Final Win Prob. pScore
1731%107
86
369%114
124
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
82.7104101.0
MIL logo Bucks
119.2104107.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.86
0%
124
100%
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton makes two point dunk (Sterling Brown assists)86
124
Q4 - BucksJason Smith defensive rebound86
122
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot86
122
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton makes two point jump shot (Jason Smith assists)86
122
Q4 - HeatWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)86
120
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)83
120
Q4 - BucksSterling Brown makes three point jump shot83
120
Q4 - BucksThon Maker defensive rebound83
117
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot83
117
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton makes two point layup (Thon Maker assists)83
117
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Thon Maker steals)83
115
Q4 - BucksThon Maker makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tony Snell assists)83
115
Q4 - HeatWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)83
113
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound80
113
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot80
113
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound80
113
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot80
113
Q4 - BucksSterling Brown turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)80
113
Q4 - BucksThon Maker defensive rebound80
113
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point jump shot80
113
Q4 - BucksJason Smith makes three point jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)80
113
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Tyler Johnson assists)80
110
Q4 - BucksSterling Brown makes two point step back jump shot (Thon Maker assists)78
110
Q4 - BucksThon Maker defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - HeatWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot78
108
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - BucksThon Maker misses two point alley-oop dunk78
108
Q4 - BucksJason Smith defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot78
108
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - BucksThon Maker misses two point alley-oop layup78
108
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds lost ball)78
108
Q4 - Thon Maker kicked ball violation78
108
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Thon Maker, Tony Snell, Sterling Brown, Pat Connaughton, Jason Smith)78
108
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
108
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point jump shot78
108
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound76
108
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot76
108
Q4 - HeatWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)76
108
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout73
108
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)73
108
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound73
105
Q4 - HeatWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot73
105
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton turnover (lost ball) (Wayne Ellington steals)73
105
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 273
105
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Thon Maker, D.J. Wilson, Sterling Brown, Pat Connaughton, Jason Smith)72
105
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Wayne Ellington, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson)72
105
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 272
105
Q4 - BucksThon Maker shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
105
Q4 - BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)71
105
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point step back jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)71
103
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
103
Q4 - BucksSterling Brown misses three point jump shot68
103
Q4 - BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound68
103
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot68
103
Q4 - BucksSterling Brown makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)68
103
Q4 - BucksD.J. Wilson offensive rebound68
100
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot68
100
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound68
100
Q4 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot68
100
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
100
Q4 - BucksSterling Brown misses three point jump shot68
100
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)68
100
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)68
100
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Thon Maker, Tony Snell, D.J. Wilson, Sterling Brown, Pat Connaughton)68
100
Q4 - Bucks 60 second timeout68
100
Q4 - Jump ball. Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Dwyane Wade (Tony Snell gains possession)68
100
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, D.J. Wilson, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Sterling Brown, Pat Connaughton)68
100
Q4 - BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound68
100
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot68
100
Q4 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)68
100
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 168
97
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova, Pat Connaughton)67
97
Q4 - BucksTony Snell shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)67
97
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)67
97
Q4 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point dunk (George Hill assists)65
97
Q4 - BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound65
95
Q4 - HeatErsan Ilyasova blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point driving layup65
95
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
95
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot65
95
Q4 - BucksTony Snell makes regular free throw 2 of 265
95
Q4 - BucksTony Snell makes regular free throw 1 of 265
94
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Tony Snell draws the foul)65
93
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup (Tyler Johnson assists)65
93
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound63
93
Q4 - BucksGeorge Hill misses three point jump shot63
93
Q4 - BucksTony Snell offensive rebound63
93
Q4 - BucksErsan Ilyasova misses three point step back jump shot63
93
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson)63
93
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.63
93
Q3 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 263
93
Q3 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 1 of 263
92
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)63
92
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup63
92
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
92
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)61
92
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 161
92
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)61
91
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point floating jump shot61
91
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova)61
89
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)61
89
Q3 - BucksSterling Brown makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)61
89
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
86
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)61
86
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Sterling Brown, Ersan Ilyasova)61
83
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson)61
83
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)61
83
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)61
83
Q3 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup59
83
Q3 - BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot59
81
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - BucksJustise Winslow blocks Sterling Brown's two point driving layup59
81
Q3 - BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot59
81
Q3 - BucksGeorge Hill turnover (out of bounds step)59
81
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 259
81
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (George Hill, D.J. Wilson, Malcolm Brogdon, Sterling Brown, Ersan Ilyasova)59
81
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson)59
81
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 259
81
Q3 - BucksD.J. Wilson shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)59
81
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - BucksSterling Brown misses two point driving layup59
81
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving hook shot59
81
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point jump shot59
81
Q3 - BucksSterling Brown defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot59
81
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton turnover (traveling)59
81
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot59
81
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - BucksD.J. Wilson misses two point putback dunk59
81
Q3 - BucksD.J. Wilson offensive rebound59
81
Q3 - BucksSterling Brown misses three point jump shot59
81
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point turnaround hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)59
81
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (George Hill, Brook Lopez, D.J. Wilson, Khris Middleton, Sterling Brown)57
81
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout57
81
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point reverse layup (Sterling Brown assists)57
81
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Loose ball) (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)57
79
Q3 - BucksBucks offensive rebound57
79
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point driving layup57
79
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (3-second violation)57
79
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point finger roll layup57
79
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 157
77
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)56
77
Q3 - BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)56
77
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)56
77
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound54
77
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 154
77
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)54
77
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)54
77
Q3 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound54
75
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot54
75
Q3 - BucksSterling Brown personal foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)54
75
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound54
75
Q3 - HeatBrook Lopez blocks Justise Winslow's two point floating jump shot54
75
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)54
75
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (lost ball) (Sterling Brown steals)54
73
Q3 - BucksSterling Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)54
73
Q3 - HeatHeat defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Sterling Brown)54
73
Q3 - Bucks 60 second timeout54
73
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup54
73
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)54
73
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - HeatBrook Lopez blocks Rodney McGruder's two point layup54
73
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point jump shot54
73
Q3 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point floating jump shot54
73
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)54
73
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound51
73
Q3 - BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot51
73
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point reverse layup51
73
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound49
73
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot49
73
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound49
73
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot49
73
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup49
73
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton makes two point reverse layup47
73
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)47
71
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point floating jump shot47
71
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup45
71
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound45
69
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot45
69
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon)45
69
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)45
69
Q2 - End of 1st Half.45
69
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)45
69
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)42
69
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot42
66
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound40
66
Q2 - BucksD.J. Wilson misses three point jump shot40
66
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)40
66
Q2 - BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point putback layup40
66
Q2 - BucksD.J. Wilson offensive rebound40
64
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point floating jump shot40
64
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)40
64
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (offensive foul)40
64
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive foul (Charge) (Ersan Ilyasova draws the foul)40
64
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 240
64
Q2 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow)40
63
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 240
63
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)40
63
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot40
63
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Tony Snell, D.J. Wilson, Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova)38
63
Q2 - BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)38
63
Q2 - BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point hook shot (Khris Middleton assists)38
63
Q2 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)38
61
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
61
Q2 - BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound38
61
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot38
61
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot38
61
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound38
58
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot38
58
Q2 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)38
58
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)38
55
Q2 - BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point layup (George Hill assists)36
55
Q2 - Derrick Jones Jr. kicked ball violation36
53
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)36
53
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)36
53
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)34
53
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout34
53
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton makes two point layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)34
53
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point reverse layup (Justise Winslow assists)34
51
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)32
51
Q2 - BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (George Hill assists)32
51
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)32
48
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound30
48
Q2 - BucksGeorge Hill misses three point jump shot30
48
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, George Hill, Brook Lopez, D.J. Wilson, Khris Middleton)30
48
Q2 - HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)30
48
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound30
48
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot30
48
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 230
48
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (George Hill, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon)30
47
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Tyler Johnson)30
47
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 230
47
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)30
46
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
46
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot30
46
Q2 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)30
46
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot30
44
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Tyler Johnson)30
44
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
44
Q2 - HeatHeat defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup30
44
Q2 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot30
44
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot30
44
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup30
44
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound30
44
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot30
44
Q2 - BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)30
44
Q2 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound30
41
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot30
41
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon)30
41
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson, Tyler Johnson)30
41
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout30
41
Q2 - BucksTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)30
41
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)30
38
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound30
38
Q2 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point floating jump shot30
38
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds lost ball)30
38
Q2 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)30
38
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point alley-oop layup (Dwyane Wade assists)30
36
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)28
36
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)28
36
Q2 - BucksTony Snell defensive rebound28
36
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point step back jump shot28
36
Q2 - BucksTony Snell makes two point finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)28
36
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot28
34
Q2 - BucksErsan Ilyasova personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)28
34
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 228
34
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova)28
34
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 228
34
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)28
34
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot28
34
Q2 - BucksGeorge Hill makes two point layup28
34
Q2 - BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound28
32
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot28
32
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
32
Q2 - BucksTony Snell misses three point jump shot28
32
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)28
32
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)25
32
Q2 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup25
32
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound25
30
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot25
30
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound25
30
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot25
30
Q2 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)25
30
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova)23
30
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Johnson)23
30
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.23
30
Q1 - BucksTony Snell defensive rebound23
30
Q1 - HeatD.J. Wilson blocks Kelly Olynyk's three point jump shot23
30
Q1 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes two point layup (George Hill assists)23
30
Q1 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound23
28
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point reverse layup23
28
Q1 - BucksTony Snell makes three point jump shot (D.J. Wilson assists)23
28
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)23
25
Q1 - BucksGeorge Hill makes regular free throw 2 of 221
25
Q1 - BucksGeorge Hill makes regular free throw 1 of 221
24
Q1 - HeatTyler Johnson personal foul (George Hill draws the foul)21
23
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)21
23
Q1 - BucksBucks offensive rebound21
23
Q1 - BucksD.J. Wilson misses two point floating jump shot21
23
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, George Hill, D.J. Wilson, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova)21
23
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)21
23
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 221
23
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Tony Snell, George Hill, D.J. Wilson, Ersan Ilyasova)21
22
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson)21
22
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses regular free throw 1 of 221
22
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)21
22
Q1 - BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot21
22
Q1 - BucksGeorge Hill makes three point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)21
22
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe offensive rebound21
19
Q1 - BucksJames Johnson blocks Eric Bledsoe's two point layup21
19
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot21
19
Q1 - BucksSterling Brown makes two point dunk (Eric Bledsoe assists)21
19
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)21
17
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound19
17
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot19
17
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)19
17
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound16
17
Q1 - BucksD.J. Wilson misses three point jump shot16
17
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot16
17
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound14
17
Q1 - BucksGeorge Hill misses two point floating jump shot14
17
Q1 - BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound14
17
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot14
17
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, George Hill, Brook Lopez, D.J. Wilson, Sterling Brown)14
17
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)14
17
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout14
17
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)14
17
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound14
14
Q1 - HeatBrook Lopez blocks Josh Richardson's two point floating jump shot14
14
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point layup14
14
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound14
12
Q1 - HeatEric Bledsoe blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot14
12
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez makes two point driving layup14
12
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)14
10
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound12
10
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot12
10
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)12
10
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)10
10
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 210
7
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 29
7
Q1 - Bucks 60 second timeout8
7
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)8
7
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point floating jump shot8
7
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Sterling Brown)8
7
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds step)8
7
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point layup8
7
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound8
5
Q1 - BucksJames Johnson blocks Khris Middleton's two point jump shot8
5
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound8
5
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point layup8
5
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound8
5
Q1 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup8
5
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point floating jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)8
5
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point floating jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)6
5
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound6
3
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot6
3
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 26
3
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 26
2
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)6
2
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)6
2
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup6
2
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound4
2
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot4
2
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)4
2
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)2
2
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - BucksHassan Whiteside blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point layup2
2
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (double dribble)2
2
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - BucksRodney McGruder blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point layup2
2
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)2
2
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)2
0
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - BucksJustise Winslow blocks Khris Middleton's two point putback layup0
0
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - Hassan Whiteside vs. Brook Lopez (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
18
72%
MIL
22
36
61%
Midrange
MIA
15
34
44%
MIL
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
34
24%
35%
MIL
17
25.5
39
44%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
6
8
75%
MIL
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1973%9.5 / 13
H. Whiteside1979%9.5 / 12
D. Wade975%4.5 / 6
W. Ellington990%4.5 / 5
T. Johnson744%3.5 / 8
D. Jones788%3.5 / 4
J. Richardson630%3.0 / 10
R. McGruder425%2.0 / 8
B. Adebayo214%1.0 / 7
K. Olynyk214%1.0 / 7
D. Waiters225%1.0 / 4
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Bledsoe1753%8.5 / 16
M. Brogdon1657%8.0 / 14
S. Brown1372%6.5 / 9
G. Antetokounmpo1250%6.0 / 12
K. Middleton1146%5.5 / 12
B. Lopez1179%5.5 / 7
T. Snell10100%5.0 / 5
P. Connaughton964%4.5 / 7
D. Wilson867%4.0 / 6
G. Hill758%3.5 / 6
E. Ilyasova583%2.5 / 3
J. Smith3150%1.5 / 1
T. Maker233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+5
-17
92
MIL
97
+8
-7
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
113.9
MIA 82.7
MIL 119.2 +36.5
Pace
98.1
103.2
MIA 101.0
MIL 107.2 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.9
MIA 14.3
MIL 13.4 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
55.0%
MIA 46.5%
MIL 58.9% +12.4%
TO %
14.3%
12.8%
MIA 16.7%
MIL 6.3% −10.4%
ORB %
24.8%
20.8%
MIA 8.0%
MIL 15.2% +7.2%
FTrt
24.7
25.5
MIA 9.3
MIL 18.8 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
60.1%
MIA 75.0% +2.1%
MIL 72.9%
STL %
7.8%
7.2%
MIA 1.9%
MIL 7.7% +5.8%
BLK %
10.2%
10.4%
MIA 10.5%
MIL 11.5% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
57.1%
MIA 46.7%
MIL 58.5% +11.8%
Rim FG%
60.8%
64.1%
MIA 72.2% +11.1%
MIL 61.1%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.4%
MIA 44.1% +1.2%
MIL 42.9%
3P %
34.9%
35.2%
MIA 23.5%
MIL 43.6% +20.1%
FT %
69.5%
77.2%
MIA 75.0% +13.9%
MIL 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
40.2%
MIA 20.9%
MIL 37.5% +16.6%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
17.8%
MIA 39.5%
MIL 21.9% −17.7%
3P Att. %
36.8%
42.0%
MIA 39.5%
MIL 40.6% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points86124
Rebounds4353
Assists2735
Steals28
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)7 (0)
Fouls1412
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)46 (1)
Field Goals36-8648-96
At-the-Rim FG13-1822-36
Midrange FG15-349-21
2-Point FG28-5231-57
3-Point FG8-3417-39
Free Throws6-811-18
Fast Break Pts520
2nd Chance Pts214
Points in Paint4856
Pts off Turnovers420
Bench Points3857
Biggest Lead438

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
28.8
19
73%
5
5
0
2
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
3-6
50%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
26.2
19
79%
8
1
0
1
2
1
0
8
3-5
60%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
25.3
6
30%
3
5
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
21.4
0
0%
6
0
0
2
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
17.4
4
25%
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
24.7
7
44%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
23.3
2
14%
5
2
0
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
22.1
9
75%
3
4
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
18.0
7
88%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
13.1
2
14%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
11.9
2
25%
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
7.7
9
90%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
43
27
2
6
17
14
4
39
6-8
75%
28-52
54%
8-34
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.