Final Win Prob. pScore
1662%108
117
2938%104
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
118.29995.3
CHI logo Bulls
105.198102.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.117
103
Q4 - 0:16.0BullsBobby Portis makes two point putback layup117
103
Q4 - 0:19.0BullsBobby Portis offensive rebound117
101
Q4 - 0:19.0BullsBobby Portis misses two point putback layup117
101
Q4 - 0:19.0BullsBobby Portis offensive rebound117
101
Q4 - 0:21.0BullsKris Dunn misses two point hook shot117
101
Q4 - 0:31.0HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Loose ball) (Zach LaVine draws the foul)117
101
Q4 - 0:31.0BullsBulls offensive rebound117
101
Q4 - 0:31.0BullsChandler Hutchison misses two point jump shot117
101
Q4 - 0:49.0HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup117
101
Q4 - 1:07HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound115
101
Q4 - 1:11BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot115
101
Q4 - 1:21HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Kris Dunn steals)115
101
Q4 - 1:29BullsBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Kris Dunn assists)115
101
Q4 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)115
98
Q4 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Kris Dunn draws the foul)115
98
Q4 - 1:40HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound115
98
Q4 - 1:43BullsZach LaVine misses two point driving layup115
98
Q4 - 2:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
98
Q4 - 2:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Rodney McGruder)114
98
Q4 - 2:00HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
98
Q4 - 2:00BullsBobby Portis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)114
98
Q4 - 2:14BullsLauri Markkanen turnover (out of bounds bad pass)114
98
Q4 - 2:35HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)114
98
Q4 - 2:46HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound111
98
Q4 - 2:49BullsZach LaVine misses regular free throw 2 of 2111
98
Q4 - 2:49BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
98
Q4 - 2:49HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)111
97
Q4 - 2:59HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)111
97
Q4 - 3:12BullsChandler Hutchison makes two point driving layup (Kris Dunn assists)111
97
Q4 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)111
95
Q4 - 3:23Heat 60 second timeout111
95
Q4 - 3:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)111
95
Q4 - 3:45BullsChandler Hutchison makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)111
95
Q4 - 4:04HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)111
92
Q4 - 4:21Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Bobby Portis, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Zach LaVine)108
92
Q4 - 4:21Heat 60 second timeout108
92
Q4 - 4:21BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup108
92
Q4 - 4:42HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)108
90
Q4 - 4:48BullsRyan Arcidiacono personal foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)105
90
Q4 - 5:08BullsBobby Portis makes two point jump shot105
90
Q4 - 5:33HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)105
88
Q4 - 5:47HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound103
88
Q4 - 5:49BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot103
88
Q4 - 6:02HeatDwyane Wade turnover (traveling)103
88
Q4 - 6:12HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound103
88
Q4 - 6:16BullsLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot103
88
Q4 - 6:32HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)103
88
Q4 - 6:46Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Zach LaVine, Ryan Arcidiacono)100
88
Q4 - 6:46BullsJabari Parker personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
88
Q4 - 6:46BullsJabari Parker turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)100
88
Q4 - 7:03HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)100
88
Q4 - 7:15HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound97
88
Q4 - 7:19BullsJabari Parker misses two point step back jump shot97
88
Q4 - 7:43Bulls 60 second timeout97
88
Q4 - 7:43HeatTyler Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)97
88
Q4 - 8:04Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kris Dunn, Jabari Parker, Zach LaVine, Ryan Arcidiacono)95
88
Q4 - 8:04BullsBobby Portis turnover (offensive foul)95
88
Q4 - 8:04BullsBobby Portis offensive foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)95
88
Q4 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot95
88
Q4 - 8:31BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving dunk (Bobby Portis assists)93
88
Q4 - 8:59HeatTyler Johnson makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)93
86
Q4 - 9:04HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound91
86
Q4 - 9:06BullsZach LaVine misses two point driving layup91
86
Q4 - 9:21BullsJabari Parker defensive rebound91
86
Q4 - 9:25HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot91
86
Q4 - 9:40BullsBobby Portis makes two point hook shot91
86
Q4 - 9:50HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)91
84
Q4 - 10:00HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)91
84
Q4 - 10:10BullsJabari Parker makes regular free throw 1 of 191
84
Q4 - 10:10Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)91
83
Q4 - 10:10HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Jabari Parker draws the foul)91
83
Q4 - 10:10BullsJabari Parker makes two point driving hook shot (Ryan Arcidiacono assists)91
83
Q4 - 10:25HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)91
81
Q4 - 10:44BullsZach LaVine makes two point step back jump shot88
81
Q4 - 10:58HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)88
79
Q4 - 11:23BullsBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)85
79
Q4 - 11:39HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)85
76
Q4 - 11:52BullsZach LaVine turnover (offensive foul)83
76
Q4 - 11:52BullsZach LaVine offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
76
Q4 - 12:00Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Shaquille Harrison, Jabari Parker, Zach LaVine, Ryan Arcidiacono)83
76
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)83
76
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
76
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)83
76
Q3 - 0:10.0BullsRyan Arcidiacono makes three point jump shot (Jabari Parker assists)81
76
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 181
73
Q3 - 0:29.0BullsJabari Parker shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)80
73
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving layup (Dwyane Wade assists)80
73
Q3 - 0:30.0Heat 60 second timeout78
73
Q3 - 0:30.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)78
73
Q3 - 0:32.0HeatHeat offensive rebound78
73
Q3 - 0:32.0HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot78
73
Q3 - 0:49.0BullsJabari Parker makes regular free throw 2 of 278
73
Q3 - 0:49.0BullsJabari Parker makes regular free throw 1 of 278
72
Q3 - 0:49.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Jabari Parker draws the foul)78
71
Q3 - 1:05BullsWayne Selden defensive rebound78
71
Q3 - 1:09HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot78
71
Q3 - 1:11HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound78
71
Q3 - 1:14BullsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Wayne Selden's two point driving layup78
71
Q3 - 1:22BullsBobby Portis defensive rebound78
71
Q3 - 1:27HeatDwyane Wade misses two point step back jump shot78
71
Q3 - 1:41BullsShaquille Harrison personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)78
71
Q3 - 1:49BullsBobby Portis turnover (traveling)78
71
Q3 - 1:52Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Shaquille Harrison, Wayne Selden, Jabari Parker, Ryan Arcidiacono)78
71
Q3 - 1:52Stoppage (Out of bounds)78
71
Q3 - 1:52BullsBulls offensive rebound78
71
Q3 - 1:53BullsLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot78
71
Q3 - 2:00HeatTyler Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Lauri Markkanen steals)78
71
Q3 - 2:18HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound78
71
Q3 - 2:21BullsLauri Markkanen misses regular free throw 2 of 278
71
Q3 - 2:21BullsLauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 1 of 278
71
Q3 - 2:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)78
70
Q3 - 2:37Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Lauri Markkanen, Shaquille Harrison, Wayne Selden, Ryan Arcidiacono)78
70
Q3 - 2:37Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)78
70
Q3 - 2:37Bulls 60 second timeout78
70
Q3 - 2:38HeatJosh Richardson makes three point step back jump shot (James Johnson assists)78
70
Q3 - 2:48BullsLauri Markkanen turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Johnson steals)75
70
Q3 - 3:11HeatDwyane Wade makes three point step back jump shot75
70
Q3 - 3:25HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound72
70
Q3 - 3:27BullsBobby Portis misses two point driving layup72
70
Q3 - 3:36BullsWayne Selden defensive rebound72
70
Q3 - 3:39HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot72
70
Q3 - 3:46Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Bobby Portis, Lauri Markkanen, Wayne Selden, Ryan Arcidiacono)72
70
Q3 - 3:46BullsWayne Selden personal foul (James Johnson draws the foul)72
70
Q3 - 4:01BullsKris Dunn turnover (out of bounds lost ball)72
70
Q3 - 4:09HeatJosh Richardson makes two point reverse layup (Tyler Johnson assists)72
70
Q3 - 4:21BullsWayne Selden makes regular free throw 2 of 270
70
Q3 - 4:21Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Bobby Portis, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Wayne Selden)70
69
Q3 - 4:21Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade)70
69
Q3 - 4:21BullsWayne Selden makes regular free throw 1 of 270
69
Q3 - 4:21HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Wayne Selden draws the foul)70
68
Q3 - 4:35HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot70
68
Q3 - 4:43HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound68
68
Q3 - 4:48BullsLauri Markkanen misses two point step back jump shot68
68
Q3 - 4:59HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Robin Lopez draws the foul)68
68
Q3 - 5:13HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 268
68
Q3 - 5:13HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 267
68
Q3 - 5:13BullsKris Dunn shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)66
68
Q3 - 5:26Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Wayne Selden, Robin Lopez)66
68
Q3 - 5:26Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade)66
68
Q3 - 5:26BullsZach LaVine turnover (offensive foul)66
68
Q3 - 5:26BullsZach LaVine offensive foul (Charge) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)66
68
Q3 - 5:35HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Chandler Hutchison steals)66
68
Q3 - 5:45HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound66
68
Q3 - 5:48BullsLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot66
68
Q3 - 5:50Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
68
Q3 - 5:55HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Zach LaVine steals)66
68
Q3 - 6:15BullsLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Kris Dunn assists)66
68
Q3 - 6:28HeatJosh Richardson makes two point floating jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)66
65
Q3 - 6:46Bulls 60 second timeout64
65
Q3 - 6:46BullsKris Dunn turnover (out of bounds bad pass)64
65
Q3 - 6:50BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound64
65
Q3 - 6:54HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot64
65
Q3 - 7:05BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 164
65
Q3 - 7:05HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)64
64
Q3 - 7:05BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup64
64
Q3 - 7:07BullsRobin Lopez defensive rebound64
62
Q3 - 7:10HeatLauri Markkanen blocks James Johnson's two point reverse layup64
62
Q3 - 7:25HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound64
62
Q3 - 7:29BullsRobin Lopez misses two point jump shot64
62
Q3 - 7:54HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)64
62
Q3 - 8:06HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound62
62
Q3 - 8:11BullsZach LaVine misses two point step back jump shot62
62
Q3 - 8:18HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Lauri Markkanen steals)62
62
Q3 - 8:31BullsBulls turnover (shot clock violation)62
62
Q3 - 8:31BullsBulls offensive rebound62
62
Q3 - 8:31BullsKris Dunn misses two point jump shot62
62
Q3 - 8:34BullsRobin Lopez offensive rebound62
62
Q3 - 8:38BullsHassan Whiteside blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point layup62
62
Q3 - 8:59HeatJustise Winslow makes two point step back jump shot62
62
Q3 - 9:06HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound60
62
Q3 - 9:09BullsKris Dunn misses two point jump shot60
62
Q3 - 9:19HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)60
62
Q3 - 9:40BullsLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)58
62
Q3 - 10:05HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)58
59
Q3 - 10:12HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound55
59
Q3 - 10:14BullsRobin Lopez misses two point hook shot55
59
Q3 - 10:24BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound55
59
Q3 - 10:27HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving jump shot55
59
Q3 - 10:55BullsKris Dunn makes two point floating jump shot55
59
Q3 - 11:11BullsChandler Hutchison defensive rebound55
57
Q3 - 11:14HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot55
57
Q3 - 11:17HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound55
57
Q3 - 11:21BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot55
57
Q3 - 11:34BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound55
57
Q3 - 11:38HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot55
57
Q3 - 12:00Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Zach LaVine, Robin Lopez)55
57
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow)55
57
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
57
Q2 - 0:04.0HeatJames Johnson makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)55
57
Q2 - 0:17.0HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound53
57
Q2 - 0:21.0BullsWayne Selden misses regular free throw 2 of 253
57
Q2 - 0:21.0BullsWayne Selden misses regular free throw 1 of 253
57
Q2 - 0:21.0Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Shaquille Harrison, Wayne Selden)53
57
Q2 - 0:21.0Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade)53
57
Q2 - 0:21.0HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Wayne Selden draws the foul)53
57
Q2 - 0:26.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)53
57
Q2 - 0:26.0BullsRobin Lopez offensive rebound53
57
Q2 - 0:29.0BullsZach LaVine misses two point floating jump shot53
57
Q2 - 0:52.0HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (offensive foul)53
57
Q2 - 0:52.0HeatHassan Whiteside offensive foul (Kris Dunn draws the foul)53
57
Q2 - 0:56.0HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound53
57
Q2 - 0:59.0BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot53
57
Q2 - 1:16BullsRobin Lopez defensive rebound53
57
Q2 - 1:20HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot53
57
Q2 - 1:30HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound53
57
Q2 - 1:35BullsWayne Selden misses three point jump shot53
57
Q2 - 1:39BullsRobin Lopez offensive rebound53
57
Q2 - 1:41BullsKris Dunn misses two point hook shot53
57
Q2 - 1:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)53
57
Q2 - 1:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)53
57
Q2 - 1:48BullsBulls offensive rebound53
57
Q2 - 1:48BullsHassan Whiteside blocks Zach LaVine's two point driving layup53
57
Q2 - 2:07HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)53
57
Q2 - 2:21BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 250
57
Q2 - 2:21Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade)50
56
Q2 - 2:21BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 250
56
Q2 - 2:21HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)50
55
Q2 - 2:25BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound50
55
Q2 - 2:27HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot50
55
Q2 - 2:33HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound50
55
Q2 - 2:36BullsKris Dunn misses two point step back jump shot50
55
Q2 - 2:44HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup50
55
Q2 - 2:53HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound48
55
Q2 - 2:57BullsLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot48
55
Q2 - 2:58BullsRobin Lopez offensive rebound48
55
Q2 - 3:02BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot48
55
Q2 - 3:09HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot48
55
Q2 - 3:24BullsZach LaVine makes three point jump shot46
55
Q2 - 3:39BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound46
52
Q2 - 3:41HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 146
52
Q2 - 3:41Bulls lineup change (Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Wayne Selden, Zach LaVine, Robin Lopez)46
52
Q2 - 3:41BullsChandler Hutchison shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)46
52
Q2 - 3:41HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)46
52
Q2 - 3:54BullsZach LaVine makes three point jump shot44
52
Q2 - 3:58BullsKris Dunn offensive rebound44
49
Q2 - 4:01BullsLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot44
49
Q2 - 4:09HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup44
49
Q2 - 4:16HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound42
49
Q2 - 4:20BullsLauri Markkanen misses two point jump shot42
49
Q2 - 4:28Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Zach LaVine, Robin Lopez)42
49
Q2 - 4:28Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow)42
49
Q2 - 4:28HeatJustise Winslow turnover (offensive foul)42
49
Q2 - 4:28HeatJustise Winslow offensive foul (Jabari Parker draws the foul)42
49
Q2 - 4:28HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound42
49
Q2 - 4:28BullsLauri Markkanen misses two point turnaround jump shot42
49
Q2 - 4:53Jabari Parker defensive goaltending violation42
49
Q2 - 4:53HeatDion Waiters makes two point layup42
49
Q2 - 5:08BullsJabari Parker makes two point putback dunk40
49
Q2 - 5:08BullsJabari Parker offensive rebound40
47
Q2 - 5:15BullsKris Dunn misses three point jump shot40
47
Q2 - 5:33Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Jabari Parker, Zach LaVine)40
47
Q2 - 5:33Bulls 60 second timeout40
47
Q2 - 5:33HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup40
47
Q2 - 5:37HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound38
47
Q2 - 5:39BullsBam Adebayo blocks Ryan Arcidiacono's two point driving layup38
47
Q2 - 5:51BullsJabari Parker defensive rebound38
47
Q2 - 5:53HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot38
47
Q2 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
47
Q2 - 6:03BullsJabari Parker misses two point jump shot38
47
Q2 - 6:21HeatDion Waiters turnover (offensive foul)38
47
Q2 - 6:21HeatDion Waiters offensive foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)38
47
Q2 - 6:35Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow)38
47
Q2 - 6:35Heat 60 second timeout38
47
Q2 - 6:37BullsLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)38
47
Q2 - 6:47BullsRyan Arcidiacono defensive rebound38
44
Q2 - 6:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 238
44
Q2 - 6:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 238
44
Q2 - 6:49BullsJabari Parker shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)38
44
Q2 - 6:56BullsJabari Parker turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)38
44
Q2 - 7:05BullsChandler Hutchison defensive rebound38
44
Q2 - 7:10HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot38
44
Q2 - 7:27BullsJabari Parker makes regular free throw 2 of 238
44
Q2 - 7:27Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Lauri Markkanen, Jabari Parker, Zach LaVine, Ryan Arcidiacono)38
43
Q2 - 7:27BullsJabari Parker makes regular free throw 1 of 238
43
Q2 - 7:27HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Jabari Parker draws the foul)38
42
Q2 - 7:38HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point reverse dunk (Justise Winslow assists)38
42
Q2 - 7:50BullsRyan Arcidiacono personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)36
42
Q2 - 7:56BullsBobby Portis personal foul (Loose ball) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)36
42
Q2 - 7:57HeatHeat defensive rebound36
42
Q2 - 7:59BullsBam Adebayo blocks Zach LaVine's two point jump shot36
42
Q2 - 8:04BullsJabari Parker defensive rebound36
42
Q2 - 8:07HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot36
42
Q2 - 8:33BullsRyan Arcidiacono makes three point jump shot (Jabari Parker assists)36
42
Q2 - 8:46Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Bobby Portis, Jabari Parker, Zach LaVine, Ryan Arcidiacono)36
39
Q2 - 8:46Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow)36
39
Q2 - 8:46Bulls 60 second timeout36
39
Q2 - 8:48BullsBobby Portis defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - 8:51HeatTyler Johnson misses two point jump shot36
39
Q2 - 9:02HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - 9:04BullsBobby Portis misses three point jump shot36
39
Q2 - 9:12BullsBobby Portis defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot36
39
Q2 - 9:25BullsBobby Portis personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)36
39
Q2 - 9:38BullsBobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)36
39
Q2 - 9:48HeatDwyane Wade makes two point putback layup36
37
Q2 - 9:49HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound34
37
Q2 - 9:51HeatDwyane Wade misses two point putback layup34
37
Q2 - 9:51HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound34
37
Q2 - 9:56HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot34
37
Q2 - 10:08HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound34
37
Q2 - 10:12BullsJabari Parker misses three point jump shot34
37
Q2 - 10:18HeatTyler Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Ryan Arcidiacono steals)34
37
Q2 - 10:35BullsBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 134
37
Q2 - 10:35Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)34
36
Q2 - 10:35HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)34
36
Q2 - 10:35BullsBobby Portis makes two point hook shot (Ryan Arcidiacono assists)34
36
Q2 - 10:46HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
34
Q2 - 10:51BullsBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 234
34
Q2 - 10:51Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Shaquille Harrison, Jabari Parker, Zach LaVine, Ryan Arcidiacono)34
33
Q2 - 10:51BullsBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 234
33
Q2 - 10:51HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)34
32
Q2 - 11:01HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup34
32
Q2 - 11:12BullsBobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Ryan Arcidiacono assists)32
32
Q2 - 11:29HeatTyler Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 232
30
Q2 - 11:29HeatTyler Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 231
30
Q2 - 11:29BullsRyan Arcidiacono shooting foul (Tyler Johnson draws the foul)31
30
Q2 - 11:34BullsRyan Arcidiacono turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Johnson steals)31
30
Q2 - 11:44HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Ryan Arcidiacono steals)31
30
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)31
30
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
30
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJosh Richardson makes two point floating jump shot31
30
Q1 - 0:05.0BullsRyan Arcidiacono makes regular free throw 2 of 229
30
Q1 - 0:05.0BullsRyan Arcidiacono makes regular free throw 1 of 229
29
Q1 - 0:05.0HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Ryan Arcidiacono draws the foul)29
28
Q1 - 0:23.0BullsBobby Portis defensive rebound29
28
Q1 - 0:26.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot29
28
Q1 - 0:31.0HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound29
28
Q1 - 0:34.0BullsWayne Selden misses two point driving layup29
28
Q1 - 0:50.0BullsJabari Parker defensive rebound29
28
Q1 - 0:52.0HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 229
28
Q1 - 0:52.0Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Shaquille Harrison, Wayne Selden, Jabari Parker, Ryan Arcidiacono)29
28
Q1 - 0:52.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 229
28
Q1 - 0:52.0BullsShaquille Harrison personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)28
28
Q1 - 1:03HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound28
28
Q1 - 1:06BullsWayne Selden misses two point turnaround jump shot28
28
Q1 - 1:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)28
28
Q1 - 1:33BullsJabari Parker makes two point dunk (Kris Dunn assists)26
28
Q1 - 1:38BullsKris Dunn defensive rebound26
26
Q1 - 1:42HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot26
26
Q1 - 1:59HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound26
26
Q1 - 1:59BullsBobby Portis misses two point jump shot26
26
Q1 - 2:02HeatDwyane Wade makes two point putback layup26
26
Q1 - 2:02HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound24
26
Q1 - 2:05HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup24
26
Q1 - 2:18BullsKris Dunn makes two point driving layup (Bobby Portis assists)24
26
Q1 - 2:37HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 224
24
Q1 - 2:37HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 223
24
Q1 - 2:37BullsWayne Selden shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)22
24
Q1 - 2:47HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound22
24
Q1 - 2:50BullsShaquille Harrison misses regular free throw 2 of 222
24
Q1 - 2:50Bulls lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kris Dunn, Shaquille Harrison, Wayne Selden, Jabari Parker)22
24
Q1 - 2:50Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)22
24
Q1 - 2:50BullsShaquille Harrison makes regular free throw 1 of 222
24
Q1 - 2:50HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Shaquille Harrison draws the foul)22
23
Q1 - 2:51BullsRobin Lopez defensive rebound22
23
Q1 - 2:55HeatDwyane Wade misses two point layup22
23
Q1 - 3:09Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, James Johnson, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)22
23
Q1 - 3:09Heat 60 second timeout22
23
Q1 - 3:09BullsKris Dunn makes two point driving layup22
23
Q1 - 3:14HeatTyler Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Kris Dunn steals)22
21
Q1 - 3:26BullsWayne Selden makes two point dunk (Shaquille Harrison assists)22
21
Q1 - 3:35HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)22
19
Q1 - 3:50BullsWayne Selden turnover (offensive foul)19
19
Q1 - 3:50BullsWayne Selden offensive foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)19
19
Q1 - 3:53HeatTyler Johnson personal foul (Loose ball) (Robin Lopez draws the foul)19
19
Q1 - 3:53BullsBulls offensive rebound19
19
Q1 - 3:53BullsKris Dunn misses two point jump shot19
19
Q1 - 4:01HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup19
19
Q1 - 4:01HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound17
19
Q1 - 4:08HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot17
19
Q1 - 4:30Hassan Whiteside defensive goaltending violation17
19
Q1 - 4:30BullsRobin Lopez makes two point hook shot17
19
Q1 - 4:44BullsShaquille Harrison defensive rebound17
17
Q1 - 4:46HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 217
17
Q1 - 4:46HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 217
17
Q1 - 4:46BullsShaquille Harrison personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)17
17
Q1 - 5:07BullsLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Kris Dunn assists)17
17
Q1 - 5:15BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound17
14
Q1 - 5:15HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot17
14
Q1 - 5:30BullsLauri Markkanen makes two point putback dunk17
14
Q1 - 5:34BullsLauri Markkanen offensive rebound17
12
Q1 - 5:34BullsKris Dunn misses two point driving layup17
12
Q1 - 5:46Heat lineup change (Tyler Johnson, James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade)17
12
Q1 - 5:46Stoppage (Out of bounds)17
12
Q1 - 5:46BullsWayne Selden offensive rebound17
12
Q1 - 5:48BullsWayne Selden misses two point floating jump shot17
12
Q1 - 5:59HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot17
12
Q1 - 6:09HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound15
12
Q1 - 6:09BullsLauri Markkanen misses two point driving layup15
12
Q1 - 6:28HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 215
12
Q1 - 6:28Bulls lineup change (Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Shaquille Harrison, Wayne Selden, Robin Lopez)14
12
Q1 - 6:28HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 214
12
Q1 - 6:28Bulls 60 second timeout13
12
Q1 - 6:28BullsZach LaVine personal foul (James Johnson draws the foul)13
12
Q1 - 6:28BullsZach LaVine turnover (bad pass) (James Johnson steals)13
12
Q1 - 6:28BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 6:38HeatJustise Winslow misses two point layup13
12
Q1 - 6:42HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 6:44BullsHassan Whiteside blocks Kris Dunn's two point driving layup13
12
Q1 - 6:51HeatJosh Richardson makes two point layup13
12
Q1 - 7:04BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup11
12
Q1 - 7:09HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback dunk11
10
Q1 - 7:13HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound9
10
Q1 - 7:13HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving dunk9
10
Q1 - 7:25BullsLauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 1 of 19
10
Q1 - 7:25HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)9
9
Q1 - 7:25BullsLauri Markkanen makes two point floating jump shot9
9
Q1 - 7:37HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 29
7
Q1 - 7:37Bulls lineup change (Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Wayne Selden, Zach LaVine, Robin Lopez)8
7
Q1 - 7:37HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 28
7
Q1 - 7:37BullsChandler Hutchison shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)7
7
Q1 - 7:39HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound7
7
Q1 - 7:41BullsKris Dunn misses two point layup7
7
Q1 - 7:49BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound7
7
Q1 - 7:50HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup7
7
Q1 - 7:50HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound7
7
Q1 - 7:58HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot7
7
Q1 - 8:11BullsLauri Markkanen personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)7
7
Q1 - 8:13BullsLauri Markkanen makes two point putback layup7
7
Q1 - 8:20BullsLauri Markkanen offensive rebound7
5
Q1 - 8:20BullsChandler Hutchison misses two point layup7
5
Q1 - 8:25BullsKris Dunn defensive rebound7
5
Q1 - 8:29HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot7
5
Q1 - 8:44Stoppage (Out of bounds)7
5
Q1 - 8:44HeatHeat defensive rebound7
5
Q1 - 8:46BullsKris Dunn misses two point jump shot7
5
Q1 - 8:52BullsChandler Hutchison defensive rebound7
5
Q1 - 8:55HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 2 of 27
5
Q1 - 8:55HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 27
5
Q1 - 8:55BullsChandler Hutchison shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)6
5
Q1 - 9:11BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 26
5
Q1 - 9:11BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 26
4
Q1 - 9:11HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)6
3
Q1 - 9:21BullsChandler Hutchison defensive rebound6
3
Q1 - 9:24HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot6
3
Q1 - 9:26HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound6
3
Q1 - 9:27BullsLauri Markkanen misses two point putback layup6
3
Q1 - 9:27BullsLauri Markkanen offensive rebound6
3
Q1 - 9:32BullsChandler Hutchison misses two point reverse layup6
3
Q1 - 9:39BullsLauri Markkanen defensive rebound6
3
Q1 - 9:42HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot6
3
Q1 - 9:50HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound6
3
Q1 - 9:53BullsRobin Lopez misses two point hook shot6
3
Q1 - 10:16HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)6
3
Q1 - 10:22HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound3
3
Q1 - 10:24HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot3
3
Q1 - 10:33HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound3
3
Q1 - 10:37BullsLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot3
3
Q1 - 10:55HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 13
3
Q1 - 10:55BullsZach LaVine shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)2
3
Q1 - 10:55HeatJames Johnson makes two point layup (Rodney McGruder assists)2
3
Q1 - 11:15BullsRobin Lopez makes three point jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)0
3
Q1 - 11:21Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
0
Q1 - 11:34BullsKris Dunn defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:39HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:45HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:48BullsZach LaVine misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hassan Whiteside vs. Robin Lopez (Lauri Markkanen gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bulls lineup change (Chandler Hutchison, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen, Zach LaVine, Robin Lopez)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.30 65.0%
CHI
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
31
77%
CHI
13
32
41%
Midrange
MIA
8
16
50%
CHI
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
32
41%
61%
CHI
12
18.0
27
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
14
23
61%
CHI
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2681%13.0 / 16
D. Waiters2181%10.5 / 13
D. Wade1458%7.0 / 12
T. Johnson1464%7.0 / 11
J. Winslow1161%5.5 / 9
J. Johnson1071%5.0 / 7
D. Jones990%4.5 / 5
H. Whiteside660%3.0 / 5
B. Adebayo563%2.5 / 4
K. Olynyk150%0.5 / 1
R. McGruder0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine2250%11.0 / 22
B. Portis2181%10.5 / 13
L. Markkanen2050%10.0 / 20
J. Parker1169%5.5 / 8
R. Arcidiacono8100%4.0 / 4
K. Dunn621%3.0 / 14
C. Hutchison550%2.5 / 5
R. Lopez550%2.5 / 5
W. Selden425%2.0 / 8
S. Harrison150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+8
-17
90
CHI
85
+17
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.30 65.0%
CHI
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
25
107.5
29
104.9
MIA 118.2 +13.1
CHI 105.1
Pace
25
98.1
20
98.9
MIA 95.3
CHI 102.0 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
5
15.0
17
14.4
MIA 15.1
CHI 14.1 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
21
51.5%
28
50.5%
MIA 65.2% +19.1%
CHI 46.1%
TO %
26
14.3%
20
13.5%
MIA 16.0%
CHI 12.2% −3.8%
ORB %
5
24.8%
30
19.4%
MIA 18.4%
CHI 23.5% +5.1%
FTrt
20
24.7
26
23.5
MIA 29.1
CHI 29.2 +0.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
12
61.2%
25
55.0%
MIA 60.0% +5.7%
CHI 54.3%
STL %
14
7.8%
16
7.3%
MIA 5.1%
CHI 9.2% +4.1%
BLK %
4
10.2%
26
7.7%
MIA 9.7% +7.6%
CHI 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
28
52.9%
27
52.9%
MIA 65.0% +15.5%
CHI 49.5%
Rim FG%
14
60.8%
28
57.5%
MIA 77.4% +36.8%
CHI 40.6%
Mid FG%
30
36.8%
17
39.8%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
CHI 33.3%
3P %
21
34.9%
20
35.1%
MIA 40.6%
CHI 44.4% +3.8%
FT %
30
69.5%
11
78.3%
MIA 60.9%
CHI 80.8% +19.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
14
37.3%
7
39.2%
MIA 39.2% +3.3%
CHI 36.0%
Mid Att. %
12
25.9%
24
31.3%
MIA 20.3% −13.5%
CHI 33.7%
3P Att. %
13
36.8%
28
29.5%
MIA 40.5% +10.2%
CHI 30.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points117103
Rebounds4643
Assists2719
Steals59
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (1)
Fouls2325
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)31 (0)
Field Goals45-7935-89
At-the-Rim FG24-3113-32
Midrange FG8-1610-30
2-Point FG32-4723-62
3-Point FG13-3212-27
Free Throws14-2321-26
Fast Break Pts414
2nd Chance Pts1411
Points in Paint5840
Pts off Turnovers2113
Bench Points6445
Biggest Lead199

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 25
29.6
26
81%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
4-8
50%
#20 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 23
25.3
11
61%
5
4
1
0
3
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
25.1
10
71%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
25.0
6
60%
10
3
0
3
1
1
4
6
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
15.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-5
0%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
26.8
14
58%
10
7
0
0
4
4
3
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
2-3
67%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
25.7
14
64%
1
2
2
0
3
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
#13 · PG · 6'9" 260 · 22
22.7
5
63%
1
3
1
2
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
21.8
21
81%
6
2
0
0
1
4
0
6
0-1
0%
6-6
100%
3-7
43%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
18.6
9
90%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
4.3
1
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | 2 Way
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | 2 Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
65%
46
27
5
6
17
23
7
39
14-23
61%
32-47
68%
13-32
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.