Final Win Prob. pScore
1430%105
87
870%112
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
88.89892.5
DEN logo Nuggets
105.198104.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.87
103
Q4 - 0:08.0HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
103
Q4 - 0:11.0NuggetsJarred Vanderbilt misses two point jump shot87
103
Q4 - 0:29.0NuggetsJarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound87
103
Q4 - 0:33.0HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot87
103
Q4 - 0:41.0HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
103
Q4 - 0:45.0NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot87
103
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatRodney McGruder makes two point jump shot (Ryan Anderson assists)87
103
Q4 - 1:13HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound85
103
Q4 - 1:17NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez misses three point jump shot85
103
Q4 - 1:21NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound85
103
Q4 - 1:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot85
103
Q4 - 1:26HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound85
103
Q4 - 1:31NuggetsJames Johnson blocks Monte Morris's two point jump shot85
103
Q4 - 1:53Nuggets lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Trey Lyles, Juancho Hernangomez)85
103
Q4 - 1:53Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Ryan Anderson, Duncan Robinson)85
103
Q4 - 1:53Nuggets 60 second timeout85
103
Q4 - 1:53HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving dunk (Josh Richardson assists)85
103
Q4 - 2:15NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)83
103
Q4 - 2:20HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)83
100
Q4 - 2:21HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound83
100
Q4 - 2:25NuggetsKelly Olynyk blocks Malik Beasley's two point driving dunk83
100
Q4 - 2:47NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound83
100
Q4 - 2:51HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot83
100
Q4 - 3:08NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)83
100
Q4 - 3:27HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point step back jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)83
97
Q4 - 3:45HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound80
97
Q4 - 3:48NuggetsMalik Beasley misses two point jump shot80
97
Q4 - 4:02NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound80
97
Q4 - 4:07HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot80
97
Q4 - 4:18NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
97
Q4 - 4:33HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
97
Q4 - 4:38NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)80
97
Q4 - 4:49NuggetsJamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 180
97
Q4 - 4:49Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)80
96
Q4 - 4:49HeatJustise Winslow technical foul80
96
Q4 - 4:49Nuggets 60 second timeout80
96
Q4 - 4:49HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)80
96
Q4 - 4:49HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)80
96
Q4 - 4:54HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound80
96
Q4 - 5:00NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot80
96
Q4 - 5:27HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)80
96
Q4 - 5:46NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point putback layup77
96
Q4 - 5:46NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound77
94
Q4 - 5:50NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point step back jump shot77
94
Q4 - 5:59NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound77
94
Q4 - 6:02NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot77
94
Q4 - 6:05NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound77
94
Q4 - 6:07HeatPaul Millsap blocks Justise Winslow's two point reverse layup77
94
Q4 - 6:18HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound77
94
Q4 - 6:21NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot77
94
Q4 - 6:28HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)77
94
Q4 - 6:31Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Paul Millsap, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)77
94
Q4 - 6:31HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)77
94
Q4 - 6:44HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)77
94
Q4 - 7:02NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)74
94
Q4 - 7:06HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)74
94
Q4 - 7:25NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)74
94
Q4 - 7:29NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound74
91
Q4 - 7:33HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point hook shot74
91
Q4 - 7:49HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound74
91
Q4 - 7:49NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot74
91
Q4 - 7:51NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound74
91
Q4 - 7:54NuggetsKelly Olynyk blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup74
91
Q4 - 8:08NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound74
91
Q4 - 8:12HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 274
91
Q4 - 8:12HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 274
91
Q4 - 8:12NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)74
91
Q4 - 8:24Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)74
91
Q4 - 8:24Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, James Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters)74
91
Q4 - 8:24Heat 60 second timeout74
91
Q4 - 8:26NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)74
91
Q4 - 8:30NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
88
Q4 - 8:33HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot74
88
Q4 - 8:41NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)74
88
Q4 - 8:58HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)74
88
Q4 - 9:08Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Torrey Craig, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray)72
88
Q4 - 9:08NuggetsPaul Millsap personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)72
88
Q4 - 9:15NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
88
Q4 - 9:28HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 272
88
Q4 - 9:28Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters)71
88
Q4 - 9:28HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 271
88
Q4 - 9:28NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)70
88
Q4 - 9:32HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - 9:36NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - 9:46NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - 9:48HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - 9:52NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)70
88
Q4 - 9:56HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Paul Millsap steals)70
88
Q4 - 10:19HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - 10:23NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - 10:32NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - 10:35HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - 10:49NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (offensive foul)70
88
Q4 - 10:49NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive foul (Charge) (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)70
88
Q4 - 10:57NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - 11:00HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - 11:19NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)70
88
Q4 - 11:21NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound70
85
Q4 - 11:23HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup70
85
Q4 - 11:47NuggetsMalik Beasley makes regular free throw 2 of 270
85
Q4 - 11:47NuggetsMalik Beasley makes regular free throw 1 of 270
84
Q4 - 11:47HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Malik Beasley draws the foul)70
83
Q4 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Malik Beasley)70
83
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)70
83
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
83
Q3 - 0:01.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound70
83
Q3 - 0:01.0NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point step back jump shot70
83
Q3 - 0:07.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)70
83
Q3 - 0:07.0HeatHeat offensive rebound70
83
Q3 - 0:08.0HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot70
83
Q3 - 0:10.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
83
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
83
Q3 - 0:31.0NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point finger roll layup70
83
Q3 - 0:52.0HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot70
83
Q3 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
83
Q3 - 1:06NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point floating jump shot68
83
Q3 - 1:23HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup68
83
Q3 - 1:39Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation66
83
Q3 - 1:39NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)66
83
Q3 - 1:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
81
Q3 - 1:49NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound66
81
Q3 - 1:51HeatJames Johnson misses three point step back jump shot66
81
Q3 - 2:04NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point dunk (Monte Morris assists)66
81
Q3 - 2:17Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Jamal Murray)66
79
Q3 - 2:17HeatDwyane Wade turnover (traveling)66
79
Q3 - 2:32NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 266
79
Q3 - 2:32NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 266
78
Q3 - 2:32HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)66
78
Q3 - 2:43NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound66
78
Q3 - 2:47HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot66
78
Q3 - 2:55HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound66
78
Q3 - 2:57HeatJustise Winslow misses two point layup66
78
Q3 - 3:00HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound66
78
Q3 - 3:02NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point hook shot66
78
Q3 - 3:20Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Jamal Murray)66
78
Q3 - 3:20Nuggets 60 second timeout66
78
Q3 - 3:21HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup66
78
Q3 - 3:23NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)64
78
Q3 - 3:36HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 264
78
Q3 - 3:36HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 263
78
Q3 - 3:36NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)62
78
Q3 - 3:47HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound62
78
Q3 - 3:49NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot62
78
Q3 - 3:50NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound62
78
Q3 - 3:54NuggetsJames Johnson blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup62
78
Q3 - 4:17HeatRodney McGruder makes two point floating jump shot (James Johnson assists)62
78
Q3 - 4:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 160
78
Q3 - 4:31Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Will Barton)60
77
Q3 - 4:31Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)60
77
Q3 - 4:31HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)60
77
Q3 - 4:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot60
77
Q3 - 4:47HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)60
75
Q3 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
75
Q3 - 5:03NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot57
75
Q3 - 5:03NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound57
75
Q3 - 5:06NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot57
75
Q3 - 5:09NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound57
75
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup57
75
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound57
75
Q3 - 5:10HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot57
75
Q3 - 5:35NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)57
75
Q3 - 5:39HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Monte Morris steals)57
72
Q3 - 5:52NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot57
72
Q3 - 6:13NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound57
69
Q3 - 6:16HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot57
69
Q3 - 6:20NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)57
69
Q3 - 6:24Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)57
69
Q3 - 6:24Heat 60 second timeout57
69
Q3 - 6:27NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)57
69
Q3 - 6:32NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound57
66
Q3 - 6:34HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot57
66
Q3 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
66
Q3 - 6:46NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot57
66
Q3 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)57
66
Q3 - 6:57NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)57
66
Q3 - 7:01HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)57
66
Q3 - 7:04NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
66
Q3 - 7:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)57
66
Q3 - 7:26HeatJosh Richardson turnover (traveling)57
63
Q3 - 7:41Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters)57
63
Q3 - 7:41Heat 60 second timeout57
63
Q3 - 7:42NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point alley-oop dunk (Will Barton assists)57
63
Q3 - 7:50NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound57
61
Q3 - 7:52HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 2 of 257
61
Q3 - 7:52Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)57
61
Q3 - 7:52HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 257
61
Q3 - 7:52NuggetsMalik Beasley shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)57
61
Q3 - 7:56HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
61
Q3 - 7:58NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot57
61
Q3 - 8:12HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)57
61
Q3 - 8:12HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)57
61
Q3 - 8:19NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
61
Q3 - 8:21NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound57
61
Q3 - 8:24HeatDion Waiters misses two point step back jump shot57
61
Q3 - 8:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
61
Q3 - 8:27HeatHeat offensive rebound57
61
Q3 - 8:27HeatMason Plumlee blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point turnaround hook shot57
61
Q3 - 8:44NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point finger roll layup57
61
Q3 - 8:51NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound57
59
Q3 - 8:52NuggetsWill Barton misses two point floating jump shot57
59
Q3 - 9:01HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup57
59
Q3 - 9:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)55
59
Q3 - 9:24NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)55
59
Q3 - 9:26NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound55
57
Q3 - 9:29HeatMason Plumlee blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point dunk55
57
Q3 - 9:37NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Hassan Whiteside steals)55
57
Q3 - 9:49HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 255
57
Q3 - 9:49HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 254
57
Q3 - 9:49NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)53
57
Q3 - 10:03NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point driving dunk (Jamal Murray assists)53
57
Q3 - 10:15HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)53
55
Q3 - 10:24HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound53
55
Q3 - 10:29NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 253
55
Q3 - 10:29NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 253
55
Q3 - 10:29HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)53
54
Q3 - 10:40NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound53
54
Q3 - 10:42HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot53
54
Q3 - 10:55HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound53
54
Q3 - 10:58NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot53
54
Q3 - 11:09HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback dunk53
54
Q3 - 11:09HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound51
54
Q3 - 11:13HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot51
54
Q3 - 11:20NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)51
54
Q3 - 11:33HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)51
54
Q3 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)49
54
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)49
54
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
54
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound49
54
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot49
54
Q2 - 0:03.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)49
54
Q2 - 0:24.0NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
51
Q2 - 0:25.0HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 249
51
Q2 - 0:25.0HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 249
51
Q2 - 0:25.0NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)49
51
Q2 - 0:39.0HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound49
51
Q2 - 0:44.0NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point step back jump shot49
51
Q2 - 1:02HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup49
51
Q2 - 1:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)47
51
Q2 - 1:37HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)47
48
Q2 - 1:37HeatHeat offensive rebound47
48
Q2 - 1:38HeatJames Johnson misses two point jump shot47
48
Q2 - 2:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 247
48
Q2 - 2:01Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)47
47
Q2 - 2:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 247
47
Q2 - 2:01HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)47
46
Q2 - 2:08NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound47
46
Q2 - 2:11HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot47
46
Q2 - 2:24HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound47
46
Q2 - 2:32NuggetsWill Barton misses two point layup47
46
Q2 - 2:36HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)47
46
Q2 - 2:45Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)47
46
Q2 - 2:45NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)47
46
Q2 - 2:57Heat 60 second timeout47
46
Q2 - 2:57NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
46
Q2 - 3:12HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)47
46
Q2 - 3:23HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound44
46
Q2 - 3:26NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point layup44
46
Q2 - 3:36Stoppage (Out of bounds)44
46
Q2 - 3:49HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)44
46
Q2 - 4:11NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point putback dunk42
46
Q2 - 4:11NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound42
44
Q2 - 4:15NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point reverse layup42
44
Q2 - 4:29Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)42
44
Q2 - 4:29HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)42
44
Q2 - 4:29HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)42
44
Q2 - 4:36HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound42
44
Q2 - 4:40NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point floating jump shot42
44
Q2 - 4:54Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)42
44
Q2 - 4:54HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)42
44
Q2 - 4:54HeatHeat offensive rebound42
44
Q2 - 4:55HeatDion Waiters misses two point finger roll layup42
44
Q2 - 5:25NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Malik Beasley assists)42
44
Q2 - 5:42HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)42
41
Q2 - 6:00NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)40
41
Q2 - 6:20HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 240
39
Q2 - 6:20HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 239
39
Q2 - 6:20NuggetsMalik Beasley shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)38
39
Q2 - 6:31HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - 6:36NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot38
39
Q2 - 6:47Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray)38
39
Q2 - 6:47HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Loose ball) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)38
39
Q2 - 6:47NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - 6:47HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot38
39
Q2 - 7:09HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - 7:12NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot38
39
Q2 - 7:20Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
39
Q2 - 7:20Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Jamal Murray)38
39
Q2 - 7:20Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)38
39
Q2 - 7:20NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound38
39
Q2 - 7:20NuggetsJames Johnson blocks Trey Lyles's three point jump shot38
39
Q2 - 7:25NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - 7:27HeatJustise Winslow misses two point layup38
39
Q2 - 7:36HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - 7:40NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot38
39
Q2 - 7:42Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)38
39
Q2 - 7:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
39
Q2 - 7:42NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound38
39
Q2 - 7:43NuggetsTrey Lyles misses two point fadeaway jump shot38
39
Q2 - 8:01HeatDwyane Wade makes two point finger roll layup38
39
Q2 - 8:12Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)36
39
Q2 - 8:12NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)36
39
Q2 - 8:17HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - 8:22NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot36
39
Q2 - 8:34NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot36
39
Q2 - 8:46HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - 8:49NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point step back jump shot36
39
Q2 - 9:03Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Trey Lyles, Jamal Murray)36
39
Q2 - 9:03Nuggets 60 second timeout36
39
Q2 - 9:05HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)36
39
Q2 - 9:11HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound33
39
Q2 - 9:14NuggetsWill Barton misses two point turnaround jump shot33
39
Q2 - 9:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
39
Q2 - 9:24NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound33
39
Q2 - 9:24HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot33
39
Q2 - 9:36NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point finger roll layup (Paul Millsap assists)33
39
Q2 - 9:52HeatJames Johnson makes two point layup33
37
Q2 - 10:00HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound31
37
Q2 - 10:03NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot31
37
Q2 - 10:19HeatJames Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)31
37
Q2 - 10:34NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point floating jump shot (Will Barton assists)29
37
Q2 - 10:42NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound29
35
Q2 - 10:44HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot29
35
Q2 - 10:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
35
Q2 - 10:54HeatHeat offensive rebound29
35
Q2 - 10:56HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot29
35
Q2 - 10:57HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound29
35
Q2 - 11:00HeatWill Barton blocks Rodney McGruder's three point jump shot29
35
Q2 - 11:12HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound29
35
Q2 - 11:15NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot29
35
Q2 - 11:23NuggetsTrey Lyles defensive rebound29
35
Q2 - 11:25HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot29
35
Q2 - 11:30HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound29
35
Q2 - 11:32NuggetsWill Barton misses two point floating jump shot29
35
Q2 - 11:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)29
35
Q2 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Trey Lyles, Will Barton)27
35
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
35
Q1 - 0:00.0NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point fadeaway jump shot27
35
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatJames Johnson makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)27
33
Q1 - 0:36.0NuggetsTorrey Craig makes two point fadeaway jump shot25
33
Q1 - 0:48.0HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)25
31
Q1 - 0:54.0NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)23
31
Q1 - 1:09NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 123
31
Q1 - 1:09HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)23
30
Q1 - 1:09NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)23
30
Q1 - 1:23HeatRodney McGruder makes two point turnaround jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)23
28
Q1 - 1:28HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound21
28
Q1 - 1:29NuggetsTorrey Craig misses two point dunk21
28
Q1 - 1:35HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Paul Millsap steals)21
28
Q1 - 1:50NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)21
28
Q1 - 1:52NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound21
25
Q1 - 1:56HeatPaul Millsap blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup21
25
Q1 - 2:02NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)21
25
Q1 - 2:12NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)21
25
Q1 - 2:22HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)21
22
Q1 - 2:25Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)21
22
Q1 - 2:25HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)21
22
Q1 - 2:42Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Will Barton)21
22
Q1 - 2:42HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)21
22
Q1 - 2:47HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - 2:51NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot21
22
Q1 - 3:02NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - 3:05HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot21
22
Q1 - 3:11HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - 3:13NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point finger roll layup21
22
Q1 - 3:34HeatDion Waiters makes two point finger roll layup21
22
Q1 - 3:45HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound19
22
Q1 - 3:45NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot19
22
Q1 - 3:46NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound19
22
Q1 - 3:50NuggetsMalik Beasley misses two point floating jump shot19
22
Q1 - 3:53HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)19
22
Q1 - 4:03HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)19
22
Q1 - 4:09Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters)17
22
Q1 - 4:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)17
22
Q1 - 4:22NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point floating jump shot17
22
Q1 - 4:39HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot17
20
Q1 - 5:05NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Malik Beasley assists)15
20
Q1 - 5:10NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound15
17
Q1 - 5:15HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot15
17
Q1 - 5:20Stoppage (Out of bounds)15
17
Q1 - 5:27Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Malik Beasley)15
17
Q1 - 5:27Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)15
17
Q1 - 5:27Heat 60 second timeout15
17
Q1 - 5:36NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot15
17
Q1 - 5:47NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound15
15
Q1 - 5:48HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot15
15
Q1 - 5:50HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound15
15
Q1 - 5:51HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot15
15
Q1 - 6:02HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound15
15
Q1 - 6:04NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point dunk15
15
Q1 - 6:08NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound15
15
Q1 - 6:10HeatMason Plumlee blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup15
15
Q1 - 6:28NuggetsWill Barton makes two point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)15
15
Q1 - 6:45HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)15
13
Q1 - 6:55HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound12
13
Q1 - 6:57NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot12
13
Q1 - 7:18HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)12
13
Q1 - 7:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 29
13
Q1 - 7:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 29
12
Q1 - 7:41HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)9
11
Q1 - 7:43NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound9
11
Q1 - 7:43HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point putback layup9
11
Q1 - 7:43HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound9
11
Q1 - 7:48HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point floating jump shot9
11
Q1 - 8:09NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot9
11
Q1 - 8:15NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound9
9
Q1 - 8:16HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point floating jump shot9
9
Q1 - 8:27NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)9
9
Q1 - 8:37NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)9
9
Q1 - 8:42NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound9
6
Q1 - 8:50HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot9
6
Q1 - 8:59HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound9
6
Q1 - 9:03HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot9
6
Q1 - 9:18HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound9
6
Q1 - 9:22NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot9
6
Q1 - 9:40HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)9
6
Q1 - 9:58NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point floating jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)6
6
Q1 - 10:05NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound6
4
Q1 - 10:08HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot6
4
Q1 - 10:29NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point hook shot (Nikola Jokic assists)6
4
Q1 - 10:46HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 26
2
Q1 - 10:46HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 25
2
Q1 - 10:46NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)4
2
Q1 - 10:59NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point putback dunk4
2
Q1 - 10:59NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound4
0
Q1 - 11:02NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving layup4
0
Q1 - 11:13Nuggets 60 second timeout4
0
Q1 - 11:24HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup4
0
Q1 - 11:29NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)2
0
Q1 - 11:39HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)2
0
Q1 - 11:48NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hassan Whiteside vs. Mason Plumlee (Nikola Jokic gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
DEN
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
27
59%
DEN
12
22
55%
Midrange
MIA
9
22
41%
DEN
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
DEN
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
10
16
63%
DEN
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1542%7.5 / 18
J. Johnson1470%7.0 / 10
J. Richardson1260%6.0 / 10
D. Waiters1155%5.5 / 10
K. Olynyk1139%5.5 / 14
D. Wade844%4.0 / 9
R. McGruder867%4.0 / 6
H. Whiteside638%3.0 / 8
B. Adebayo225%1.0 / 4
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2361%11.5 / 19
M. Beasley2382%11.5 / 14
M. Morris1777%8.5 / 11
M. Plumlee1179%5.5 / 7
J. Murray1042%5.0 / 12
P. Millsap950%4.5 / 9
W. Barton833%4.0 / 12
T. Craig233%1.0 / 3
T. Lyles0-0.0 / 5
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
J. Vanderbilt0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+13
-16
95
DEN
83
+12
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
DEN
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
25
107.5
6
112.6
MIA 88.8
DEN 105.1 +16.3
Pace
25
98.1
26
98.0
MIA 92.5
DEN 104.2 +11.7
Avg. Poss. Time
5
15.0
10
14.7
MIA 15.6
DEN 13.8 −1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
21
51.5%
15
52.7%
MIA 47.0%
DEN 51.7% +4.7%
TO %
26
14.3%
10
13.1%
MIA 17.6%
DEN 13.7% −3.9%
ORB %
5
24.8%
1
26.6%
MIA 16.7%
DEN 20.0% +3.3%
FTrt
20
24.7
27
23.2
MIA 19.5 +4.9
DEN 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
12
61.2%
2
65.3%
MIA 67.6%
DEN 71.1% +3.5%
STL %
14
7.8%
12
7.9%
MIA 10.2% +3.1%
DEN 7.1%
BLK %
4
10.2%
22
8.2%
MIA 9.6%
DEN 12.2% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
28
52.9%
15
54.5%
MIA 45.3%
DEN 54.2% +8.9%
Rim FG%
14
60.8%
20
59.6%
MIA 59.3% +4.8%
DEN 54.5%
Mid FG%
30
36.8%
3
43.3%
MIA 40.9% +7.6%
DEN 33.3%
3P %
21
34.9%
17
35.1%
MIA 27.3%
DEN 43.2% +15.9%
FT %
30
69.5%
20
75.5%
MIA 62.5%
DEN 84.6% +22.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
14
37.3%
12
37.5%
MIA 32.9% +8.2%
DEN 24.7%
Mid Att. %
12
25.9%
16
27.7%
MIA 26.8% −6.9%
DEN 33.7%
3P Att. %
13
36.8%
15
34.8%
MIA 40.2%
DEN 41.6% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points87103
Rebounds4745
Assists2327
Steals107
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)16 (3)15 (0)
Fouls1617
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (0)35 (3)
Field Goals34-8238-89
At-the-Rim FG16-2712-22
Midrange FG9-2210-30
2-Point FG25-4922-52
3-Point FG9-3316-37
Free Throws10-1611-13
Fast Break Pts825
2nd Chance Pts28
Points in Paint4636
Pts off Turnovers1321
Bench Points3228
Biggest Lead420

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
36.5
15
42%
4
0
2
0
2
1
0
4
2-4
50%
5-12
42%
1-4
25%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
32.8
12
60%
1
8
1
0
7
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
30.1
11
55%
3
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
28.2
11
39%
7
2
2
2
2
4
2
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-6
17%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
19.9
6
38%
8
0
1
0
0
1
2
6
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
27.4
14
70%
6
2
1
3
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
22.1
8
44%
1
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
20.6
8
67%
10
0
0
0
1
1
2
8
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 22
18.7
2
25%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
1.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
1.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Bone Bruises
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
45%
47
23
10
5
16
16
7
40
10-16
63%
25-49
51%
9-33
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.