Final Win Prob. pScore
1644%98
108
1456%100
112
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo Grizzlies
118.79188.5
MIA logo Heat
119.19496.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
112
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
112
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
111
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley personal foul (Take) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)108
110
Q4 - Jump ball. Dwyane Wade vs. Shelvin Mack (Josh Richardson gains possession)108
110
Q4 - HeatHeat defensive rebound108
110
Q4 - GrizzliesDwyane Wade blocks Shelvin Mack's two point layup108
110
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)108
110
Q4 - Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., JaMychal Green, Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol)108
110
Q4 - Grizzlies 60 second timeout108
110
Q4 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound108
110
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses regular free throw 2 of 2108
110
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
110
Q4 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol personal foul (Take) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)108
109
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound108
109
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point step back jump shot108
109
Q4 - Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Garrett Temple, Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol)108
109
Q4 - GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)108
109
Q4 - GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound108
109
Q4 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot108
109
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
109
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Dwyane Wade)108
108
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
108
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)108
108
Q4 - HeatHeat defensive rebound108
108
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses two point floating jump shot108
108
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green defensive rebound108
108
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot108
108
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes two point jump shot108
108
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)106
108
Q4 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point turnaround hook shot106
108
Q4 - Grizzlies 60 second timeout104
108
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point layup104
108
Q4 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)104
106
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)104
106
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point floating jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)104
106
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
106
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
105
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)102
104
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)102
104
Q4 - HeatHeat defensive rebound102
104
Q4 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses three point jump shot102
104
Q4 - Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., JaMychal Green, Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol)102
104
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)102
104
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Charge) (Mike Conley draws the foul)102
104
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound102
104
Q4 - HeatJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Tyler Johnson's three point jump shot102
104
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
104
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses two point driving layup102
104
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point finger roll layup (Tyler Johnson assists)102
104
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound102
102
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses three point step back jump shot102
102
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals)102
102
Q4 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)102
102
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)99
102
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Johnson)99
99
Q4 - GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)99
99
Q4 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi defensive rebound99
99
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot99
99
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)99
99
Q4 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound96
99
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point step back jump shot96
99
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson)96
99
Q4 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, Jaren Jackson Jr., Garrett Temple, Mike Conley, Marc Gasol)96
99
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout96
99
Q4 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack makes regular free throw 3 of 396
99
Q4 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, Jaren Jackson Jr., Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol)95
99
Q4 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses regular free throw 2 of 395
99
Q4 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack makes regular free throw 1 of 395
99
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Shelvin Mack draws the foul)94
99
Q4 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi defensive rebound94
99
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot94
99
Q4 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah makes two point finger roll layup94
99
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback layup92
99
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound92
97
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point layup92
97
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound92
97
Q4 - HeatJoakim Noah blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point layup92
97
Q4 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)92
97
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)92
97
Q4 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, Jaren Jackson Jr., Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Joakim Noah)92
97
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)92
97
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green turnover (out of bounds lost ball)92
97
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green offensive rebound92
97
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses three point jump shot92
97
Q4 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi defensive rebound92
97
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot92
97
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes three point jump shot92
97
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley offensive rebound89
97
Q4 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses two point driving layup89
97
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 289
97
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 289
96
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)89
96
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound89
96
Q4 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi misses three point jump shot89
96
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup89
96
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 2 of 289
94
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 1 of 288
94
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson shooting foul (JaMychal Green draws the foul)87
94
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson personal foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)87
94
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup87
94
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound87
92
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point layup87
92
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Double) (Omri Casspi draws the foul)87
92
Q4 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi personal foul (Double) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)87
92
Q4 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, JaMychal Green, Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Joakim Noah)87
92
Q4 - HeatHeat offensive rebound87
92
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point jump shot87
92
Q4 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi makes two point layup (Joakim Noah assists)87
92
Q4 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah defensive rebound85
92
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point reverse layup85
92
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound85
92
Q4 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses three point fadeaway jump shot85
92
Q4 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah defensive rebound85
92
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot85
92
Q4 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes two point layup85
92
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 283
92
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 283
91
Q4 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)83
91
Q4 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)83
91
Q4 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Jevon Carter, Joakim Noah)83
91
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.83
91
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound83
91
Q3 - HeatJevon Carter blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s three point jump shot83
91
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound83
91
Q3 - GrizzliesJevon Carter misses three point jump shot83
91
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (JaMychal Green steals)83
91
Q3 - Grizzlies lineup change (Justin Holiday, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Jevon Carter, Joakim Noah)83
91
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)83
91
Q3 - HeatHeat defensive rebound83
91
Q3 - GrizzliesDerrick Jones Jr. blocks JaMychal Green's two point layup83
91
Q3 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green offensive rebound83
91
Q3 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses three point jump shot83
91
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point driving jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)83
91
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound83
89
Q3 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses two point jump shot83
89
Q3 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green defensive rebound83
89
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot83
89
Q3 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi makes regular free throw 2 of 283
89
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)82
89
Q3 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi makes regular free throw 1 of 282
89
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Omri Casspi draws the foul)81
89
Q3 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi offensive rebound81
89
Q3 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah misses two point turnaround hook shot81
89
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)81
89
Q3 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah makes two point putback layup81
86
Q3 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah offensive rebound79
86
Q3 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses two point finger roll layup79
86
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
86
Q3 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack makes two point floating jump shot79
86
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)77
86
Q3 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Jevon Carter, Joakim Noah)77
86
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)77
86
Q3 - GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound77
86
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot77
86
Q3 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes two point putback layup77
86
Q3 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green offensive rebound75
86
Q3 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi misses two point jump shot75
86
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup75
86
Q3 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)75
84
Q3 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi defensive rebound75
84
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point step back jump shot75
84
Q3 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 2 of 275
84
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)74
84
Q3 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 1 of 274
84
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Loose ball) (JaMychal Green draws the foul)73
84
Q3 - GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound73
84
Q3 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi misses three point jump shot73
84
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point finger roll layup73
84
Q3 - GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)73
82
Q3 - GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound73
82
Q3 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot73
82
Q3 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound73
82
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot73
82
Q3 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Jevon Carter, Marc Gasol)73
82
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout73
82
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound73
82
Q3 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple misses regular free throw 2 of 273
82
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)73
82
Q3 - Grizzlies lineup change (Garrett Temple, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Jevon Carter, Marc Gasol)73
82
Q3 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple makes regular free throw 1 of 273
82
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Garrett Temple draws the foul)72
82
Q3 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound72
82
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point turnaround jump shot72
82
Q3 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)72
82
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point reverse layup69
82
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound69
80
Q3 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses two point floating jump shot69
80
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)69
80
Q3 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack makes two point layup69
80
Q3 - Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Garrett Temple, Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol)67
80
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)67
80
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)67
80
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound67
78
Q3 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses regular free throw 2 of 267
78
Q3 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 267
78
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)66
78
Q3 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound66
78
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot66
78
Q3 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)66
78
Q3 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)66
78
Q3 - Grizzlies 60 second timeout66
78
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)66
78
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound66
75
Q3 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple misses three point jump shot66
75
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)66
75
Q3 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)66
72
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 263
72
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 263
71
Q3 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)63
70
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound63
70
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot63
70
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound63
70
Q3 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple misses two point jump shot63
70
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)63
70
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound63
67
Q3 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot63
67
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)63
67
Q3 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound63
67
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot63
67
Q3 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple personal foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)63
67
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
67
Q3 - GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot63
67
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Loose ball) (Garrett Temple draws the foul)63
67
Q3 - GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound63
67
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot63
67
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound63
67
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot63
67
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound63
67
Q3 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot63
67
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving layup (Rodney McGruder assists)63
67
Q3 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)63
65
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point step back jump shot61
65
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)61
63
Q3 - Grizzlies lineup change (Justin Holiday, Jaren Jackson Jr., Garrett Temple, Mike Conley, Marc Gasol)61
63
Q2 - End of 1st Half.61
63
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround jump shot61
63
Q2 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point turnaround jump shot61
61
Q2 - Grizzlies 60 second timeout59
61
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals)59
61
Q2 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point turnaround jump shot (Mike Conley assists)59
61
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)57
61
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
59
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Marc Gasol steals)57
59
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes regular free throw 2 of 257
59
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)56
59
Q2 - Grizzlies lineup change (Garrett Temple, JaMychal Green, Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol)56
59
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 256
59
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)55
59
Q2 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound55
59
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot55
59
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound55
59
Q2 - GrizzliesBam Adebayo blocks Marc Gasol's two point driving layup55
59
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
59
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Shelvin Mack assists)55
56
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)52
56
Q2 - GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound52
56
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot52
56
Q2 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point dunk (Marc Gasol assists)52
56
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point turnaround jump shot50
56
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
54
Q2 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses two point hook shot50
54
Q2 - Grizzlies 60 second timeout50
54
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)50
54
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)50
51
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 250
51
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 250
50
Q2 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)50
49
Q2 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point hook shot (Shelvin Mack assists)50
49
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point step back jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)48
49
Q2 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple turnover (out of bounds lost ball)48
46
Q2 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound48
46
Q2 - HeatMarc Gasol blocks Justise Winslow's two point reverse layup48
46
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
46
Q2 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses two point floating jump shot48
46
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)48
46
Q2 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot48
43
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup46
43
Q2 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)46
41
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 246
41
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Johnson)46
40
Q2 - Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Garrett Temple, Mike Conley, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol)46
40
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 246
40
Q2 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)46
39
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot46
39
Q2 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point turnaround jump shot46
39
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses two point driving layup46
39
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot46
39
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound46
37
Q2 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah misses regular free throw 2 of 246
37
Q2 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah misses regular free throw 1 of 246
37
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson personal foul (Joakim Noah draws the foul)46
37
Q2 - Grizzlies lineup change (Justin Holiday, Jaren Jackson Jr., Garrett Temple, Mike Conley, Joakim Noah)46
37
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes technical free throw 1 of 146
37
Q2 - HeatHeat technical foul (Defensive three second)45
37
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 145
37
Q2 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, Justin Holiday, Garrett Temple, Mike Conley, Joakim Noah)45
36
Q2 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)45
36
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)45
36
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)45
34
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout45
34
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point floating jump shot45
34
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds lost ball)43
34
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point putback layup43
34
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley offensive rebound41
34
Q2 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses two point floating jump shot41
34
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Joakim Noah draws the foul)41
34
Q2 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi defensive rebound41
34
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point step back jump shot41
34
Q2 - Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Omri Casspi, Justin Holiday, Mike Conley, Joakim Noah)41
34
Q2 - GrizzliesJustin Holiday personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)41
34
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes two point putback layup41
34
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green offensive rebound39
34
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green misses two point layup39
34
Q2 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, Justin Holiday, JaMychal Green, Mike Conley, Joakim Noah)39
34
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
34
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes two point putback layup39
34
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green offensive rebound37
34
Q2 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack misses two point floating jump shot37
34
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)37
34
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound37
31
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green misses three point jump shot37
31
Q2 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah offensive rebound37
31
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green misses regular free throw 2 of 237
31
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)37
31
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 1 of 237
31
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (JaMychal Green draws the foul)36
31
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green defensive rebound36
31
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point fadeaway jump shot36
31
Q2 - GrizzliesJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 236
31
Q2 - GrizzliesJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 235
31
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)34
31
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Loose ball) (Joakim Noah draws the foul)34
31
Q2 - GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound34
31
Q2 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi misses three point jump shot34
31
Q2 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green defensive rebound34
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 2 of 234
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 234
31
Q2 - Grizzlies delay of game violation34
30
Q2 - GrizzliesOmri Casspi shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)34
30
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)34
30
Q2 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, Justin Holiday, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Joakim Noah)34
30
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.34
30
Q1 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack makes two point floating jump shot34
30
Q1 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack defensive rebound32
30
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving layup32
30
Q1 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 2 of 232
30
Q1 - Grizzlies lineup change (Justin Holiday, Garrett Temple, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Joakim Noah)31
30
Q1 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 1 of 231
30
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (JaMychal Green draws the foul)30
30
Q1 - GrizzliesJustin Holiday defensive rebound30
30
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot30
30
Q1 - GrizzliesJoakim Noah personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)30
30
Q1 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack makes two point step back jump shot30
30
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade)28
30
Q1 - Grizzlies lineup change (Omri Casspi, Justin Holiday, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Joakim Noah)28
30
Q1 - Grizzlies 60 second timeout28
30
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)28
30
Q1 - GrizzliesShelvin Mack turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)28
28
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)28
28
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound28
25
Q1 - HeatMarc Gasol blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point floating jump shot28
25
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
25
Q1 - GrizzliesJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot28
25
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)28
25
Q1 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes two point dunk (Marc Gasol assists)28
22
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)26
22
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound26
20
Q1 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot26
20
Q1 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green defensive rebound26
20
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot26
20
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound26
20
Q1 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple misses three point jump shot26
20
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)26
20
Q1 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)26
17
Q1 - Grizzlies lineup change (Justin Holiday, Garrett Temple, JaMychal Green, Shelvin Mack, Marc Gasol)23
17
Q1 - Grizzlies 60 second timeout23
17
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)23
17
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound23
15
Q1 - GrizzliesMike Conley misses two point turnaround jump shot23
15
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving dunk23
15
Q1 - GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point driving layup23
13
Q1 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green defensive rebound21
13
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup21
13
Q1 - GrizzliesJaMychal Green makes two point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)21
13
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point finger roll layup19
13
Q1 - Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Garrett Temple, JaMychal Green, Mike Conley, Marc Gasol)19
11
Q1 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
11
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound19
11
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot19
11
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound19
11
Q1 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot19
11
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup (Justise Winslow assists)19
11
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound19
9
Q1 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol misses two point jump shot19
9
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)19
9
Q1 - GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound19
9
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 119
9
Q1 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
9
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup19
9
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound19
7
Q1 - HeatJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point jump shot19
7
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)19
7
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout19
7
Q1 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 219
7
Q1 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 218
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)17
7
Q1 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound17
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot17
7
Q1 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 117
7
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)16
7
Q1 - GrizzliesMike Conley makes two point driving layup16
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)14
7
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)14
7
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound14
7
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup14
7
Q1 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving hook shot14
7
Q1 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol defensive rebound12
7
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot12
7
Q1 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)12
7
Q1 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple defensive rebound9
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 29
7
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 29
7
Q1 - GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)9
6
Q1 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple makes two point layup (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)9
6
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)7
6
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound7
3
Q1 - GrizzliesJames Johnson blocks Jaren Jackson Jr.'s two point turnaround hook shot7
3
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Mike Conley steals)7
3
Q1 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)7
3
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)5
3
Q1 - GrizzliesGarrett Temple makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)5
0
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)2
0
Q1 - GrizzliesMarc Gasol makes two point turnaround hook shot2
0
Q1 - Marc Gasol vs. Bam Adebayo (Jaren Jackson Jr. gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)0
0
Q1 - Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Garrett Temple, Mike Conley, Marc Gasol)0
0
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.11 55.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
16
29
55%
MIA
19
32
59%
Midrange
MEM
14
23
61%
MIA
6
17
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
MIA
15
22.5
31
48%
73%
Free Throws
MEM
21
27
78%
MIA
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green2486%12.0 / 14
M. Conley2265%11.0 / 17
M. Gasol1554%7.5 / 14
J. Jackson1381%6.5 / 8
S. Mack1350%6.5 / 13
G. Temple975%4.5 / 6
O. Casspi433%2.0 / 6
J. Noah450%2.0 / 4
K. Anderson2100%1.0 / 1
J. Holiday220%1.0 / 5
J. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2676%13.0 / 17
J. Richardson1450%7.0 / 14
T. Johnson1478%7.0 / 9
K. Olynyk13108%6.5 / 6
B. Adebayo1169%5.5 / 8
D. Jones1146%5.5 / 12
D. Wade1042%5.0 / 12
J. Johnson758%3.5 / 6
R. McGruder375%1.5 / 2
D. Waiters350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
81
+14
-10
95
MIA
80
+15
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.11 55.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
107.5
MEM 118.7
MIA 119.1 +0.5
Pace
96.6
98.1
MEM 88.5
MIA 96.8 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.0
MEM 16.3
MIA 14.9 −1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.5%
MEM 53.7%
MIA 59.4% +5.7%
TO %
13.5%
14.3%
MEM 12.3% −1.1%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
20.1%
24.8%
MEM 26.3%
MIA 26.3%
FTrt
27.2
24.7
MEM 33.3 +3.3
MIA 30.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
61.2%
MEM 46.2%
MIA 62.5% +16.3%
STL %
8.5%
7.8%
MEM 9.9% +2.5%
MIA 7.4%
BLK %
10.7%
10.2%
MEM 12.2% +4.5%
MIA 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
52.9%
MEM 55.7%
MIA 59.6% +3.9%
Rim FG%
59.9%
60.8%
MEM 55.2%
MIA 59.4% +4.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
36.8%
MEM 60.9% +25.6%
MIA 35.3%
3P %
34.2%
34.9%
MEM 31.0%
MIA 48.4% +17.4%
FT %
77.2%
69.5%
MEM 77.8% +7.0%
MIA 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
37.3%
MEM 35.8%
MIA 40.0% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
25.9%
MEM 28.4%
MIA 21.3% −7.1%
3P Att. %
34.2%
36.8%
MEM 35.8%
MIA 38.8% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9194
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points108112
Rebounds3838
Assists1825
Steals97
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)10 (3)14 (0)
Fouls2123
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals39-8140-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2919-32
Midrange FG14-236-17
2-Point FG30-5225-49
3-Point FG9-2915-31
Free Throws21-2717-24
Fast Break Pts48
2nd Chance Pts1914
Points in Paint4844
Pts off Turnovers1625
Bench Points4751
Biggest Lead1213

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 31
34.9
22
65%
2
7
3
0
2
3
2
0
5-6
83%
4-10
40%
3-5
60%
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
33.9
15
54%
5
5
1
2
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
67%
1-5
20%
#17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 33
30.7
9
75%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 19
27.8
13
81%
5
2
3
2
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
#1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 25
8.3
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#6 · PG · 6'3" 203 · 29
28.5
13
50%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 29
22.4
24
86%
11
0
1
0
1
2
5
6
7-8
88%
7-9
78%
1-2
50%
#18 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 31
17.0
4
33%
6
0
0
0
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
#7 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 30
16.0
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
#55 · C · 6'11" 230 · 34
14.1
4
50%
5
1
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#3 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 23
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#12 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two - Way
#24 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Injury
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 30
Inactive - Personal | NWT
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
56%
38
18
9
6
10
21
10
28
21-27
78%
30-52
58%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.