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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 10, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Celtics51%10699
15Heat49%105115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.8
35
27
22
5
5
1
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
8-13
5-10
62%
52%
2-6
33%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
33
25
18
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
4-5
80%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
4-8
50%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 20.9
32
27
17
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
7-7
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
2-4
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
29
25
17
6
1
1
1
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
23
21
2
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
54%
0-4
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.8
20
24
6
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
17
22
4
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-3
0%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.2
14
9
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.2
14
27
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-4
4-7
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 26.8
13
18
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
57%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
6
12
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
3
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.1
3
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.1
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 24.5
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
34
32
18
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
4-8
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
32
27
13
7
11
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
21
24
9
10
2
1
1
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
4-8
5-9
50%
55%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
20
18
12
5
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
4-11
2-4
36%
54%
1-4
25%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
15
19
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.9
29
16
14
7
0
2
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
27
23
8
7
5
2
1
2
0
1
6
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 37.0
23
24
19
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
3-5
60%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
20
16
8
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
2-7
29%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.7
15
20
11
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
5
23
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
4
0
0-0
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.6
1
0
0-0
44%
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.4
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.7
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.