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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 23, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons41%11298
18Pelicans59%11594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.9
37.9
35.1
37
60%
9
7
1
1
0
1
2
7
5-6
83%
10-19
6-12
53%
52%
4-9
44%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 35.0
31.2
22.4
8
52%
10
1
1
1
1
2
5
5
2-4
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.8
30.0
27.2
17
72%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
4-7
57%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.9
26.8
32.2
5
21%
6
5
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
1-8
13%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.4
22.0
21.4
4
41%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.1
27.5
14.0
8
36%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
2-8
25%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.6
21.2
22.9
5
34%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.3
18.0
12.6
3
75%
1
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.7
15.3
8.3
11
80%
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
1-2
50%
5-6
1-2
83%
54%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.7
10.2
17.9
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.7
9.9
0
1-2
46%
Kalin Lucas
G · 6'1" 195 · 29.7
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
2.7
0
0-0
49%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.0
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 23.9
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.5
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.6
38.2
37.3
29
58%
5
7
0
2
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
14-22
7-12
64%
55%
0-2
0%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
33.7
28.5
13
45%
12
2
0
1
2
3
1
11
1-1
100%
6-13
6-10
46%
57%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.9
32.3
26.6
2
14%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.1
31.0
20.4
17
56%
10
0
0
0
6
5
3
7
1-5
20%
8-13
4-8
62%
53%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 29.9
23.4
24.5
5
46%
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.8
29.6
27.1
9
45%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
3-9
33%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 27.9
24.4
27.1
11
46%
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
54%
3-6
50%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 20.7
16.1
13.8
8
80%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 28.2
5.9
10.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.9
5.4
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 22.4
4.1
0
1-1
56%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.9
2.6
0
0-0
52%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.5
2.0
0
0-0
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 25.9
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
Trevon Bluiett
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.