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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 15, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors57%116142
7Nuggets43%113111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.9
31
29
4
6
13
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.3
30
33
27
4
6
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-8
6-12
75%
55%
5-7
71%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
30
33
31
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
3-3
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
54%
8-13
62%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
25
31
31
3
1
3
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
8-11
5-9
73%
51%
5-8
63%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
24
20
9
12
4
0
1
1
1
6
6
3-4
75%
3-6
3-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
22
16
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.0
21
25
8
6
2
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 31.9
18
16
7
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 25.8
14
10
11
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.3
10
12
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 24.0
9
10
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.6
7
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.2
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.4
Marcus Derrickson
F · 6'7" 249 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
33
34
22
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
6-10
60%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.9
31
32
21
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-9
6-11
44%
50%
4-7
57%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
23
33
17
4
8
0
1
0
3
1
3
5-5
100%
6-11
8-14
55%
57%
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
23
26
4
2
0
2
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
21
26
10
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-8
83%
51%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.0
23
18
11
8
4
0
1
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
20
18
9
5
6
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
16
15
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
56%
1-2
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
14
25
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
51%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
9
17
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
9
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-1
0%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
9
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
0-0
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
7
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.5
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.