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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets58%111103
17Pistons42%108129
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
34.5
34.1
18
69%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
32.6
20.3
15
52%
11
6
2
1
0
6
4
7
3-8
38%
6-10
3-5
60%
58%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.2
30.6
29.7
16
60%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
56%
3-5
60%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.1
29.9
27.4
10
46%
3
7
1
1
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
1-2
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
25.7
30.4
16
44%
3
4
3
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
7-14
7-12
50%
57%
0-3
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
29.0
16.8
20
70%
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
6-7
2-5
86%
53%
2-6
33%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
22.3
10.8
6
41%
4
1
2
0
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
1-3
33%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
21.3
25.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
57%
0-1
0%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
8.6
1.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
5.5
1.5
2
20%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.0
24.3
1
3-6
51%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.9
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.0
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.6
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.9
26.1
30.8
11
61%
4
4
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
3-7
43%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.5
25.8
28.5
27
88%
12
3
0
1
3
2
6
6
3-3
100%
12-14
6-10
86%
54%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.9
23.4
38.2
17
83%
7
4
0
1
1
5
2
5
4-5
80%
5-7
7-13
71%
52%
1-1
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.8
22.1
33.9
14
64%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.5
13.2
19.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-3
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.2
24.8
16.6
18
63%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
3-8
38%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.7
24.6
17.7
21
93%
7
2
2
1
1
0
1
6
3-3
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
4-5
80%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.6
23.6
19.1
14
71%
4
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
20.4
11.9
3
25%
4
5
2
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 35.0
18.8
18.1
4
42%
8
2
0
1
2
3
3
5
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.7
8.4
3.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.4
5.5
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.7
3.4
3.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 23.9
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.1
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
Kalin Lucas
G · 6'1" 195 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.