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All Games Saturday, January 12, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Nuggets
77%115
93
27
Suns
23%105
102
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
95.997113.1
PHX logo PHX
105.29784.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENPHX
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
102
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.6%
PHX
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
30
47%
PHX
22
39
56%
Midrange
DEN
10
27
37%
PHX
8
27
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
PHX
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
Free Throws
DEN
15
22
68%
PHX
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2364%11.5 / 18
M. Beasley2181%10.5 / 13
J. Murray1235%6.0 / 17
M. Morris1260%6.0 / 10
P. Millsap1036%5.0 / 14
M. Plumlee660%3.0 / 5
W. Barton630%3.0 / 10
T. Craig233%1.0 / 3
J. Hernangomez117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Oubre2665%13.0 / 20
D. Ayton2258%11.0 / 19
J. Jackson1542%7.5 / 18
R. Holmes1478%7.0 / 9
T. Warren938%4.5 / 12
M. Bridges563%2.5 / 4
E. Okobo563%2.5 / 4
T. Daniels350%1.5 / 3
D. Melton213%1.0 / 8
Q. Acy125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+20
-15
102
PHX
88
+17
-9
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.6%
PHX
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
105.9
DEN 95.9 +9.3
PHX 105.2
Pace
98.0
100.5
DEN 113.1 +28.2
PHX 84.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.4
DEN 12.7 +4.2
PHX 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.4%
DEN 44.3%
PHX 45.7% +1.4%
TO %
13.1%
15.0%
DEN 14.8%
PHX 8.0% +6.8%
ORB %
26.6%
20.5%
DEN 27.1%
PHX 27.5% +0.4%
FTrt
23.2
25.9
DEN 25.0
PHX 27.2 +2.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
59.5%
DEN 73.5%
PHX 76.3% +2.8%
STL %
7.9%
8.8%
DEN 7.2%
PHX 11.3% +4.1%
BLK %
8.2%
8.8%
DEN 9.1%
PHX 15.8% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.2%
DEN 45.6%
PHX 49.5% +3.9%
Rim FG%
59.6%
61.0%
DEN 46.7%
PHX 56.4% +9.7%
Mid FG%
43.3%
42.0%
DEN 37.0% +7.4%
PHX 29.6%
3P %
35.1%
32.9%
DEN 32.3% +1.5%
PHX 30.8%
FT %
75.5%
77.9%
DEN 68.2%
PHX 72.0% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.7%
DEN 34.1%
PHX 42.4% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
29.8%
DEN 30.7%
PHX 29.3% +1.3%
3P Att. %
34.8%
33.5%
DEN 35.2% +7.0%
PHX 28.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENPHX
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes20.627.4
Points93102
Rebounds5049
Assists2529
Steals711
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)9 (0)
Fouls1919
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (7)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)35 (1)
Field Goals34-8838-92
At-the-Rim FG14-3022-39
Midrange FG10-278-27
2-Point FG24-5730-66
3-Point FG10-318-26
Free Throws15-2218-25
Fast Break Pts2117
2nd Chance Pts914
Points in Paint3652
Pts off Turnovers926
Bench Points2549
Biggest Lead118

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
40.1
21
81%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
33.8
23
64%
10
4
0
1
2
0
1
9
6-7
86%
7-11
64%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
33.7
12
35%
9
5
3
0
4
2
3
6
2-3
67%
2-11
18%
2-6
33%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
31.9
10
36%
11
2
2
1
2
1
4
7
2-5
40%
4-11
36%
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
24.3
2
33%
5
2
1
1
3
5
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 24
29.4
12
60%
4
5
1
0
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
16.3
6
60%
4
3
0
3
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
15.9
6
30%
5
3
0
0
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
1-3
33%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
14.2
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left hamstring tightness
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hip surgery
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right foot surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low back surgery
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right wrist sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
46%
50
25
7
6
15
19
13
37
15-22
68%
24-57
42%
10-31
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.