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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 22, 2019
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Clippers43%11098
15Mavericks57%113106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.2
38.5
32.6
15
63%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
3-6
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
35.3
31.1
16
52%
9
3
1
1
0
0
4
5
1-3
33%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
3-10
30%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
34.4
36.4
9
39%
7
4
1
1
2
1
0
7
6-6
100%
0-3
6-11
0%
52%
1-6
17%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
31.3
27.0
11
63%
8
3
0
1
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
4-7
7-11
57%
63%
0-0
-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 20.5
20.4
31.0
8
29%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 32.2
23.5
17.4
15
42%
1
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
1-6
17%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.7
15.2
10.3
7
52%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 30.5
9.7
6.1
7
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Tyrone Wallace
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.6
9.6
12.4
4
34%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-0
-
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.9
9.6
5.3
3
75%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-2
50%
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
7.4
6.4
3
54%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
5.3
11.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 30.4
2.7
0
1-1
57%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.5
Milos Teodosic
G · 6'5" 196 · 31.8
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.4
Angel Delgado
C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.2
36.7
25.3
17
45%
8
4
1
1
0
4
1
7
4-4
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
47%
1-6
17%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
34.9
29.5
13
73%
16
4
1
1
4
0
4
12
1-2
50%
6-8
4-7
75%
65%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
33.5
31.5
20
63%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
3-5
60%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
32.9
29.1
9
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-5
40%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 19.9
32.3
29.9
17
44%
7
6
1
1
1
3
0
7
7-10
70%
5-7
5-9
71%
50%
0-8
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
21.0
26.8
5
133%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
53%
1-1
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
17.3
14.7
13
73%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
14.5
20.7
2
50%
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
60%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
10.4
5.6
8
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.4
3.8
24.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
2.7
16.5
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-4
100%
65%
0-0
-
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
4.6
0
0-0
54%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.6
3.2
0
0-1
62%
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.9
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.6
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.