Final Win Prob. pScore
1643%105
112
1457%108
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
116.79690.9
DAL logo Mavericks
103.198103.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
101
Q4 - HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)112
101
Q4 - HeatHeat offensive rebound112
101
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point step back jump shot112
101
Q4 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Ryan Broekhoff assists)112
101
Q4 - MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound112
98
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot112
98
Q4 - MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
98
Q4 - MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
97
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)112
96
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)112
96
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound109
96
Q4 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot109
96
Q4 - James Johnson kicked ball violation109
96
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)109
96
Q4 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
96
Q4 - Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith, Ryan Broekhoff, Luka Doncic)107
95
Q4 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
95
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)107
94
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
94
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
94
Q4 - MavericksJalen Brunson personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)106
94
Q4 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1106
94
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)106
93
Q4 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot106
93
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 1 of 1106
91
Q4 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)105
91
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup (Justise Winslow assists)105
91
Q4 - Tim Hardaway Jr. kicked ball violation103
91
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout103
91
Q4 - MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)103
91
Q4 - MavericksMavericks offensive rebound103
91
Q4 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 1103
91
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Away from play) (Luka Doncic draws the foul)103
91
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)103
91
Q4 - MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound103
91
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot103
91
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound103
91
Q4 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses two point jump shot103
91
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Loose ball) (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)103
91
Q4 - MavericksMavericks offensive rebound103
91
Q4 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot103
91
Q4 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo)103
91
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)103
91
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound103
91
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point jump shot103
91
Q4 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)103
91
Q4 - MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound103
88
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1103
88
Q4 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Maxi Kleber, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic)103
88
Q4 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo)103
88
Q4 - MavericksRyan Broekhoff shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)103
88
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point floating jump shot103
88
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound101
88
Q4 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses three point jump shot101
88
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point turnaround hook shot101
88
Q4 - MavericksRyan Broekhoff makes three point jump shot (Justin Jackson assists)99
88
Q4 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo)99
85
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)99
85
Q4 - MavericksMavericks offensive rebound99
85
Q4 - MavericksDwyane Wade blocks Ryan Broekhoff's three point jump shot99
85
Q4 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki defensive rebound99
85
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot99
85
Q4 - MavericksJustin Jackson makes two point finger roll layup (Trey Burke assists)99
85
Q4 - MavericksRyan Broekhoff defensive rebound99
83
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point floating jump shot99
83
Q4 - Mavericks lineup change (Dirk Nowitzki, Justin Jackson, Ryan Broekhoff, Trey Burke, Courtney Lee)99
83
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout99
83
Q4 - MavericksRyan Broekhoff makes three point jump shot99
83
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (lost ball) (Trey Burke steals)99
80
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound99
80
Q4 - MavericksTrey Burke misses two point layup99
80
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Trey Burke steals)99
80
Q4 - MavericksCourtney Lee makes two point jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)99
80
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)99
78
Q4 - MavericksDwight Powell makes two point layup97
78
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)97
76
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound97
76
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot97
76
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound97
76
Q4 - MavericksJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot97
76
Q4 - Mavericks 60 second timeout97
76
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup97
76
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound95
76
Q4 - MavericksTrey Burke misses three point jump shot95
76
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Courtney Lee steals)95
76
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
76
Q4 - MavericksJustin Jackson misses two point jump shot95
76
Q4 - MavericksRyan Broekhoff defensive rebound95
76
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot95
76
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound95
76
Q4 - MavericksTrey Burke misses two point jump shot95
76
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 295
76
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 294
76
Q4 - MavericksRyan Broekhoff shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
76
Q4 - MavericksTrey Burke turnover (bad pass) (James Johnson steals)93
76
Q4 - MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound93
76
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup93
76
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound93
76
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot93
76
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound93
76
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot93
76
Q4 - Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Justin Jackson, Ryan Broekhoff, Trey Burke, Courtney Lee)93
76
Q4 - MavericksCourtney Lee personal foul (Take) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)93
76
Q4 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 293
76
Q4 - Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Justin Jackson, Ryan Broekhoff, Luka Doncic, Courtney Lee)93
75
Q4 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 293
75
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)93
74
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup93
74
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound91
74
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point layup91
74
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound91
74
Q4 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot91
74
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)91
74
Q4 - Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith, Devin Harris, Luka Doncic)89
74
Q4 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Bam Adebayo)89
74
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.89
74
Q3 - MavericksMavericks offensive rebound89
74
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point step back jump shot89
74
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot89
74
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
74
Q3 - HeatHeat defensive rebound87
74
Q3 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses three point jump shot87
74
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)87
74
Q3 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)84
74
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)84
71
Q3 - MavericksDevin Harris turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)84
71
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo)84
71
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (traveling)84
71
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)84
71
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic offensive rebound84
71
Q3 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses three point jump shot84
71
Q3 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound84
71
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot84
71
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)84
71
Q3 - MavericksDevin Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 281
71
Q3 - MavericksDevin Harris misses regular free throw 1 of 281
70
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Devin Harris draws the foul)81
70
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic offensive rebound81
70
Q3 - MavericksDevin Harris misses three point jump shot81
70
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound81
70
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot81
70
Q3 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo)81
70
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)81
70
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout81
70
Q3 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)81
70
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point step back jump shot81
67
Q3 - MavericksDevin Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 278
67
Q3 - MavericksDevin Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 278
66
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Devin Harris draws the foul)78
65
Q3 - MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound78
65
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 178
65
Q3 - Mavericks lineup change (Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith, Devin Harris, Luka Doncic)78
65
Q3 - MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)78
65
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)78
65
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound76
65
Q3 - MavericksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot76
65
Q3 - MavericksDevin Harris defensive rebound76
65
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot76
65
Q3 - MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point jump shot76
65
Q3 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith, Devin Harris)76
63
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson)76
63
Q3 - Mavericks 60 second timeout76
63
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point finger roll layup76
63
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound74
63
Q3 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses three point jump shot74
63
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)74
63
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound72
63
Q3 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point finger roll layup72
63
Q3 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound72
63
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot72
63
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound72
63
Q3 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot72
63
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot72
63
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound70
63
Q3 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses three point jump shot70
63
Q3 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound70
63
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot70
63
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound70
63
Q3 - MavericksDevin Harris misses three point jump shot70
63
Q3 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Powell, Devin Harris)70
63
Q3 - Mavericks 60 second timeout70
63
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)70
63
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Dion Waiters steals)68
63
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point layup68
63
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound66
63
Q3 - MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point floating jump shot66
63
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point putback dunk66
63
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound64
63
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point finger roll layup64
63
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 264
63
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 264
62
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)64
61
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic offensive rebound64
61
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point finger roll layup64
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)64
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound61
61
Q3 - MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot61
61
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Luka Doncic draws the foul)61
61
Q3 - MavericksMavericks defensive rebound61
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot61
61
Q3 - MavericksMaxi Kleber makes regular free throw 1 of 161
61
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Maxi Kleber draws the foul)61
60
Q3 - MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point driving layup (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)61
60
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)61
58
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound61
58
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot61
58
Q3 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)61
58
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound61
58
Q3 - MavericksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot61
58
Q3 - Mavericks 60 second timeout61
58
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving jump shot61
58
Q3 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith turnover (offensive foul)59
58
Q3 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith offensive foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)59
58
Q3 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound59
58
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot59
58
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound59
58
Q3 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot59
58
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot59
58
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
58
Q3 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot57
58
Q3 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound57
58
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot57
58
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
58
Q3 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot57
58
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)57
58
Q2 - End of 1st Half.57
58
Q2 - MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (bad pass) (Rodney McGruder steals)57
58
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot57
58
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound55
58
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving layup55
58
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 155
58
Q2 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo)54
58
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)54
58
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround jump shot54
58
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point step back jump shot52
58
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic offensive rebound52
55
Q2 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses two point putback layup52
55
Q2 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound52
55
Q2 - MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point jump shot52
55
Q2 - MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound52
55
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot52
55
Q2 - Jump ball. Josh Richardson vs. Maxi Kleber (Dwyane Wade gains possession)52
55
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo)52
55
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound52
55
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot52
55
Q2 - MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)52
55
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)52
52
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point step back jump shot52
52
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)52
49
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound49
49
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot49
49
Q2 - MavericksMaxi Kleber offensive rebound49
49
Q2 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot49
49
Q2 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Maxi Kleber, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic)49
49
Q2 - Mavericks 60 second timeout49
49
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point step back jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)49
49
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. turnover (offensive foul)46
49
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. offensive foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)46
49
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)46
49
Q2 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)43
49
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)43
49
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)43
46
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)43
46
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point jump shot (Salah Mejri assists)43
46
Q2 - MavericksSalah Mejri offensive rebound43
44
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 243
44
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson)43
44
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 243
44
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)43
43
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)43
43
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (inbound)43
43
Q2 - MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point driving layup43
43
Q2 - MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound43
41
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot43
41
Q2 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)43
41
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Salah Mejri steals)43
38
Q2 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Maxi Kleber, Tim Hardaway Jr., Salah Mejri, Dorian Finney-Smith)43
38
Q2 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Josh Richardson)43
38
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout43
38
Q2 - MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point dunk (Luka Doncic assists)43
38
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Maxi Kleber steals)43
36
Q2 - MavericksDwight Powell makes two point floating jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)43
36
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)43
34
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound40
34
Q2 - MavericksDwight Powell misses three point jump shot40
34
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 2 of 240
34
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 1 of 239
34
Q2 - MavericksDevin Harris shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)38
34
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound38
34
Q2 - MavericksJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot38
34
Q2 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Bam Adebayo)38
34
Q2 - Mavericks 60 second timeout38
34
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup38
34
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
34
Q2 - MavericksDwight Powell misses two point turnaround hook shot36
34
Q2 - MavericksDevin Harris makes technical free throw 1 of 136
34
Q2 - HeatHeat technical foul (Defensive three second)36
33
Q2 - MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound36
33
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder misses regular free throw 2 of 236
33
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 236
33
Q2 - MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)35
33
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)35
33
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound35
33
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot35
33
Q2 - MavericksJustin Jackson makes two point reverse layup (Devin Harris assists)35
33
Q2 - MavericksJustin Jackson defensive rebound35
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot35
31
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound35
31
Q2 - MavericksDevin Harris misses three point jump shot35
31
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)35
31
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 235
31
Q2 - Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Dwight Powell, Justin Jackson, Devin Harris, Luka Doncic)34
31
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 234
31
Q2 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)33
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound33
31
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point step back jump shot33
31
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound33
31
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot33
31
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound33
31
Q2 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses two point jump shot33
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point alley-oop layup (James Johnson assists)33
31
Q2 - MavericksJustin Jackson turnover (lost ball) (Rodney McGruder steals)31
31
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)31
31
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 229
31
Q2 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 229
30
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)29
30
Q2 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki defensive rebound29
30
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot29
30
Q2 - MavericksDevin Harris makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)29
30
Q2 - MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound29
27
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot29
27
Q2 - MavericksDevin Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 229
27
Q2 - Mavericks lineup change (Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Powell, Justin Jackson, Devin Harris, Luka Doncic)29
26
Q2 - MavericksDevin Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 229
26
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Devin Harris draws the foul)29
25
Q2 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Bam Adebayo)29
25
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.29
25
Q1 - MavericksMavericks offensive rebound29
25
Q1 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses three point jump shot29
25
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 229
25
Q1 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Powell, Justin Jackson, Devin Harris)28
25
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 228
25
Q1 - MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)27
25
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound27
25
Q1 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses three point jump shot27
25
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Dirk Nowitzki steals)27
25
Q1 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki makes two point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)27
25
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point jump shot27
23
Q1 - MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point driving layup25
23
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)25
21
Q1 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki makes two point jump shot (Devin Harris assists)22
21
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point step back jump shot22
19
Q1 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound19
19
Q1 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot19
19
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Devin Harris steals)19
19
Q1 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki makes two point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)19
19
Q1 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Powell, Devin Harris)19
17
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)19
17
Q1 - MavericksMavericks defensive rebound19
17
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot19
17
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
17
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)19
17
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo)17
17
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)17
17
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound17
17
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup17
17
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound17
17
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point layup17
17
Q1 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)17
17
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot17
14
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound15
14
Q1 - MavericksDirk Nowitzki misses three point jump shot15
14
Q1 - MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound15
14
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot15
14
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout15
14
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point putback layup15
14
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic offensive rebound15
12
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point layup15
12
Q1 - MavericksJalen Brunson offensive rebound15
12
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot15
12
Q1 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Powell, Luka Doncic)15
12
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Josh Richardson)15
12
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (offensive foul)15
12
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow offensive foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)15
12
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)15
12
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)15
9
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point finger roll layup15
9
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)15
7
Q1 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)13
7
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound13
5
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot13
5
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound13
5
Q1 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot13
5
Q1 - Mavericks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Maxi Kleber, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic)13
5
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)13
5
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point floating jump shot13
5
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound11
5
Q1 - MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot11
5
Q1 - Mavericks 60 second timeout11
5
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)11
5
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - MavericksKelly Olynyk blocks Luka Doncic's two point driving layup9
5
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Tim Hardaway Jr. steals)9
5
Q1 - MavericksMaxi Kleber personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)9
5
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound9
5
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving layup9
5
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)9
5
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound7
5
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot7
5
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)7
5
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot7
5
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)4
5
Q1 - MavericksSalah Mejri makes two point dunk (Luka Doncic assists)4
5
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (3-second violation)4
3
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)4
3
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound4
3
Q1 - MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot4
3
Q1 - MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound4
3
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot4
3
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound4
3
Q1 - MavericksJosh Richardson blocks Dorian Finney-Smith's two point driving layup4
3
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point step back jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)4
3
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)2
3
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound2
3
Q1 - MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot2
3
Q1 - MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound2
3
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point hook shot2
3
Q1 - Stoppage (Other)2
3
Q1 - MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)2
3
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point layup2
0
Q1 - MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Hassan Whiteside steals)2
0
Q1 - Salah Mejri defensive goaltending violation2
0
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)2
0
Q1 - Hassan Whiteside vs. Salah Mejri (Kelly Olynyk gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Tim Hardaway Jr., Salah Mejri, Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Hassan Whiteside, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.9%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
25
68%
DAL
11
22
50%
Midrange
MIA
15
26
58%
DAL
8
14
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
DAL
15
22.5
52
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
DAL
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2273%11.0 / 15
D. Waiters2077%10.0 / 13
J. Richardson1454%7.0 / 13
J. Johnson12100%6.0 / 6
J. Winslow1146%5.5 / 12
K. Olynyk10100%5.0 / 5
B. Adebayo10100%5.0 / 5
R. McGruder744%3.5 / 8
H. Whiteside650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Hardaway2067%10.0 / 15
L. Dončić1847%9.0 / 19
D. Nowitzki1243%6.0 / 14
M. Kleber1179%5.5 / 7
D. Harris964%4.5 / 7
D. Powell660%3.0 / 5
J. Brunson643%3.0 / 7
R. Broekhoff6100%3.0 / 3
D. Finney-Smith531%2.5 / 8
J. Jackson440%2.0 / 5
S. Mejri2100%1.0 / 1
C. Lee2100%1.0 / 1
T. Burke0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+10
-18
88
DAL
86
+15
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.9%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
109.2
MIA 116.7 +13.6
DAL 103.1
Pace
98.1
99.1
MIA 90.9
DAL 103.8 +13.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
MIA 15.8
DAL 13.9 −2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
51.8%
MIA 61.7% +14.5%
DAL 47.2%
TO %
14.3%
13.6%
MIA 17.8%
DAL 10.9% −6.9%
ORB %
24.8%
22.6%
MIA 20.0%
DAL 20.0%
FTrt
24.7
29.1
MIA 19.8
DAL 25.0 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
60.3%
MIA 54.5%
DAL 70.6% +16.1%
STL %
7.8%
6.5%
MIA 8.3%
DAL 10.2% +1.9%
BLK %
10.2%
7.6%
MIA 8.3% +8.3%
DAL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.2%
MIA 62.9% +12.9%
DAL 50.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.0%
MIA 68.0% +18.0%
DAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.0%
MIA 57.7% +0.6%
DAL 57.1%
3P %
34.9%
34.0%
MIA 40.0% +11.2%
DAL 28.8%
FT %
69.5%
74.2%
MIA 75.0%
DAL 81.8% +6.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
33.8%
MIA 30.9% +5.9%
DAL 25.0%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
24.0%
MIA 32.1%
DAL 15.9% −16.2%
3P Att. %
36.8%
42.2%
MIA 37.0%
DAL 59.1% +22.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points112101
Rebounds4738
Assists2424
Steals810
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (0)
Fouls2017
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)28 (2)
Field Goals44-8134-88
At-the-Rim FG17-2511-22
Midrange FG15-268-14
2-Point FG32-5119-36
3-Point FG12-3015-52
Free Throws12-1618-22
Fast Break Pts1713
2nd Chance Pts613
Points in Paint4828
Pts off Turnovers1529
Bench Points5145
Biggest Lead216

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
35.2
14
54%
3
6
0
1
2
5
1
2
1-2
50%
5-5
100%
1-7
14%
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
32.2
11
46%
11
6
2
0
3
4
0
11
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
30.8
20
77%
4
3
1
0
1
3
0
4
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
3-8
38%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
22.0
6
50%
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
21.0
10
100%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
26.2
12
100%
4
3
1
0
2
3
0
4
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
26.0
10
100%
6
3
1
0
4
0
3
3
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
24.6
7
44%
6
1
2
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
2-4
50%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
22.1
22
73%
2
1
0
1
3
2
1
1
3-4
75%
8-11
73%
1-3
33%
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right knee bone bruises
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right knee surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
63%
47
24
8
3
18
20
7
40
12-16
75%
32-51
63%
12-30
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.