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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 3, 2019
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies66%10496
29Knicks34%9984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 29.8
37.0
30.1
19
59%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
5-10
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.3
34.1
34.4
25
65%
8
7
3
1
1
1
1
7
5-5
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
2-6
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 34.0
31.7
30.6
24
62%
9
5
1
1
0
1
2
7
1-1
100%
10-15
4-8
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.4
25.7
16.1
16
55%
7
2
0
1
0
0
5
2
5-8
63%
4-9
3-5
44%
58%
1-2
50%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
16.9
21.7
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 28.8
25.1
23.8
2
13%
2
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
0-2
0%
Julian Washburn
F-G · 6'8" 209 · 27.1
19.9
8.0
1
27%
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 33.9
16.0
17.0
4
50%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.0
13.6
17.8
5
36%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
57%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.4
10.5
19.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 28.6
9.4
14.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.4
16.9
1
2-4
58%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
3.7
0
0-1
52%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.3
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 32.7
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Knox
F · 6'9" 212 · 19.5
35.0
31.6
17
43%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
44%
3-9
33%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
29.5
27.1
12
80%
12
2
1
1
1
1
1
11
6-8
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
62%
0-0
-
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.2
25.5
28.6
8
37%
3
6
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.4
24.3
25.8
9
77%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
19.6
26.5
5
36%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
28.5
26.1
5
31%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-7
14%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 23.9
22.0
23.0
14
72%
8
1
1
1
0
2
2
6
2-4
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
20.4
23.3
0
0%
2
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 23.6
20.3
16.0
11
61%
4
1
0
0
3
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Allonzo Trier
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.0
15.0
22.2
3
50%
4
1
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
12.1
0
1-1
43%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 26.7
11.0
0
2-4
57%
Isaiah Hicks
F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 20.8
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 20.5
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.