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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2019
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies44%98108
15Heat56%100112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.3
35
31
22
2
7
3
1
0
2
2
0
5-6
83%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 34.0
34
32
15
5
5
1
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 32.7
31
29
9
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.3
28
23
13
5
2
3
1
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
56%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
8
31
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
56%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 28.7
29
11
13
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
4-9
1-2
44%
47%
1-4
25%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 28.6
22
25
24
11
0
1
1
0
1
5
6
7-8
88%
7-9
3-6
78%
52%
1-2
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.6
17
12
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 29.8
16
19
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 33.9
14
10
4
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.3
6
10
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.9
2
0
0-1
54%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
2
0
0-0
48%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 25.0
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
38
24
11
10
2
2
1
1
3
4
6
5-7
71%
3-6
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
36
33
14
6
9
2
1
0
1
2
4
5-6
83%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
34
29
26
7
4
1
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
6-12
3-8
50%
46%
4-4
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
14
18
7
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
14
17
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-2
50%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.7
28
18
14
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
4-8
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
25
16
13
4
0
0
1
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
59%
2-4
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 37.0
25
23
10
3
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.9
18
21
11
5
0
2
1
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
55%
1-2
50%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
10
18
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
23
1
5-9
55%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
4
0
0-0
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.6
1
0
0-0
47%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.4
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.