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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Spurs32%110117
5Raptors68%116120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
34.2
35.3
23
72%
4
8
2
1
1
4
0
4
9-9
100%
7-12
8-17
58%
47%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.6
31.0
32.7
6
34%
8
3
1
1
1
2
4
4
2-2
100%
2-7
8-16
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
27.0
27.4
9
50%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
46%
1-6
17%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.5
24.4
25.6
12
55%
10
2
1
1
1
1
2
8
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
20.2
26.1
7
35%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.9
31.1
25.9
21
64%
6
2
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
5-12
42%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.5
27.8
25.3
15
63%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
1-5
20%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.3
27.4
27.2
16
67%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
53%
4-6
67%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.4
17.0
15.3
8
100%
9
1
1
0
3
2
1
8
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.8
10.5
0
1-1
52%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.9
4.9
0
1-2
47%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.6
4.3
0
1-1
47%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.0
3.7
0
0-0
48%
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.8
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.1
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 32.9
35.3
33.2
17
72%
3
5
2
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
34.8
19.3
25
46%
6
2
2
1
1
1
3
3
9-10
90%
8-19
4-7
42%
55%
0-4
0%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
32.9
32.3
22
79%
3
6
2
1
0
2
1
2
6-9
67%
5-8
7-11
63%
61%
2-2
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
31.1
27.7
13
42%
15
2
0
0
1
1
6
9
4-6
67%
3-10
6-10
30%
58%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.7
29.0
27.1
17
94%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
5-7
71%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
19.5
21.6
11
45%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 34.1
16.9
20.0
4
29%
7
6
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-1
0%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.6
16.1
24.9
9
113%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
59%
3-3
100%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 25.7
13.3
22.9
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 23.3
11.2
15.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.5
5.3
0
0-1
46%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 26.1
3.7
0
0-1
55%
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
2.7
0
0-0
55%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.0
Jordan Loyd
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.