Final Win Prob. pScore
1731%107
86
369%114
124
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
82.7104101.0
MIL logo Bucks
119.2104107.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.86
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0BucksPat Connaughton makes two point dunk (Sterling Brown assists)86
124
Q4 - 0:34.0BucksJason Smith defensive rebound86
122
Q4 - 0:37.0HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot86
122
Q4 - 0:57.0BucksPat Connaughton makes two point jump shot (Jason Smith assists)86
122
Q4 - 1:09HeatWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)86
120
Q4 - 1:19BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)83
120
Q4 - 1:31BucksSterling Brown makes three point jump shot83
120
Q4 - 1:51BucksThon Maker defensive rebound83
117
Q4 - 1:54HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot83
117
Q4 - 2:15BucksPat Connaughton makes two point layup (Thon Maker assists)83
117
Q4 - 2:20HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Thon Maker steals)83
115
Q4 - 2:37BucksThon Maker makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tony Snell assists)83
115
Q4 - 2:59HeatWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)83
113
Q4 - 3:02HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound80
113
Q4 - 3:05BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot80
113
Q4 - 3:20BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound80
113
Q4 - 3:23HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot80
113
Q4 - 3:31BucksSterling Brown turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)80
113
Q4 - 3:37BucksThon Maker defensive rebound80
113
Q4 - 3:40HeatDion Waiters misses two point jump shot80
113
Q4 - 4:04BucksJason Smith makes three point jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)80
113
Q4 - 4:14HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Tyler Johnson assists)80
110
Q4 - 4:28BucksSterling Brown makes two point step back jump shot (Thon Maker assists)78
110
Q4 - 4:41BucksThon Maker defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - 4:44HeatWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot78
108
Q4 - 5:01HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - 5:03BucksThon Maker misses two point alley-oop dunk78
108
Q4 - 5:13BucksJason Smith defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot78
108
Q4 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - 5:29BucksThon Maker misses two point alley-oop layup78
108
Q4 - 5:43HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds lost ball)78
108
Q4 - 5:51Thon Maker kicked ball violation78
108
Q4 - 6:06Bucks lineup change (Thon Maker, Tony Snell, Sterling Brown, Pat Connaughton, Jason Smith)78
108
Q4 - 6:06BucksPat Connaughton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
108
Q4 - 6:20HeatDion Waiters makes two point jump shot78
108
Q4 - 6:26HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound76
108
Q4 - 6:30BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot76
108
Q4 - 6:51HeatWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)76
108
Q4 - 7:10Heat 60 second timeout73
108
Q4 - 7:12BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)73
108
Q4 - 7:19BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound73
105
Q4 - 7:22HeatWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot73
105
Q4 - 7:27BucksPat Connaughton turnover (lost ball) (Wayne Ellington steals)73
105
Q4 - 7:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 273
105
Q4 - 7:42Bucks lineup change (Thon Maker, D.J. Wilson, Sterling Brown, Pat Connaughton, Jason Smith)72
105
Q4 - 7:42Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo, Wayne Ellington, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson)72
105
Q4 - 7:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 272
105
Q4 - 7:42BucksThon Maker shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
105
Q4 - 7:57BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)71
105
Q4 - 8:14HeatDwyane Wade makes three point step back jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)71
103
Q4 - 8:24HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
103
Q4 - 8:28BucksSterling Brown misses three point jump shot68
103
Q4 - 8:33BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound68
103
Q4 - 8:36HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot68
103
Q4 - 9:01BucksSterling Brown makes three point jump shot (Tony Snell assists)68
103
Q4 - 9:06BucksD.J. Wilson offensive rebound68
100
Q4 - 9:10BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot68
100
Q4 - 9:21BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound68
100
Q4 - 9:25HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot68
100
Q4 - 9:28HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound68
100
Q4 - 9:31BucksSterling Brown misses three point jump shot68
100
Q4 - 9:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)68
100
Q4 - 9:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)68
100
Q4 - 9:46Bucks lineup change (Thon Maker, Tony Snell, D.J. Wilson, Sterling Brown, Pat Connaughton)68
100
Q4 - 9:46Bucks 60 second timeout68
100
Q4 - 9:48Jump ball. Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Dwyane Wade (Tony Snell gains possession)68
100
Q4 - 9:48Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, D.J. Wilson, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Sterling Brown, Pat Connaughton)68
100
Q4 - 9:54BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound68
100
Q4 - 9:57HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot68
100
Q4 - 10:24BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)68
100
Q4 - 10:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 168
97
Q4 - 10:37Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova, Pat Connaughton)67
97
Q4 - 10:37BucksTony Snell shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)67
97
Q4 - 10:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)67
97
Q4 - 10:48BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point dunk (George Hill assists)65
97
Q4 - 10:54BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound65
95
Q4 - 10:54HeatErsan Ilyasova blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point driving layup65
95
Q4 - 10:58HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
95
Q4 - 11:00HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot65
95
Q4 - 11:14BucksTony Snell makes regular free throw 2 of 265
95
Q4 - 11:14BucksTony Snell makes regular free throw 1 of 265
94
Q4 - 11:14HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Tony Snell draws the foul)65
93
Q4 - 11:30HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup (Tyler Johnson assists)65
93
Q4 - 11:32HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound63
93
Q4 - 11:36BucksGeorge Hill misses three point jump shot63
93
Q4 - 11:39BucksTony Snell offensive rebound63
93
Q4 - 11:42BucksErsan Ilyasova misses three point step back jump shot63
93
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson)63
93
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.63
93
Q3 - 0:01.0BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 263
93
Q3 - 0:01.0BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 1 of 263
92
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)63
92
Q3 - 0:08.0HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup63
92
Q3 - 0:13.0BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
92
Q3 - 0:18.0HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)61
92
Q3 - 0:33.0BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 161
92
Q3 - 0:33.0HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)61
91
Q3 - 0:33.0BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point floating jump shot61
91
Q3 - 0:46.0Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova)61
89
Q3 - 0:46.0HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)61
89
Q3 - 0:59.0BucksSterling Brown makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)61
89
Q3 - 1:17HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
86
Q3 - 1:28BucksErsan Ilyasova makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)61
86
Q3 - 1:38Bucks lineup change (George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Sterling Brown, Ersan Ilyasova)61
83
Q3 - 1:38Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson)61
83
Q3 - 1:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)61
83
Q3 - 1:53HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)61
83
Q3 - 2:06BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup59
83
Q3 - 2:11BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 2:14HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot59
81
Q3 - 2:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 2:27BucksJustise Winslow blocks Sterling Brown's two point driving layup59
81
Q3 - 2:35BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 2:37HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot59
81
Q3 - 2:51BucksGeorge Hill turnover (out of bounds step)59
81
Q3 - 3:07BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 3:09HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 259
81
Q3 - 3:09Bucks lineup change (George Hill, D.J. Wilson, Malcolm Brogdon, Sterling Brown, Ersan Ilyasova)59
81
Q3 - 3:09Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson)59
81
Q3 - 3:09HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 259
81
Q3 - 3:09BucksD.J. Wilson shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)59
81
Q3 - 3:09HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 3:13BucksSterling Brown misses two point driving layup59
81
Q3 - 3:25BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 3:27HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving hook shot59
81
Q3 - 3:47HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 3:51BucksKhris Middleton misses two point jump shot59
81
Q3 - 4:05BucksSterling Brown defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 4:08HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot59
81
Q3 - 4:20BucksKhris Middleton turnover (traveling)59
81
Q3 - 4:23BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 4:26HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot59
81
Q3 - 4:36HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 4:36BucksD.J. Wilson misses two point putback dunk59
81
Q3 - 4:40BucksD.J. Wilson offensive rebound59
81
Q3 - 4:40BucksSterling Brown misses three point jump shot59
81
Q3 - 4:50HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point turnaround hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)59
81
Q3 - 5:07Bucks lineup change (George Hill, Brook Lopez, D.J. Wilson, Khris Middleton, Sterling Brown)57
81
Q3 - 5:07Heat 60 second timeout57
81
Q3 - 5:07BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point reverse layup (Sterling Brown assists)57
81
Q3 - 5:23HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Loose ball) (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)57
79
Q3 - 5:23BucksBucks offensive rebound57
79
Q3 - 5:24BucksKhris Middleton misses two point driving layup57
79
Q3 - 5:35HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (3-second violation)57
79
Q3 - 5:50BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point finger roll layup57
79
Q3 - 6:03HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 157
77
Q3 - 6:03Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)56
77
Q3 - 6:03BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)56
77
Q3 - 6:03HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)56
77
Q3 - 6:11HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound54
77
Q3 - 6:11BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 154
77
Q3 - 6:11HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)54
77
Q3 - 6:11BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)54
77
Q3 - 6:17BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound54
75
Q3 - 6:20HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot54
75
Q3 - 6:35BucksSterling Brown personal foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)54
75
Q3 - 6:35HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound54
75
Q3 - 6:37HeatBrook Lopez blocks Justise Winslow's two point floating jump shot54
75
Q3 - 6:53BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)54
75
Q3 - 6:56HeatRodney McGruder turnover (lost ball) (Sterling Brown steals)54
73
Q3 - 7:09BucksSterling Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)54
73
Q3 - 7:09HeatHeat defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 7:11BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 7:18Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Sterling Brown)54
73
Q3 - 7:18Bucks 60 second timeout54
73
Q3 - 7:23BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 7:26HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 7:33HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 7:36BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 7:45BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 7:48HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 7:59HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 8:02BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup54
73
Q3 - 8:14HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)54
73
Q3 - 8:30HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 8:33BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 8:42BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 8:42HeatBrook Lopez blocks Rodney McGruder's two point layup54
73
Q3 - 8:47HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 8:50BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 8:54BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 8:59HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point floating jump shot54
73
Q3 - 9:19HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 9:22BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 9:48HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)54
73
Q3 - 9:52HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound51
73
Q3 - 9:54BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot51
73
Q3 - 10:10HeatRodney McGruder makes two point reverse layup51
73
Q3 - 10:12HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound49
73
Q3 - 10:14HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot49
73
Q3 - 10:29HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound49
73
Q3 - 10:31BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot49
73
Q3 - 10:40HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup49
73
Q3 - 10:56BucksKhris Middleton makes two point reverse layup47
73
Q3 - 11:04HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)47
71
Q3 - 11:22HeatJosh Richardson makes two point floating jump shot47
71
Q3 - 11:34BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup45
71
Q3 - 11:41BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound45
69
Q3 - 11:44HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot45
69
Q3 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon)45
69
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)45
69
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
69
Q2 - 0:03.0HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)45
69
Q2 - 0:26.0BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)42
69
Q2 - 0:37.0HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot42
66
Q2 - 0:42.0HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound40
66
Q2 - 0:45.0BucksD.J. Wilson misses three point jump shot40
66
Q2 - 0:52.0HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)40
66
Q2 - 1:00BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point putback layup40
66
Q2 - 1:01BucksD.J. Wilson offensive rebound40
64
Q2 - 1:05BucksKhris Middleton misses two point floating jump shot40
64
Q2 - 1:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)40
64
Q2 - 1:20HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (offensive foul)40
64
Q2 - 1:20HeatHassan Whiteside offensive foul (Charge) (Ersan Ilyasova draws the foul)40
64
Q2 - 1:34BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 240
64
Q2 - 1:34Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow)40
63
Q2 - 1:34BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 240
63
Q2 - 1:34HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)40
63
Q2 - 1:42HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot40
63
Q2 - 1:49Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Tony Snell, D.J. Wilson, Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova)38
63
Q2 - 1:49BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)38
63
Q2 - 2:03BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point hook shot (Khris Middleton assists)38
63
Q2 - 2:16Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)38
61
Q2 - 2:16Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
61
Q2 - 2:17BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound38
61
Q2 - 2:20HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot38
61
Q2 - 2:38BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot38
61
Q2 - 2:43BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound38
58
Q2 - 2:46HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot38
58
Q2 - 3:05BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)38
58
Q2 - 3:17HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)38
55
Q2 - 3:34BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point layup (George Hill assists)36
55
Q2 - 3:44Derrick Jones Jr. kicked ball violation36
53
Q2 - 3:47HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)36
53
Q2 - 3:57HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)36
53
Q2 - 4:12Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)34
53
Q2 - 4:12Heat 60 second timeout34
53
Q2 - 4:12BucksKhris Middleton makes two point layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)34
53
Q2 - 4:18HeatJosh Richardson makes two point reverse layup (Justise Winslow assists)34
51
Q2 - 4:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)32
51
Q2 - 4:26BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (George Hill assists)32
51
Q2 - 4:43HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)32
48
Q2 - 4:52HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound30
48
Q2 - 4:55BucksGeorge Hill misses three point jump shot30
48
Q2 - 5:07Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, George Hill, Brook Lopez, D.J. Wilson, Khris Middleton)30
48
Q2 - 5:07HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)30
48
Q2 - 5:07HeatHeat offensive rebound30
48
Q2 - 5:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot30
48
Q2 - 5:33BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 230
48
Q2 - 5:33Bucks lineup change (George Hill, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon)30
47
Q2 - 5:33Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Tyler Johnson)30
47
Q2 - 5:33BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 230
47
Q2 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)30
46
Q2 - 5:38BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
46
Q2 - 5:41HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot30
46
Q2 - 6:10BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)30
46
Q2 - 6:12BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - 6:16HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot30
44
Q2 - 6:33Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Tyler Johnson)30
44
Q2 - 6:33BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
44
Q2 - 6:33HeatHeat defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - 6:33BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup30
44
Q2 - 6:39BucksMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - 6:42HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot30
44
Q2 - 6:50HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - 6:53BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot30
44
Q2 - 6:56BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup30
44
Q2 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound30
44
Q2 - 7:01HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot30
44
Q2 - 7:22BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)30
44
Q2 - 7:29BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound30
41
Q2 - 7:33HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot30
41
Q2 - 7:46Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon)30
41
Q2 - 7:46Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson, Tyler Johnson)30
41
Q2 - 7:46Heat 60 second timeout30
41
Q2 - 7:47BucksTony Snell makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)30
41
Q2 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)30
38
Q2 - 8:05HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound30
38
Q2 - 8:08BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point floating jump shot30
38
Q2 - 8:22HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds lost ball)30
38
Q2 - 8:31BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)30
38
Q2 - 8:44HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point alley-oop layup (Dwyane Wade assists)30
36
Q2 - 9:03BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)28
36
Q2 - 9:03BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)28
36
Q2 - 9:07BucksTony Snell defensive rebound28
36
Q2 - 9:07HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point step back jump shot28
36
Q2 - 9:31BucksTony Snell makes two point finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)28
36
Q2 - 9:40BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - 9:43HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot28
34
Q2 - 9:48BucksErsan Ilyasova personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)28
34
Q2 - 9:57HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - 10:00BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 228
34
Q2 - 10:00Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova)28
34
Q2 - 10:00BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 228
34
Q2 - 10:00HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)28
34
Q2 - 10:02BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - 10:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot28
34
Q2 - 10:20BucksGeorge Hill makes two point layup28
34
Q2 - 10:24BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound28
32
Q2 - 10:27HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot28
32
Q2 - 10:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
32
Q2 - 10:41BucksTony Snell misses three point jump shot28
32
Q2 - 10:57HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)28
32
Q2 - 11:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)25
32
Q2 - 11:15BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup25
32
Q2 - 11:20BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound25
30
Q2 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot25
30
Q2 - 11:29HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound25
30
Q2 - 11:32BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot25
30
Q2 - 11:45HeatTyler Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)25
30
Q2 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova)23
30
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Tyler Johnson)23
30
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
30
Q1 - 0:01.0BucksTony Snell defensive rebound23
30
Q1 - 0:03.0HeatD.J. Wilson blocks Kelly Olynyk's three point jump shot23
30
Q1 - 0:14.0BucksErsan Ilyasova makes two point layup (George Hill assists)23
30
Q1 - 0:23.0BucksMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound23
28
Q1 - 0:26.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point reverse layup23
28
Q1 - 0:40.0BucksTony Snell makes three point jump shot (D.J. Wilson assists)23
28
Q1 - 1:00HeatTyler Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)23
25
Q1 - 1:12BucksGeorge Hill makes regular free throw 2 of 221
25
Q1 - 1:12BucksGeorge Hill makes regular free throw 1 of 221
24
Q1 - 1:12HeatTyler Johnson personal foul (George Hill draws the foul)21
23
Q1 - 1:20Stoppage (Out of bounds)21
23
Q1 - 1:20BucksBucks offensive rebound21
23
Q1 - 1:20BucksD.J. Wilson misses two point floating jump shot21
23
Q1 - 1:33Bucks lineup change (Tony Snell, George Hill, D.J. Wilson, Malcolm Brogdon, Ersan Ilyasova)21
23
Q1 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)21
23
Q1 - 1:44BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 221
23
Q1 - 1:44Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Tony Snell, George Hill, D.J. Wilson, Ersan Ilyasova)21
22
Q1 - 1:44Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Tyler Johnson)21
22
Q1 - 1:44BucksEric Bledsoe misses regular free throw 1 of 221
22
Q1 - 1:44HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)21
22
Q1 - 1:49BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - 1:52HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot21
22
Q1 - 2:05BucksGeorge Hill makes three point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)21
22
Q1 - 2:09BucksEric Bledsoe offensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 2:13BucksJames Johnson blocks Eric Bledsoe's two point layup21
19
Q1 - 2:18BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 2:20HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot21
19
Q1 - 2:43BucksSterling Brown makes two point dunk (Eric Bledsoe assists)21
19
Q1 - 2:53HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)21
17
Q1 - 3:07HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound19
17
Q1 - 3:07BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot19
17
Q1 - 3:20HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)19
17
Q1 - 3:33HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound16
17
Q1 - 3:37BucksD.J. Wilson misses three point jump shot16
17
Q1 - 4:04HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot16
17
Q1 - 4:14HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound14
17
Q1 - 4:17BucksGeorge Hill misses two point floating jump shot14
17
Q1 - 4:28BucksGeorge Hill defensive rebound14
17
Q1 - 4:31HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot14
17
Q1 - 4:46Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, George Hill, Brook Lopez, D.J. Wilson, Sterling Brown)14
17
Q1 - 4:46Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)14
17
Q1 - 4:46Heat 60 second timeout14
17
Q1 - 4:46BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)14
17
Q1 - 4:51BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound14
14
Q1 - 4:54HeatBrook Lopez blocks Josh Richardson's two point floating jump shot14
14
Q1 - 5:12BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point layup14
14
Q1 - 5:14BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound14
12
Q1 - 5:17HeatEric Bledsoe blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot14
12
Q1 - 5:36BucksBrook Lopez makes two point driving layup14
12
Q1 - 5:51HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)14
10
Q1 - 6:02HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound12
10
Q1 - 6:04BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot12
10
Q1 - 6:19HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)12
10
Q1 - 6:38BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)10
10
Q1 - 6:54HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 210
7
Q1 - 6:54HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 29
7
Q1 - 6:54Bucks 60 second timeout8
7
Q1 - 6:54BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)8
7
Q1 - 7:04HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - 7:07BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point floating jump shot8
7
Q1 - 7:23Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Sterling Brown)8
7
Q1 - 7:23HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds step)8
7
Q1 - 7:33BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point layup8
7
Q1 - 7:34BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 7:40BucksJames Johnson blocks Khris Middleton's two point jump shot8
5
Q1 - 7:43BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 7:46HeatJustise Winslow misses two point layup8
5
Q1 - 7:49HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 7:52BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup8
5
Q1 - 8:01HeatRodney McGruder makes two point floating jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)8
5
Q1 - 8:17BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point floating jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)6
5
Q1 - 8:26BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound6
3
Q1 - 8:29HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot6
3
Q1 - 8:42BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 26
3
Q1 - 8:42BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 26
2
Q1 - 8:42HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)6
2
Q1 - 8:45HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)6
2
Q1 - 8:55HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 8:57BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - 9:04BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 9:07HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - 9:20HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 9:22BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup6
2
Q1 - 9:38HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - 9:45HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound4
2
Q1 - 9:48BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot4
2
Q1 - 10:01HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)4
2
Q1 - 10:12HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:17BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:21HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)2
2
Q1 - 10:31HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:35BucksHassan Whiteside blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point layup2
2
Q1 - 10:48HeatJustise Winslow turnover (double dribble)2
2
Q1 - 10:51HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:54BucksRodney McGruder blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point layup2
2
Q1 - 11:06BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 11:06HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 11:20BucksMalcolm Brogdon makes two point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)2
2
Q1 - 11:33HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)2
0
Q1 - 11:43HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:43BucksJustise Winslow blocks Khris Middleton's two point putback layup0
0
Q1 - 11:45BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:46BucksKhris Middleton misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hassan Whiteside vs. Brook Lopez (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
18
72%
MIL
22
36
61%
Midrange
MIA
15
34
44%
MIL
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
34
24%
35%
MIL
17
25.5
39
44%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
6
8
75%
MIL
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1963%9.5 / 15
H. Whiteside1979%9.5 / 12
D. Wade964%4.5 / 7
W. Ellington990%4.5 / 5
T. Johnson744%3.5 / 8
D. Jones770%3.5 / 5
J. Richardson627%3.0 / 11
R. McGruder425%2.0 / 8
B. Adebayo214%1.0 / 7
K. Olynyk214%1.0 / 7
D. Waiters225%1.0 / 4
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Bledsoe1753%8.5 / 16
M. Brogdon1657%8.0 / 14
S. Brown1365%6.5 / 10
G. Antetokounmpo1250%6.0 / 12
K. Middleton1146%5.5 / 12
B. Lopez1179%5.5 / 7
T. Snell10100%5.0 / 5
P. Connaughton964%4.5 / 7
D. Wilson850%4.0 / 8
G. Hill758%3.5 / 6
E. Ilyasova583%2.5 / 3
J. Smith3150%1.5 / 1
T. Maker233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+5
-17
92
MIL
97
+9
-7
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
25
107.5
4
113.9
MIA 82.7
MIL 119.2 +36.5
Pace
25
98.1
4
103.2
MIA 101.0
MIL 107.0 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
5
15.0
22
13.9
MIA 14.3
MIL 13.5 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
21
51.5%
2
55.0%
MIA 46.5%
MIL 58.9% +12.4%
TO %
26
14.3%
7
12.8%
MIA 16.7%
MIL 6.3% −10.4%
ORB %
5
24.8%
27
20.8%
MIA 8.0%
MIL 15.2% +7.2%
FTrt
20
24.7
18
25.5
MIA 9.3
MIL 18.8 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
12
61.2%
15
60.1%
MIA 75.0% +2.1%
MIL 72.9%
STL %
14
7.8%
18
7.2%
MIA 1.9%
MIL 7.7% +5.8%
BLK %
4
10.2%
3
10.4%
MIA 10.5%
MIL 11.5% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
28
52.9%
2
57.1%
MIA 46.7%
MIL 58.5% +11.8%
Rim FG%
14
60.8%
2
64.1%
MIA 72.2% +11.1%
MIL 61.1%
Mid FG%
30
36.8%
20
39.4%
MIA 44.1% +1.2%
MIL 42.9%
3P %
21
34.9%
15
35.2%
MIA 23.5%
MIL 43.6% +20.1%
FT %
30
69.5%
14
77.2%
MIA 75.0% +13.9%
MIL 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
14
37.3%
2
40.2%
MIA 20.9%
MIL 37.5% +16.6%
Mid Att. %
12
25.9%
2
17.8%
MIA 39.5%
MIL 21.9% −17.7%
3P Att. %
13
36.8%
3
42.0%
MIA 39.5%
MIL 40.6% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points86124
Rebounds4353
Assists2735
Steals28
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)7 (0)
Fouls1412
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)46 (0)
Field Goals36-8648-96
At-the-Rim FG13-1822-36
Midrange FG15-349-21
2-Point FG28-5231-57
3-Point FG8-3417-39
Free Throws6-811-18
Fast Break Pts520
2nd Chance Pts214
Points in Paint4856
Pts off Turnovers420
Bench Points3857
Biggest Lead438

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
28.8
19
63%
5
5
0
2
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
3-6
50%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
26.2
19
79%
8
1
0
1
2
1
0
8
3-5
60%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
25.3
6
27%
3
5
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
21.4
0
0%
6
0
0
2
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
17.4
4
25%
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
24.7
7
44%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 21
23.3
2
14%
5
2
0
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
22.1
9
64%
3
4
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
18.0
7
70%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
13.1
2
14%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
11.9
2
25%
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
7.7
9
90%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
43
27
2
6
17
14
4
39
6-8
75%
28-52
54%
8-34
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.