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All Games Saturday, January 12, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Grizzlies
44%98
108
14
Heat
56%100
112
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
118.79188.5
MIA logo MIA
119.19496.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
112
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.11 55.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
16
29
55%
MIA
19
32
59%
Midrange
MEM
14
23
61%
MIA
6
17
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
MIA
15
22.5
31
48%
73%
Free Throws
MEM
21
27
78%
MIA
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green2486%12.0 / 14
M. Conley2265%11.0 / 17
M. Gasol1554%7.5 / 14
J. Jackson1381%6.5 / 8
S. Mack1350%6.5 / 13
G. Temple975%4.5 / 6
O. Casspi433%2.0 / 6
J. Noah450%2.0 / 4
K. Anderson2100%1.0 / 1
J. Holiday220%1.0 / 5
J. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2676%13.0 / 17
J. Richardson1450%7.0 / 14
T. Johnson1478%7.0 / 9
K. Olynyk13108%6.5 / 6
B. Adebayo1169%5.5 / 8
D. Jones1146%5.5 / 12
D. Wade1042%5.0 / 12
J. Johnson758%3.5 / 6
R. McGruder375%1.5 / 2
D. Waiters350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
81
+14
-10
95
MIA
80
+15
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.11 55.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
107.5
MEM 118.7
MIA 119.1 +0.5
Pace
96.6
98.1
MEM 88.5
MIA 96.8 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.0
MEM 16.3
MIA 14.9 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.5%
MEM 53.7%
MIA 59.4% +5.7%
TO %
13.5%
14.3%
MEM 12.3% +1.1%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
20.1%
24.8%
MEM 26.3%
MIA 26.3%
FTrt
27.2
24.7
MEM 33.3 +3.3
MIA 30.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
61.2%
MEM 46.2%
MIA 62.5% +16.3%
STL %
8.5%
7.8%
MEM 9.9% +2.5%
MIA 7.4%
BLK %
10.7%
10.2%
MEM 12.2% +4.5%
MIA 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
52.9%
MEM 55.7%
MIA 59.6% +3.9%
Rim FG%
59.9%
60.8%
MEM 55.2%
MIA 59.4% +4.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
36.8%
MEM 60.9% +25.6%
MIA 35.3%
3P %
34.2%
34.9%
MEM 31.0%
MIA 48.4% +17.4%
FT %
77.2%
69.5%
MEM 77.8% +7.0%
MIA 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
37.3%
MEM 35.8%
MIA 40.0% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
25.9%
MEM 28.4%
MIA 21.3% +7.1%
3P Att. %
34.2%
36.8%
MEM 35.8%
MIA 38.8% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9194
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points108112
Rebounds3838
Assists1825
Steals97
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)10 (3)14 (0)
Fouls2123
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals39-8140-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2919-32
Midrange FG14-236-17
2-Point FG30-5225-49
3-Point FG9-2915-31
Free Throws21-2717-24
Fast Break Pts48
2nd Chance Pts1914
Points in Paint4844
Pts off Turnovers1625
Bench Points4751
Biggest Lead1213

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
16 Memphis Grizzlies
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Mike Conley
#11 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
34.9
22
65%
2
7
3
0
2
3
2
0
5-6
83%
4-10
40%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
33.9
15
54%
5
5
1
2
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
67%
1-5
20%
Garrett Temple
#17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 33
30.7
9
75%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 19
27.8
13
81%
5
2
3
2
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
#1 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 25
8.3
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
#6 · PG · 6'3" 203 · 29
28.5
13
50%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
JaMychal Green
#0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 29
22.4
24
86%
11
0
1
0
1
2
5
6
7-8
88%
7-9
78%
1-2
50%
Omri Casspi
#18 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 31
17.0
4
33%
6
0
0
0
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
Justin Holiday
#7 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 30
16.0
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
Joakim Noah
#55 · C · 6'11" 230 · 34
14.1
4
50%
5
1
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
#3 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Ivan Rabb
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Yuta Watanabe
#12 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dillon Brooks
#24 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Injury
Jarnell Stokes
#2 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two - Way
Chandler Parsons
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 30
Inactive - Personal | NWT
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
56%
38
18
9
6
10
21
10
28
21-27
78%
30-52
58%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.