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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 17, 2019
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Lakers30%106138
7Thunder70%113128
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 21.4
37.6
36.1
8
34%
5
11
0
1
1
4
1
4
6-6
100%
1-7
6-13
14%
48%
0-2
0%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
36.3
31.0
32
75%
8
4
3
1
0
4
1
7
3-3
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
53%
7-12
58%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.2
33.0
35.1
18
53%
6
10
1
2
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
4-10
40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
23.4
27.4
13
93%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
3-4
75%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 36.3
16.0
14.7
6
50%
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
60%
0-0
-
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
33.1
26.9
12
73%
10
5
3
1
1
1
1
9
4-5
80%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.8
28.2
11.4
26
85%
12
1
0
0
0
4
6
6
2-3
67%
12-14
2-4
86%
52%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.6
18.6
10.4
7
47%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
2-6
33%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 28.4
13.5
10.7
2
50%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.0
8.8
17.7
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
4-6
100%
59%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
8.6
11.1
5
39%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 21.7
7.9
3.4
5
64%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.7
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 19.2
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 24.9
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.7
43.5
35.0
27
62%
7
8
3
2
0
3
2
5
4-6
67%
4-7
6-12
57%
49%
5-12
42%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.2
43.4
35.0
26
38%
9
13
1
2
1
3
2
7
7-10
70%
2-18
8-16
11%
49%
5-12
42%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.5
41.3
35.0
17
73%
15
1
4
1
0
2
7
8
5-6
83%
6-9
6-9
67%
61%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
39.0
35.0
14
50%
3
2
0
1
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
5-8
43%
60%
2-6
33%
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 20.7
37.4
25.3
21
69%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-5
60%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
6-12
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 25.3
16.5
26.1
9
57%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
4-9
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
11.7
10.5
4
67%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 25.3
11.4
13.7
1
13%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 20.5
11.3
10.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.8
9.6
14.6
9
101%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-0
1-1
-
47%
3-4
75%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 34.6
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.7
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
Donte Grantham
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.8
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 25.0
Alex Abrines
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.