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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 10, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Clippers34%112100
4Nuggets66%118121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
32.4
30.9
18
46%
3
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
3-6
50%
3-11
3-7
27%
47%
3-6
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
31.1
31.8
18
54%
11
4
0
1
1
0
1
10
4-4
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
51%
0-2
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.1
25.8
26.1
2
17%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 20.5
20.4
20.8
3
38%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
17.3
17.1
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 32.2
24.6
24.8
19
55%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-5
80%
6-12
4-10
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
22.6
23.8
2
33%
3
4
0
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
22.0
25.1
16
81%
6
0
0
1
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
7-9
6-10
78%
62%
0-0
-
Tyrone Wallace
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.6
19.4
14.6
7
61%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-4
25%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 30.5
9.4
11.1
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 30.4
6.0
3.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
4.8
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.7
4.3
3.4
6
48%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
4-5
80%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Milos Teodosic
G · 6'5" 196 · 31.8
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.3
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.9
Angel Delgado
C · 6'10" 245 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.9
32.2
30.9
23
70%
6
2
0
1
0
4
2
4
1-1
100%
8-12
6-11
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
31.0
28.6
15
75%
1
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
3-5
60%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
30.4
30.0
14
88%
4
0
3
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
56%
2-2
100%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
27.8
33.3
18
44%
14
10
0
1
2
1
5
9
2-3
67%
8-14
8-14
57%
57%
0-5
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
23.7
24.8
8
37%
9
0
1
1
0
1
2
7
4-4
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
23.9
21.4
14
58%
2
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
22.4
16.4
2
33%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-2
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
22.3
14.4
7
32%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
54%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
20.2
16.7
17
83%
12
5
0
1
1
2
3
9
3-5
60%
7-8
2-4
88%
58%
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
3.1
3.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
3.1
0.9
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
1-1
100%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
25.8
1
4-7
55%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.0
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.8
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.