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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 16, 2019
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Spurs46%111105
16Mavericks54%112101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
40
35
14
4
9
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-13
8-16
46%
48%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
33
32
12
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
24
31
6
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-2
4-7
100%
52%
0-2
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.5
23
34
8
4
1
1
1
3
4
3
1
0-0
-
4-11
8-16
36%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.4
22
11
14
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
6-11
2-3
55%
50%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.2
25
26
12
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
4-5
80%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.8
24
15
17
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
3-8
38%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.4
24
22
14
2
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
4-10
40%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.3
20
14
6
7
4
3
0
1
0
5
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.5
5
12
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.9
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.7
7
0
0-1
52%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.0
2
0
0-1
52%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.1
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.8
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.7
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.9
36
31
25
8
8
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
50%
3-9
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
35
33
11
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
3-10
4-7
30%
49%
1-8
13%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
33
25
13
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
3-7
43%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
30
29
9
9
1
1
1
2
3
4
5
3-4
75%
3-4
4-6
75%
65%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
28
24
7
2
1
4
1
1
1
2
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
60%
2-4
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
21
17
9
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
4-5
80%
1-3
3-4
33%
65%
1-2
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
20
21
12
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
2-4
50%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.4
20
20
6
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
10
9
6
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
7
9
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
3
0
0-0
53%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.6
2
0
0-0
62%
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
0
0
0-0
43%
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.2
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.9
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.