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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Mavericks
119
13Timberwolves
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.9
35
31
29
8
12
2
1
0
1
2
6
7-10
70%
8-14
4-9
57%
49%
2-9
22%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
33
32
23
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
3-12
3-7
25%
48%
4-7
57%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
30
20
13
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-0
2-3
-
60%
3-4
75%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
30
30
8
15
0
2
1
0
3
5
10
0-3
0%
4-7
4-6
57%
64%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
23
28
4
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-4
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.5
22
18
16
4
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
20
18
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
18
16
15
3
0
0
1
2
1
2
1
1-1
100%
7-7
2-4
100%
64%
0-1
0%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.4
16
12
9
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
3-3
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
13
11
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-4
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
11
0
1-2
49%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
5
0
0-1
52%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.6
3
0
0-1
60%
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.1
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 23.9
39
36
17
6
3
1
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
6-15
6-13
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.6
31
25
12
3
6
2
1
2
4
1
2
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
0-3
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 23.2
30
30
30
11
2
0
1
4
0
3
8
5-5
100%
11-18
7-12
61%
57%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
30
24
10
15
1
1
1
0
0
5
10
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
57%
0-1
0%
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 20.4
23
31
15
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.3
28
20
21
3
5
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
3-5
60%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.7
19
24
3
2
7
0
2
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.8
19
22
0
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 29.0
17
17
7
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
1-1
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
5
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
3
0
0-0
43%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 23.0
3
0
0-1
51%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.7
2
0
0-0
47%
Jared Terrell
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
C.J. Williams
F-G · 6'5" 230 · 28.9
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.