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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 7, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Spurs
118
11Trail Blazers
127
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.6
35
31
17
10
1
0
1
1
4
5
5
3-5
60%
7-19
8-15
37%
51%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
35
29
35
6
6
0
1
0
5
1
5
7-8
88%
14-28
6-13
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.5
32
24
25
3
2
0
1
1
4
0
3
0-1
0%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
5-6
83%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.2
24
25
2
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
23
26
11
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
3-4
75%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.5
29
22
7
0
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.9
25
24
8
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.8
17
16
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-1
100%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.3
13
15
8
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
62%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.9
2
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.0
2
10
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.9
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.6
8
0
1-2
46%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.4
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.7
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
36
34
24
2
9
5
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
10-13
6-11
77%
52%
0-7
0%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.4
34
36
30
9
2
2
1
2
0
0
9
3-3
100%
3-8
6-12
38%
52%
7-13
54%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.5
33
22
22
3
6
1
1
2
1
2
1
4-4
100%
9-15
5-9
60%
53%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.4
22
19
11
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
5-5
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
15
20
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-1
0%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 24.9
31
30
13
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
4-6
80%
59%
1-5
20%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 26.3
25
28
14
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
18
24
6
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
10
22
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
1-1
100%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
7
17
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 21.2
7
12
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 19.7
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 20.1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.