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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 17, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bulls17%102105
9Nuggets83%116135
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 22.7
33
25
12
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.8
30
29
6
1
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
29
30
8
5
6
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-12
5-11
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 23.9
28
18
10
13
4
0
0
0
1
7
6
1-2
50%
3-11
3-7
27%
49%
1-2
50%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 21.7
25
30
27
10
1
0
1
0
2
1
9
2-3
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
5-10
50%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 24.3
25
13
0
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 30.8
19
8
17
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
8-9
1-2
89%
52%
0-1
0%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
18
14
15
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
2-3
67%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.8
12
19
0
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-2
0%
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 22.3
9
7
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
6
20
2
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 26.5
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 19.8
Rawle Alkins
G · 6'5" 225 · 21.2
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 25.2
Brandon Sampson
G · 6'5" 184 · 21.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
34
33
13
9
1
0
1
0
1
2
7
1-1
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
55%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.9
29
31
25
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
6-11
20%
51%
7-11
64%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
25
29
18
8
11
1
1
1
2
4
4
6-6
100%
6-15
7-12
40%
59%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.9
25
24
14
8
2
1
1
0
1
2
6
2-4
50%
3-4
4-7
75%
53%
2-2
100%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
23
25
13
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
1-1
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
4-6
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
21
14
12
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
3-7
2-3
43%
54%
2-3
67%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
20
19
8
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
3-5
100%
60%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
19
18
14
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
56%
2-3
67%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
18
16
9
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
58%
1-2
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
16
21
6
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
0-3
0%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
4
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.6
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.8
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.9
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.0
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.