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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 11, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat30%10587
9Nuggets70%112103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
36
30
15
4
0
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
5-12
3-7
42%
45%
1-4
25%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.4
33
35
12
1
8
1
1
0
7
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
4-8
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
30
32
11
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
28
21
11
7
2
2
1
2
2
2
5
2-2
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
58%
1-6
17%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
20
25
6
8
0
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-2
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
55%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.0
27
20
14
6
2
1
1
3
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 37.1
22
26
8
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
21
14
8
10
0
0
0
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.6
19
22
2
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.8
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
2
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.7
1
0
0-0
45%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.0
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.5
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
36
32
23
12
4
0
1
0
7
0
12
6-7
86%
4-13
8-13
31%
58%
3-3
100%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.0
34
30
10
1
5
3
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
0-6
5-10
0%
50%
3-6
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.1
32
29
8
6
5
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
50%
2-7
29%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
31
29
11
8
3
0
1
3
2
2
6
1-2
50%
5-6
5-8
83%
60%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.2
28
31
23
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
57%
5-7
71%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
28
24
17
3
7
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
2-4
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
21
18
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.0
20
17
9
10
1
2
1
2
2
3
7
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
1-4
25%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.3
7
22
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
54%
0-4
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
2
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.9
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.6
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.