 - Al Horford vs. Hassan Whiteside (Kyrie Irving gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Hassan Whiteside, James Johnson, Rodney McGruder)0
0
Q1 - Celtics lineup change (Marcus Morris, Marcus Smart, Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)0
0
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
11
24
46%
MIA
17
30
57%
Midrange
BOS
13
31
42%
MIA
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
MIA
18
27.0
39
46%
69%
Free Throws
BOS
15
17
88%
MIA
5
8
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2258%11.0 / 19
M. Smart1875%9.0 / 12
J. Tatum1765%8.5 / 13
M. Morris1771%8.5 / 12
G. Hayward643%3.0 / 7
G. Yabusele5125%2.5 / 2
T. Rozier422%2.0 / 9
A. Horford213%1.0 / 8
R. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
J. Brown220%1.0 / 5
D. Theis225%1.0 / 4
B. Wanamaker250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1986%9.5 / 11
J. Richardson1875%9.0 / 12
D. Jones1478%7.0 / 9
J. Winslow1372%6.5 / 9
J. Johnson1243%6.0 / 14
T. Johnson1169%5.5 / 8
H. Whiteside950%4.5 / 9
B. Adebayo867%4.0 / 6
D. Waiters833%4.0 / 12
R. McGruder338%1.5 / 4
K. Olynyk0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
85
+13
-10
98
MIA
88
+15
-8
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
107.5
BOS 104.2
MIA 119.8 +15.6
Pace
100.0
98.1
BOS 106.2 +19.4
MIA 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.0
BOS 13.6 −3.0
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
51.5%
BOS 47.2%
MIA 57.3% +10.1%
TO %
12.4%
14.3%
BOS 10.2%
MIA 8.3% −1.9%
ORB %
21.7%
24.8%
BOS 18.0%
MIA 26.3% +8.3%
FTrt
21.5
24.7
BOS 19.1 +10.8
MIA 8.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
61.2%
BOS 55.6%
MIA 71.7% +16.1%
STL %
8.5%
7.8%
BOS 5.3%
MIA 7.3% +2.0%
BLK %
9.7%
10.2%
BOS 14.0% +6.7%
MIA 7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.9%
BOS 50.0%
MIA 55.8% +5.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.8%
BOS 45.8%
MIA 56.7% +10.9%
Mid FG%
43.1%
36.8%
BOS 41.9% +1.2%
MIA 40.7%
3P %
36.5%
34.9%
BOS 35.3%
MIA 46.2% +10.9%
FT %
80.2%
69.5%
BOS 88.2% +25.7%
MIA 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
37.3%
BOS 27.0%
MIA 31.3% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
25.9%
BOS 34.8%
MIA 28.1% −6.7%
3P Att. %
38.1%
36.8%
BOS 38.2%
MIA 40.6% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes21.526.5
Points99115
Rebounds3751
Assists2033
Steals57
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)8 (1)
Fouls1018
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (7)41 (0)
Field Goals36-8946-96
At-the-Rim FG11-2417-30
Midrange FG13-3111-27
2-Point FG24-5528-57
3-Point FG12-3418-39
Free Throws15-175-8
Fast Break Pts1516
2nd Chance Pts1214
Points in Paint3046
Pts off Turnovers1018
Bench Points2360
Biggest Lead426

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
34.7
22
58%
5
5
1
1
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
8-13
62%
2-6
33%
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
33.1
18
75%
1
2
0
1
2
3
0
1
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
31.6
17
65%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
7-7
100%
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
28.7
17
71%
6
1
1
2
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
3-5
60%
#42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 33
23.2
2
13%
4
3
0
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-4
0%
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
20.1
6
43%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
16.7
4
22%
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
14.3
2
100%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
13.8
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
13.1
2
25%
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
5.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
2.5
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'7" 265 · 23
2.5
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#4 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Fourth Metacarpal Fracture
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 25
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
50%
37
20
5
8
10
10
9
28
15-17
88%
24-55
44%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.