Final Win Prob. pScore
1430%105
87
870%112
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
88.89892.5
DEN logo Nuggets
105.198104.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.87
103
Q4 - HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
103
Q4 - NuggetsJarred Vanderbilt misses two point jump shot87
103
Q4 - NuggetsJarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound87
103
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot87
103
Q4 - HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
103
Q4 - NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot87
103
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point jump shot (Ryan Anderson assists)87
103
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound85
103
Q4 - NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez misses three point jump shot85
103
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig defensive rebound85
103
Q4 - HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot85
103
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound85
103
Q4 - NuggetsJames Johnson blocks Monte Morris's two point jump shot85
103
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Trey Lyles, Juancho Hernangomez)85
103
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Ryan Anderson, Duncan Robinson)85
103
Q4 - Nuggets 60 second timeout85
103
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving dunk (Josh Richardson assists)85
103
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)83
103
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)83
100
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound83
100
Q4 - NuggetsKelly Olynyk blocks Malik Beasley's two point driving dunk83
100
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound83
100
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot83
100
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)83
100
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point step back jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)83
97
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound80
97
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses two point jump shot80
97
Q4 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound80
97
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot80
97
Q4 - NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
97
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
97
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)80
97
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 180
97
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)80
96
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow technical foul80
96
Q4 - Nuggets 60 second timeout80
96
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)80
96
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)80
96
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound80
96
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot80
96
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)80
96
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point putback layup77
96
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound77
94
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point step back jump shot77
94
Q4 - NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound77
94
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot77
94
Q4 - NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound77
94
Q4 - HeatPaul Millsap blocks Justise Winslow's two point reverse layup77
94
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound77
94
Q4 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot77
94
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)77
94
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Paul Millsap, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)77
94
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)77
94
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)77
94
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)74
94
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)74
94
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)74
94
Q4 - NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound74
91
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point hook shot74
91
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound74
91
Q4 - NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot74
91
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound74
91
Q4 - NuggetsKelly Olynyk blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup74
91
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound74
91
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 274
91
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 274
91
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)74
91
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)74
91
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, James Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters)74
91
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout74
91
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)74
91
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
88
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot74
88
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)74
88
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)74
88
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Torrey Craig, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray)72
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)72
88
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
88
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 272
88
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters)71
88
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 271
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)70
88
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - NuggetsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)70
88
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Paul Millsap steals)70
88
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (offensive foul)70
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive foul (Charge) (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)70
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound70
88
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot70
88
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)70
88
Q4 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound70
85
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup70
85
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes regular free throw 2 of 270
85
Q4 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes regular free throw 1 of 270
84
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Malik Beasley draws the foul)70
83
Q4 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Malik Beasley)70
83
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)70
83
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.70
83
Q3 - NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound70
83
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point step back jump shot70
83
Q3 - HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)70
83
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound70
83
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot70
83
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
83
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
83
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point finger roll layup70
83
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot70
83
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
83
Q3 - NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point floating jump shot68
83
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup68
83
Q3 - Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation66
83
Q3 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)66
83
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
81
Q3 - NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound66
81
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point step back jump shot66
81
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point dunk (Monte Morris assists)66
81
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Jamal Murray)66
79
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (traveling)66
79
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 266
79
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 266
78
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)66
78
Q3 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound66
78
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot66
78
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound66
78
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point layup66
78
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound66
78
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point hook shot66
78
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Jamal Murray)66
78
Q3 - Nuggets 60 second timeout66
78
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup66
78
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)64
78
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 264
78
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 263
78
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)62
78
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound62
78
Q3 - NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot62
78
Q3 - NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound62
78
Q3 - NuggetsJames Johnson blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup62
78
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point floating jump shot (James Johnson assists)62
78
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 160
78
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Will Barton)60
77
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)60
77
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)60
77
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot60
77
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)60
75
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
75
Q3 - NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot57
75
Q3 - NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound57
75
Q3 - NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot57
75
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound57
75
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup57
75
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound57
75
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot57
75
Q3 - NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)57
75
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Monte Morris steals)57
72
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot57
72
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound57
69
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot57
69
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)57
69
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)57
69
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout57
69
Q3 - NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)57
69
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound57
66
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot57
66
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
66
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot57
66
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)57
66
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)57
66
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)57
66
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
66
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)57
66
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (traveling)57
63
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters)57
63
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout57
63
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point alley-oop dunk (Will Barton assists)57
63
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound57
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 2 of 257
61
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)57
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 257
61
Q3 - NuggetsMalik Beasley shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)57
61
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
61
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point jump shot57
61
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)57
61
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)57
61
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
61
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound57
61
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point step back jump shot57
61
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
61
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound57
61
Q3 - HeatMason Plumlee blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point turnaround hook shot57
61
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point finger roll layup57
61
Q3 - NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound57
59
Q3 - NuggetsWill Barton misses two point floating jump shot57
59
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup57
59
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)55
59
Q3 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)55
59
Q3 - NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound55
57
Q3 - HeatMason Plumlee blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point dunk55
57
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Hassan Whiteside steals)55
57
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 255
57
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 254
57
Q3 - NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)53
57
Q3 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point driving dunk (Jamal Murray assists)53
57
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)53
55
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound53
55
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 253
55
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 253
55
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)53
54
Q3 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound53
54
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot53
54
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound53
54
Q3 - NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot53
54
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback dunk53
54
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound51
54
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot51
54
Q3 - NuggetsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)51
54
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)51
54
Q3 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)49
54
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)49
54
Q2 - End of 1st Half.49
54
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound49
54
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot49
54
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)49
54
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
51
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 249
51
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 249
51
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)49
51
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound49
51
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point step back jump shot49
51
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup49
51
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)47
51
Q2 - HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)47
48
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound47
48
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point jump shot47
48
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 247
48
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)47
47
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 247
47
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)47
46
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound47
46
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot47
46
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound47
46
Q2 - NuggetsWill Barton misses two point layup47
46
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)47
46
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)47
46
Q2 - NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)47
46
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout47
46
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
46
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)47
46
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound44
46
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point layup44
46
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)44
46
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)44
46
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point putback dunk42
46
Q2 - NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound42
44
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point reverse layup42
44
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)42
44
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)42
44
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)42
44
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound42
44
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point floating jump shot42
44
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)42
44
Q2 - HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)42
44
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound42
44
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point finger roll layup42
44
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Malik Beasley assists)42
44
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)42
41
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)40
41
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 240
39
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 239
39
Q2 - NuggetsMalik Beasley shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)38
39
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot38
39
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray)38
39
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Loose ball) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)38
39
Q2 - NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot38
39
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot38
39
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
39
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Jamal Murray)38
39
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)38
39
Q2 - NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound38
39
Q2 - NuggetsJames Johnson blocks Trey Lyles's three point jump shot38
39
Q2 - NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point layup38
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound38
39
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot38
39
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)38
39
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
39
Q2 - NuggetsTorrey Craig offensive rebound38
39
Q2 - NuggetsTrey Lyles misses two point fadeaway jump shot38
39
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point finger roll layup38
39
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)36
39
Q2 - NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)36
39
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot36
39
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot36
39
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point step back jump shot36
39
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Trey Lyles, Jamal Murray)36
39
Q2 - Nuggets 60 second timeout36
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)36
39
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound33
39
Q2 - NuggetsWill Barton misses two point turnaround jump shot33
39
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
39
Q2 - NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound33
39
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot33
39
Q2 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point finger roll layup (Paul Millsap assists)33
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point layup33
37
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound31
37
Q2 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot31
37
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)31
37
Q2 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point floating jump shot (Will Barton assists)29
37
Q2 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound29
35
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot29
35
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
35
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound29
35
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot29
35
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound29
35
Q2 - HeatWill Barton blocks Rodney McGruder's three point jump shot29
35
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound29
35
Q2 - NuggetsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot29
35
Q2 - NuggetsTrey Lyles defensive rebound29
35
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot29
35
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound29
35
Q2 - NuggetsWill Barton misses two point floating jump shot29
35
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)29
35
Q2 - Nuggets lineup change (Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Trey Lyles, Will Barton)27
35
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.27
35
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point fadeaway jump shot27
35
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)27
33
Q1 - NuggetsTorrey Craig makes two point fadeaway jump shot25
33
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)25
31
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)23
31
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 123
31
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)23
30
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)23
30
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point turnaround jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)23
28
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound21
28
Q1 - NuggetsTorrey Craig misses two point dunk21
28
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Paul Millsap steals)21
28
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)21
28
Q1 - NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound21
25
Q1 - HeatPaul Millsap blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup21
25
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris personal foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)21
25
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)21
25
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)21
22
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade)21
22
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)21
22
Q1 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Will Barton)21
22
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)21
22
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot21
22
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot21
22
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point finger roll layup21
22
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point finger roll layup21
22
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound19
22
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot19
22
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound19
22
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley misses two point floating jump shot19
22
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)19
22
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)19
22
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters)17
22
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)17
22
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point floating jump shot17
22
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot17
20
Q1 - NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Malik Beasley assists)15
20
Q1 - NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound15
17
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot15
17
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)15
17
Q1 - Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Malik Beasley)15
17
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)15
17
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout15
17
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot15
17
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound15
15
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot15
15
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound15
15
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot15
15
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound15
15
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point dunk15
15
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound15
15
Q1 - HeatMason Plumlee blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup15
15
Q1 - NuggetsWill Barton makes two point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)15
15
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)15
13
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound12
13
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot12
13
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)12
13
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 29
13
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 29
12
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)9
11
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound9
11
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point putback layup9
11
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound9
11
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point floating jump shot9
11
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot9
11
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound9
9
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point floating jump shot9
9
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)9
9
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)9
9
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound9
6
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot9
6
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound9
6
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot9
6
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound9
6
Q1 - NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot9
6
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)9
6
Q1 - NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point floating jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)6
6
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound6
4
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot6
4
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point hook shot (Nikola Jokic assists)6
4
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 26
2
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 25
2
Q1 - NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)4
2
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point putback dunk4
2
Q1 - NuggetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound4
0
Q1 - NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving layup4
0
Q1 - Nuggets 60 second timeout4
0
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup4
0
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)2
0
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)2
0
Q1 - NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)0
0
Q1 - Hassan Whiteside vs. Mason Plumlee (Nikola Jokic gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Nuggets lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Nikola Jokic, Malik Beasley, Jamal Murray, Will Barton)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
DEN
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
27
59%
DEN
13
25
52%
Midrange
MIA
9
22
41%
DEN
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
DEN
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
10
16
63%
DEN
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1542%7.5 / 18
J. Johnson1478%7.0 / 9
J. Richardson1260%6.0 / 10
D. Waiters1155%5.5 / 10
K. Olynyk1139%5.5 / 14
D. Wade850%4.0 / 8
R. McGruder867%4.0 / 6
H. Whiteside638%3.0 / 8
B. Adebayo225%1.0 / 4
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2361%11.5 / 19
M. Beasley23105%11.5 / 11
M. Morris1777%8.5 / 11
M. Plumlee1192%5.5 / 6
J. Murray1045%5.0 / 11
P. Millsap956%4.5 / 8
W. Barton833%4.0 / 12
T. Craig233%1.0 / 3
T. Lyles0-0.0 / 5
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
J. Vanderbilt0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+13
-16
95
DEN
83
+12
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
DEN
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
112.6
MIA 88.8
DEN 105.1 +16.3
Pace
98.1
98.0
MIA 92.5
DEN 104.2 +11.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.7
MIA 15.6
DEN 13.8 −1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.7%
MIA 47.0%
DEN 51.7% +4.7%
TO %
14.3%
13.1%
MIA 17.6%
DEN 13.7% −3.9%
ORB %
24.8%
26.6%
MIA 16.7%
DEN 20.0% +3.3%
FTrt
24.7
23.2
MIA 19.5 +4.9
DEN 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
65.3%
MIA 67.6%
DEN 71.1% +3.5%
STL %
7.8%
7.9%
MIA 10.2% +3.1%
DEN 7.1%
BLK %
10.2%
8.2%
MIA 9.6%
DEN 12.2% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.5%
MIA 45.3%
DEN 54.2% +8.9%
Rim FG%
60.8%
59.6%
MIA 59.3% +7.3%
DEN 52.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
43.3%
MIA 40.9% +7.6%
DEN 33.3%
3P %
34.9%
35.1%
MIA 27.3%
DEN 43.2% +15.9%
FT %
69.5%
75.5%
MIA 62.5%
DEN 84.6% +22.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
37.5%
MIA 32.9% +4.8%
DEN 28.1%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
27.7%
MIA 26.8% −3.5%
DEN 30.3%
3P Att. %
36.8%
34.8%
MIA 40.2%
DEN 41.6% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points87103
Rebounds4745
Assists2327
Steals107
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)16 (3)15 (0)
Fouls1617
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (0)35 (3)
Field Goals34-8238-89
At-the-Rim FG16-2713-25
Midrange FG9-229-27
2-Point FG25-4922-52
3-Point FG9-3316-37
Free Throws10-1611-13
Fast Break Pts825
2nd Chance Pts28
Points in Paint4636
Pts off Turnovers1321
Bench Points3228
Biggest Lead420

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
36.5
15
42%
4
0
2
0
2
1
0
4
2-4
50%
5-12
42%
1-4
25%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
32.8
12
60%
1
8
1
0
7
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
30.1
11
55%
3
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
28.2
11
39%
7
2
2
2
2
4
2
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-6
17%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
19.9
6
38%
8
0
1
0
0
1
2
6
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
27.4
14
78%
6
2
1
3
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
22.1
8
50%
1
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
20.6
8
67%
10
0
0
0
1
1
2
8
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
18.7
2
25%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
1.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
1.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Bone Bruises
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
45%
47
23
10
5
16
16
7
40
10-16
63%
25-49
51%
9-33
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.