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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2019
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets63%114114
23Mavericks37%110104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.0
33.3
30.7
12
38%
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
49%
2-7
29%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.0
32.3
23.1
17
52%
13
2
3
1
1
1
5
8
4-5
80%
5-11
3-6
45%
51%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
30.4
33.9
19
53%
13
8
1
1
0
4
5
8
4-4
100%
6-14
8-14
43%
57%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.1
27.9
30.3
10
63%
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
2-3
67%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.2
26.8
29.4
13
60%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
55%
3-7
43%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
21.6
25.4
12
50%
13
3
0
1
0
3
6
7
2-7
29%
5-9
4-7
56%
59%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
20.9
28.7
8
45%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
4-7
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
19.3
24.8
7
34%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-4
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.0
15.8
15.6
16
63%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
4-7
57%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
9.7
5.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.9
1.0
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
1.0
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
16.5
0
1-2
56%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.3
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 22.5
30.5
23.5
22
83%
2
5
1
1
1
6
0
2
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
3-5
60%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.8
29.3
29.9
13
56%
9
1
2
1
0
2
1
8
5-6
83%
4-4
2-5
100%
55%
0-5
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 26.9
27.6
27.8
13
47%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-4
25%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32.7
23.7
6.7
4
69%
6
2
0
0
2
1
1
5
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
61%
1-2
50%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.1
18.2
23.9
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
60%
0-4
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 27.6
25.3
25.1
20
64%
6
1
0
1
0
1
4
2
7-8
88%
5-8
3-5
63%
65%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.0
18.6
14.8
10
94%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.7
18.4
12.9
3
19%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 26.3
17.5
13.8
11
62%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-4
25%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.9
14.0
9.4
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
52%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.4
10.8
6.0
8
63%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
6.2
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 20.0
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 21.3
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.2
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 23.6
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.