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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 11, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Trail Blazers29%110111
6Thunder71%118120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.4
37.2
33.7
13
30%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-13
5-11
31%
48%
1-7
14%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
36.8
35.0
31
58%
7
6
2
1
1
4
1
6
10-11
91%
6-14
6-12
43%
48%
3-8
38%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.4
33.3
21.7
13
69%
9
2
1
1
0
3
2
7
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.5
29.5
24.4
9
43%
12
1
1
1
2
1
2
10
5-8
63%
2-7
5-10
29%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
20.5
21.0
3
50%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
1-3
33%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 24.9
28.4
27.5
17
81%
4
1
0
1
4
0
2
2
5-8
63%
3-4
3-6
75%
56%
2-3
67%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 26.3
16.7
24.8
9
90%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
1-1
100%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
13.6
17.9
3
31%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 21.2
10.2
14.6
5
66%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
8.3
12.6
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
1-1
100%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
5.6
11.5
3
34%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 22.9
5.2
0
1-1
45%
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 20.1
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 19.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.8
43.0
35.9
47
76%
12
10
2
2
0
2
1
11
9-11
82%
7-13
5-10
54%
50%
8-13
62%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.2
36.9
35.0
21
42%
14
11
1
2
2
6
2
12
10-13
77%
4-13
7-14
31%
49%
1-6
17%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.6
34.6
31.2
9
57%
1
0
2
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
6-9
57%
62%
0-0
-
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 20.7
28.6
30.1
8
90%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
57%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.9
23.0
12.6
0
0%
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 25.0
26.1
5.9
18
91%
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
1-2
50%
4-4
1-1
100%
50%
3-5
60%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 34.6
21.1
2.8
15
75%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
3-5
60%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
13.4
13.9
2
33%
7
0
0
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 25.4
12.3
10.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 20.5
1.0
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 25.4
24.2
1
4-8
50%
Donte Grantham
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.9
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.